失业率上升:印度正走向灾难?
Unemployment Rising: India Heading for a Disaster?
译文简介
网友:政府这十年愣是没干出啥拿得出手的大事儿,现在还能指望他们翻出啥花样?失业率高得像火箭冲天,通货膨胀更是像脱缰的野马,压得人喘不过气。少数人坐拥金山银山,富得流油,普通人却只能望洋兴叹。工作和钱?
正文翻译
失业率上升:印度正走向灾难?
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@arindamghosh_addie
Government 10 saal mein kuch utna kar nahi paaye to ab kya karege aur itne unemployment hai par inflation are on higher side. Few people are enjoying their immense wealth. Jobs & money both are on YouTube & Insta��. People who got successful as Insta Influencers are mostly women. Politicians doing politics on each & every thing. Totally messed up situation.
Govt isn’t fulling the vacancy in central govt jobs but wants the pvt sector to hire more & more people. Levying taxes on everything.
政府这十年愣是没干出啥拿得出手的大事儿,现在还能指望他们翻出啥花样?失业率高得像火箭冲天,通货膨胀更是像脱缰的野马,压得人喘不过气。少数人坐拥金山银山,富得流油,普通人却只能望洋兴叹。工作和钱?全跑去YouTube和Insta上了,笑死了。那些在Insta上混成大网红的,十有八九是女的。政客们鸡毛蒜皮的事儿都拿来搞政治博眼球,整个局面乱得像一锅烂粥。
政府连中央公职的空缺都不填满,却死命催私企多招人,招招招!还啥玩意儿都征税,税负重得让人想哭。
@sankkham
No one is accepting unemployment’s main reason is overpopulation done by up/bihari bhaiyyas. Mumbai fertility rate is 1.4 and Maharashtra is 1.6. bt Mumbai is overpopulated due to increase slums. And 83% slum population don’t have voting rights for Maharashtra or Mumbai. bhaiyyas coming and increasing population and making labour cheap. And then blaming Muslims.
没人愿意正视失业的最大元凶——北方邦和比哈尔的兄弟们把人口撑得爆棚。孟买的生育率才1.4,马哈拉施特拉邦也才1.6,可孟买硬生生被贫民窟的疯涨人口挤得水泄不通。83%的贫民窟居民连马哈拉施特拉或孟买的投票权都没有,活得像个隐形人。这些兄弟们蜂拥而至,人口暴增,把劳动力价格压得低到尘埃里,干活跟白干似的。结果呢?他们还把锅甩给穆斯林,甩得理直气壮,真是好一出大戏!
@deepak.shah114
Pehle mai bolta tha ki jobs to hain logo mai skills nahi hain but I was partially wrong. Jobs nahi hain ab mujhe pta chal jab mujh pe khud pe beet rahi hai.
I am a software developer 2 years back but till now not able to find a job because jobs hi nahi hain.
But govt won’t help for unemployed guys like me. Inhe bas tax chahiye
以前我总嚷嚷嚷说工作多得是,怪就怪人没技能,可我错了一半,错得离谱!现在我才门儿清,根本是压根没有工作,自己吃了这亏才醒悟过来。
两年前我还是个软件开发者,风光得很,可如今连个活儿都捞不着,因为市场上压根没啥工作机会。
政府?别指望他们搭理我这种失业的落魄汉,他们眼里只有税金,税金,还是税金!
@Ficonomy
In addition to the problem described by Prasad, Under-employment and disguised employment are 2 big issues confronting the Indian economy. The govt should prioritise improving skills and bring in labour reforms that facilitates the job creation. The Indian subcontinent is visibly unstable now with many countries not leveraging their true potential like Bangladesh in textiles and Srilanka in tourism. We should capitalise this opportunity to utilise our demographic dividend otherwise within the next 20-25 years we will be stuck in a middle income trap economy.
除了Prasad点出的那些麻烦事儿,隐性失业和变相就业像两座大山,死死压在印度经济上。政府得把提升技能摆在头等大事,推出一系列硬核的劳动改革,为就业创造铺好路。现在印度次大陆乱得像一盘散沙,邻国还在浪费大好机会——孟加拉国的纺织业半死不活,斯里兰卡的旅游业也没有起色。我们得赶紧抓住这天赐良机,充分利用人口红利这张王牌,不然再过20-25年,印度就得卡在中等收入陷阱里进不得退不得,苦不堪言。
@Malkinnnn
Government needs to work on the Demographic Profile of the country. Strict reforms are required. Resources are limited, after one point they will not be sufficient for all.
政府得好好研究国家的人口结构,拿出点真功夫来。得来硬的改革,资源就那么点,到了临界点,谁都别想分到一口饭。
@Loveandlight428
The main problem is not AI but actually the gruesome taxation structure in India. Although the govt will say “make in India” to create hype, you can’t make or sell anything in India without the tax burden.
