伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴发表首份声明,称伊朗将继续报复,并利用霍尔木兹海峡作为杠杆
Has the US bitten off more than it can chew in Iran? | DW News
译文简介
伊朗新任最高领袖的第一份声明是由新闻播报员朗读的,穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊并没有出现在镜头前。报道称,他在战争的第一天被袭击所伤,导致他的父亲、前最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊去世。现在有猜测称莫赫塔巴本人是否还活着。
正文翻译

The first statement from Iran's new supreme leader was read out by a newsreader and Mojtaba Khamenei did not appear on camera. Reports say he was injured in the strikes that killed his father, the former supreme leader Ali Khamenei, on the first day of the war. And now there's speculation whether Mojtaba himself is even alive.
伊朗新任最高领袖的第一份声明是由新闻播报员朗读的,穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊并没有出现在镜头前。报道称,他在战争的第一天被袭击所伤,导致他的父亲、前最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊去世。现在有猜测称莫赫塔巴本人是否还活着。
Regardless who wrote the statement, it shows a regime that wants to project defiance and strength - saying Iran will keep retaliating, and use the Strait of Hormuz as leverage.
Donald Trump is also trying to project success as Iran keeps launching attacks across the Gulf. He says the US will benefit from higher oil prices - something the US public may disagree with, as the economic costs of the war mount.
无论声明是谁写的,它都展示了一个试图展现蔑视和强硬姿态的政权——声明称伊朗将继续报复,并利用霍尔木兹海峡作为杠杆。
唐纳德·特朗普也试图展现成功,尽管伊朗不断在海湾地区发动攻击。他表示,美国将从油价上涨中受益——这可能与美国公众的意见不符,因为战争的经济成本正在上升。
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This guy is clearly a professor, in a good way.
Not only that he knows what he's talking about, he's making it easy for others to understand what he's saying too. Kudos to him.
这位显然是教授,而且是那种好教授。
不仅他自己很懂,他还能让别人也轻松理解他在说什么。佩服他。
@-phenom-
The fact the USA didn't fill up it's strategic reserve before the war, when oil prices were much cheaper, shows how ill prepared this debacle was from the beginning. So embarrassing to be an American these days.
美国在战争前没有在油价更便宜的时候填满战略储备,这事实说明从一开始这场灾难就准备不足。这让做美国人现在很尴尬。
@mreyesgranda
Nothing more powerful than a foreign agression to unîte the citizens of any country.
没有什么比外来侵略更能团结一个国家的公民了。
@Stylux-z1p
Greenland, Iran protected you this time, not those US slaves of Europe, Spain not included.
格陵兰,这次是伊朗保护了你,而不是那些欧洲的美国奴隶们,西班牙除外。
@Sin3xtreme
It took America 20 yrs to replace the Taliban with the taliban,this war it took America 3 days to replace the ayatollah with an ayatollah,if Israel had the right to self defence then so does Iran
美国花了 20 年才把塔利班换成塔利班,这场战争美国用了 3 天就把阿亚图拉换成了阿亚图拉。如果以色列有自卫权,那么伊朗也有。
@rainman7992
when trump says " The US will benefit from higher oil prices " and by US, he means his billionaire friends who bought oil before the war and can now sell it at a tidy profit. TOo bad we cannot use insider trading to fund SSA
当特朗普说“美国将从油价上涨中受益”时,他指的是他那些在战争前买了油的亿万富翁朋友们,现在可以以丰厚的利润出售石油。真可惜我们不能利用内幕交易来为SSA筹集资金。
@MantecaArse
Seems to me, Trump provoked country that was no longer a threat into going beyond defending themselves.
在我看来,特朗普激怒了一个不再构成威胁的国家,逼使其超越了自卫的范畴。
@Bavafa1
Israelis are learning a lesson about the Newton's Third Law of Motion states that for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.
以色列人正在学习牛顿第三定律的教训——每一个动作都有一个相等且相反的反应。
@alanwilkinson4080
The regime was, six months ago, closer to the end of its natural life than at any point since 1979. Bombs did not finish it. They saved it — and handed it an enemy just when it was running out of one. The Iranian people are not the West's enemies. The key potentially lies with the Omanis.