真正的病根不是人工智能,而是印度那丧心病狂的税收结构,简直就像吸血鬼。政府嘴上喊着“印度制造”,造势造得热火朝天,可你不背上沉甸甸的税负,在印度啥也造不了、卖不了。
@shahinchoudhury8256
I’m someone who tries to remain optimistic in all situations, but i am certain india will never become like china ito growth & prosperity.
for one reason, in china most profitable & thriving companies are actually government owned.
Either banks, construction firms, airlines or telecom.
In india, government is so inefficient ( systematic corruption) & ill-governance at state & local levels,
also china has a meritocratic system,
if mayor of a small town does good work, he’s made mayor of a bigger one, & so on.
so is in japan, Japan’s economic rise has this common theme with china.
Government induced development.
Indian development is despite the government.
我这人不管啥情况都试着往好处想,可我敢打包票,印度在经济增长和繁荣上永远追不上中国。
为啥?中国最赚钱、最牛气冲天的公司都是国有的,银行、建筑、航空、电信,哪行不是国字号顶着?
反观印度,政府效率低得像乌龟爬,系统性腐败像毒瘤扎根,邦和地方治理更是乌烟瘴气,一团糟。
中国还有个精英选拔机制,小镇市长干得漂亮,就升到大城市当市长,步步高升,赏罚分明。
日本也一样,他们的经济腾飞跟中国有一个共同点——政府当推手,驱动发展。
印度的进步?全是在政府拖后腿的情况下硬生生挤出来的血泪成果。
@blissfulmorsel
Blaming the education system every time is not worth it. There are people who have become globally successful through the same education system. We need to change our mindset. People are living in ignorance, prioritizing festivals and celebrations over learning skills. If you check on YouTube, there are so many skill-based videos, but people are more interested in semi-nude and roasting videos. People can learn skills by getting out of their comfort zones, but nobody cares.
老把锅甩给教育系统没啥意思,纯属浪费口舌。同样这套系统,有人硬是混成了全球顶尖牛人,风光无限。我们得换换脑子,改改思维。人们活在无知里,节日庆典比学真本事还重要,热闹得跟过年似的。打开YouTube,技能教学视频多得像海水,可大家偏爱看那些半裸的、吐槽的破玩意儿,脑子进水了?走出舒适区就能学到真本事,可谁在乎啊?
@arghyamaji2489
If you see only rural unemployment rate has increased from 6.3% in May to 9.3% in June. So don’t worry, It will come down eventually after good monsoon.
瞅瞅,农村失业率从5月的6.3%猛窜到6月的9.3%,吓人吧?不过别慌,好季风雨一来,准能降下来,稳住别浪。
@abhisheksaha6084
Well said brother.
I moved from Horticulture academics to insurance sector.
Now have knowledge of both sector and became professional horticulturist, insurance actuary and Landscape architecture.
I understood about the jobless growth back in 2021.
说得太对了,兄弟,句句扎心!
我从园艺学术圈跳槽到了保险行业。
现在两行都门儿清,我成了专业园艺师、保险精算师,还顺手搞了景观建筑,样样拿得出手。
早在2021年,我就看透了啥叫“无就业增长”。
@Immazine
There are many jobs, the problem is with current youth who are only interested in salary figure & not on future//learning - i m looking for freshers frm past 1 year in my company but candidates whom i interviewed wants to work on their own conditions
工作多得跟山似的,机会满地跑,问题是现在年轻人眼里只有薪水那几个数字,未来?学习?他们压根不关心!我在公司过去一年招新人,面试的候选人个个想按自己的条件干活,挑三拣四,咋不上天呢?
@kashfaq322
Jaise phone me yearly upxes aate hai education ke syllabus me bhi ek upxes sysytem hone chahiya yearly. Subject topic should be approved of that that that subject expert professionally. Praticle done in school n college should be on present days problems
就像手机每年推系统更新,教育大纲也得一年一更,跟上时代才行。学科内容得由专业领域的专家把关,严谨审核。学校和大学的实践课得直面当下的真问题,接地气,解决实际痛点。
@swapnilwakale4173
Guys if anyone is reading this comment, then try for opting ITI cources such as welder, fitter, mechanic as it will not get impacted by improvement as every nation required this kind skilled force.
Yes but get training from some of the best institute in india or abroad for this skills.
兄弟们,谁看到这条评论,赶紧考虑报工业培训学院(ITI)的课程,学点焊工、装配工、机械工啥的真本事。这些活儿再怎么技术进步也淘汰不了,哪个国家都缺不了这号硬核技能人才。
不过,得挑印度或国外顶尖的机构去学,练出真功夫才吃得开。
@sago22
Two major problem with youth today
Not upskilling through own effort. Relying too much on college education. No real life knowledge.
Over valuation of own human labour. Once I came across this young intern just out of college asking for a stipend way above average. On asking where you got this figure he answered ‘from google’. So there is clear gap between industry and education.
现在年轻人有两大毛病,扎心得很:
不靠自己努力学新技能,抱着大学教育当救命稻草,现实生活知识?一抹黑!
高估自己那点劳动力值钱。一次我碰到个刚毕业的实习生,张口要远超平均的补贴,我问他这数字哪来的,他淡定地说“谷歌上查的”,我差点没笑喷! 所以,产业和教育之间那条鸿沟宽得能跑火车了。
@ivanwolf5610
Microsoft used to have a Certificate program; anyone can use MS office suit can get a MS Certificate as an IT expert. Recall an 8 year old Indian girl got the Certificate, was hailed as a genius, that’s how Indian IT education worked, still is
微软以前搞了个认证项目,会用MS Office就能拿个IT专家证书,简单得离谱。我记得有个8岁的印度女孩拿了证,被吹成天才,全国轰动。这就是印度IT教育的套路,糊弄人,现在还是这幅德行。
@zxtube56
India: We are vishwaguru & we are comparing to Pakistan not china but our real competitor is china!
印度:我们自封“世界导师”,拿自己跟巴基斯坦比,咋不跟中国比?咱真正的对手明明是中国!
@cricketlover.....
You cant stop ai and you shouldnt instead we should focus on implementation of universal basic income concept and we should discuss this more instead of stopping ai.
人工智能挡不住,也不该挡,拦它干啥?咱得把心思放落实全民基本收入这个概念上,多讨论这事儿,别老想着给AI踩刹车。
@P_RanjanDas
Modi government must focus on textile garment industry and meat leather manufacturing
India is shifting so fast to semi conductor solar panel etc futuristic industries
But for initial development and job creation we first need textile
莫迪政府得把重心放纺织服装和肉类皮革制造上,踏踏实实干点接地气的。
印度现在转得太快,半导体、太阳能板这些高科技未来产业搞得热火朝天,
可要说初期发展和就业创造,纺织业才是当务之急。
@M_Ahuja
Taxation system of india is ruthless and complex. Middle class can’t escape it’s clutches but rich can easily as they can hire best of CA. Taxation/banking/invesment fundamentals and basic skills of survival are not taught in school. They keep teaching literature till 12th grade. Kids are unnecessarily pressurized. Now a days even kids understand that this kind of education won’t come to any use for them. Gov need to seriously think about it.
印度的税收系统又狠又乱,复杂得像座迷宫。中产阶级被死死套牢,逃都逃不掉,富人却轻松溜号,雇个顶尖会计师就摆平了。税收、银行、投资的基础知识,生存的硬核技能,学校压根不教,啥用没有。文学课硬教到12年级,孩子被逼得喘不过气,压力山大。现在连小学生都看透了,这种教育没啥用。政府得好好动脑子想想这问题!
@vishnurajbhar007
The skills needed for jobs has changed drastically in a very short span of time, specially after the arrival of ChatGPT. And most of our youth is unemployable to be honest. They just enroll for a graduation program and after passing it, they think they are job ready. Passing that exam has zero value if you don’t have skills to show. Lot of youth is actually directionless and clueless, everybody wants government job because most of them don’t require any specific skillset and also people see them as a safe option. But what people do not understand is that government cannot create too many government jobs just to give you salary. There are already lacs of crore being invested just to give job to people, although those job does not create much value for example government teachers of primary school or higher school, a lot of railway employees. We need more wealth creators, who can generate more wealth for this country. No government can help you if all you do is crying for help instead of acquiring skillset.
工作要的技能短时间里翻天覆地变了,尤其ChatGPT横空出世后,简直是改天换地。老实说,咱们大多数年轻人压根没有就业能力。他们报个本科,考过试就觉得自己能上岗,牛气冲天。没有真本事,通过考试屁用没有!不少年轻人没有方向,懵圈得像无头苍蝇,人人都盯着政府工作,因为那活儿大多不挑技能,还被当铁饭碗,稳得跟啥似的。可没有人醒悟,政府不能光为发工资造一堆公职,那不是长久之计。政府已经砸了几十亿搞就业,可那些活儿没啥大价值,比如小学或高中的公办老师、一大群铁路员工,干着干着就成摆设了。我们得要更多财富创造者,给国家多挣点真金白银。你光哭天喊地求救,不肯学点硬核技能,哪个政府也救不了你!
@mukulmisra7594
Solution: mera solution drastic change employement me lana hai. Agar Sarkaari naukari ki opening hoti hai, phir bhale he woh Chaprasi ki job ho, usme PHD wale log bhi apply kartey hain. Same time if kisi Private company ki opening hoti hai usme 10 log he apply kartey hain.
Govt can change this, By Converting all JOBs to Sarkaari job (even Private jobs can be Sarkaari job, just that Hiring will be done centrally by Govt. if a company is finding PHD person is not good, they can refer back to govt .and govt can re deploy that person in another company)
解决方案:我有个大胆的点子,得彻底颠覆就业这摊子事儿。只要政府工作一开招,哪怕是看门人的破活儿,博士都削尖脑袋往里钻!反过来,私企放出一个岗位,十个人都凑不齐。
政府能改这乱象吗?把所有工作都变成政府工作,私企的活儿也算政府工作,招聘全由政府统一管。公司觉得博士不给力?直接退货给政府,政府再把人塞到别的公司,这样灵活得很。
@RanjanSingh-pk7jm
You are right bro we must have to change education system. The government will have to put pressure on private schools to work on skill development also.
你说得太对了,兄弟,句句戳心!教育系统非改不可,早就该动大手术了。政府得给私立学校下死命令,逼他们也抓技能培养,别光教书本那点死知识。
@shobhabalu-t3f
When India adopts self sustainability job opportunities are surplus. India is the only country which is a host to cross cultural heritage and tolerance to humans celebrating their religions.
啥时候印度能自给自足,工作机会就会多得冒泡!印度可是独一份,啥文化遗产都能兼容并包,还能让各路人马欢天喜地庆祝自己的宗教。
@abhinavmanohare4227
Less jobs and illiteracy is creating dangerous situations in india. As per news most of the youth aged 18-22 are killing people for such small things like wifi, raincoat and what not. Just bcoz they hv a crunch in their pockets.
工作少得可怜,文盲又多,印度这个局面危险得像火药桶。据新闻报道,18-22岁的年轻人为WiFi、雨衣这些鸡毛蒜皮的小破事儿就敢杀人,就因为兜里没几个子儿,穷得叮当响,日子过得太憋屈了。
@prakashtharwanimfinvestments
EDUCATION reform is the basic and common solution for it which need to get implemented ASAP with the help of big industries as per their required skill set. Which eventually solve both skill set and unemployment issue
教育改革是治本的路子,也是最普适的解药,得立马落实!得拉上大企业,按他们要的技能套路配合着干。这么一来,技能和失业两大难题都能迎刃而解。
@novemberalpha6023
Unemployment and Religious Intolerance are the main cause of communal riots. BJP is directly and indirectly peddling both. Religious intolerance provides the reason while unemployment supplies the participants.
失业和宗教不容忍是社区骚乱的罪魁祸首,而人民党直接间接在这两件事儿上推波助澜。宗教不容忍给借口,失业送来一波又一波的参与者,导致乱局一发不可收拾。
@lucifermorningstar1636
Not trying to be Captain Obvious but I think this is the result of compounding of multiple combined factors over the years that have become visible now.
Irrespective of any political side, none of them took an effort to change the old ass education system that has existed in the country thanks to the Rockefeller approach, a nation of workers, like robots from a factory, every year. Adding to it, the current government, doesn’t matter the ideology, surgically killing off the MSMEs to hand over the sectors to the big players in it, leading to a monopoly-like state. Having 5-10 companies in the same field, trying to sell a similar product would be gladiator games, with the end winner being the economy(people), thanks to innovation, forced growth, competition, etc. 2-3 companies working in agreement with each other while killing all the other competitors will eventually breed complacency.
I think an immediate bandage approach would be to revitalize the MSMEs and also come up with laws against Monopoly-like approach (similar to US).
Then, forcefully implement laws against organisations, that they are supposed to help upskill a certain percentage of the workers, expense from the organisation’s pockets. Similar approach related to AI related damage as well.
But hey, who would give two shits anyway?
虽然不想把话说得太直白,但这显然是多年来多重因素叠加发酵后的必然结果。无论哪派执政,都没人真正改革那个早已过时的教育体系——这套源自洛克菲勒模式的制度,年复一年地批量生产着工厂机器人般的标准化劳动力。
更糟的是,当前政府(与意识形态无关)正系统性绞杀中小微企业,将整个行业拱手送给巨头,最终形成垄断格局。想想看:5-10家同领域公司竞逐相似产品,本应像角斗士博弈般通过创新和竞争让经济(人民)受益;但2-3家企业合谋扼杀竞争者,只会滋生懈怠。
我认为当务之急是重振中小微企业,并出台反垄断法(可参照美国模式)。同时强制立法要求企业必须自掏腰包为一定比例员工提供技能升级培训,对AI造成的职业伤害也应制定类似保障机制。
不过话说回来——这些建议又有谁会在乎呢?