六个月前,这个政权比自1979年以来任何时候都更接近自然终结。炸弹并没有结束它,反而拯救了它——并且在它快没有敌人时,给了它一个敌人。伊朗人民不是西方的敌人。关键可能在于阿曼人。
@TheAmbex
Correction. This is the first war where the US is having precision weapons used against it.
Ukraine & Russia have been doing this for a few years now.
For the most part this guy is spot on.
更正一下。这是美国第一次被精确武器攻击。
乌克兰和俄罗斯已经做了几年。
大部分情况下,这个人说得非常对。
@jse3704
Ukraine has been fighting this type of war for 4 years, the US should have paid close attention to the Ukrainans
乌克兰已经打了四年这种战争,美国应该密切关注乌克兰人。
@notknown1
The more the USA gets involved and starts new wars the more China will benefit in the long run. Remember China mentality is "this is a marathon" meanwhile the USA mentality is short term quick profit gains...let's see which one turns out to be better in the next 10 years
美国越是卷入并发动新的战争,长期来看,中国将从中受益更多。记住,中国的心态是“这是马拉松”,而美国的心态是短期的快速获利……让我们看看在未来10年中,哪种心态会更好。
@a_nyon
Many Americans are rooting for Iran
许多美国人支持伊朗。
@Sam-nb8ev
Greed... greed for wealth and power to control the world has made the Trump despotic regime to bite more than it can chew. Now, it can neither swallow what it has bitten nor spit it out because of its reluctance to let go.
贪婪……对财富和控制世界的权力的贪婪让特朗普的专制政权咬下了它咽不下的东西。现在,它既吞不下自己咬下的东西,也不能吐出来,因为它不愿放手。
@Marek-k5m8b
Magnetic water mines in Strait of Hormuz is dangerous for submarine.Not only for oil’s tankers vessels
霍尔木兹海峡的磁性水雷对潜艇非常危险,不仅仅是对油轮。
@thehappycamper25
Great commentary on Iran vs Gulf states. I would like to add that not only golf leaders disconnected from their population, at heart they don’t know how to fight and they don’t have courage to fight. They will never strike Iran in an offensive posture.
关于伊朗与海湾国家的评论很棒。我想补充一点,不仅海湾国家的领导人与他们的民众脱节,从内心来说,他们不知道如何打仗,也没有勇气去打仗。他们永远不会在进攻姿态下对伊朗发动打击。
@evehawasinare228
He is been hunted. What did anyone thought? For him to come out and read his message?
他正在被追捕。还有谁会以为他会出来读自己的信息呢?
@GolloTath-d1x
You did,t mentioned how iran decimated entire U.S bases Thaad and all millitary basesin the region.
你没提到伊朗是如何摧毁整个美国的萨德系统和该地区的所有军事基地的。
@glen7181
We are up to day 12 and people are screaming about Straights of Hormuz ship attacks, high oil prices and doom and gloom. Depending on what happens over the coming months will determine if the military action initiated by the US and Israel will have positive long term effects or if not will need to be repeated regularly.
现在是第12天了,人们在大喊霍尔木兹海峡的船只遭袭、高油价和末日景象。接下来几个月的情况将决定美国和以色列发起的军事行动是否会产生长期积极效果,或者如果没有效果,就需要定期重复。
@homeplanet365
This new Supreme Leader might be the one to do what has been needed for almost a century. That is forcing the world to stop depending on such a chaotic region that is mainly important for its slightly easier type of crude to refine. This ease in refining was important in the early days of oil, but now it is just a habit and habits are easy to break.
这位新的最高领袖可能会做近一个世纪以来一直需要做的事情。那就是迫使世界停止依赖这个混乱的地区,而这个地区之所以重要,主要是因为它的原油稍微容易提炼。早期石油时期,这种容易提炼很重要,但现在这只是一个习惯,而习惯是可以打破的。
@golp4143
quick question how those goes iran favor? where destroyed basically almost everything in a country needed to be functional, no navy, no Air Force, no military ability , no income from oil, already broken economy to a war torn economy. so how come his assumptions and logic works in this war. if they hit rest of the places like energy, road and high ways, bridges, air port, all oil refineries. then iran can even function . doesnt make any sense to me.
快速问题:这些对伊朗有什么好处?几乎摧毁了一个国家所需的所有基础设施,没有海军、空军、军事能力,没有石油收入,已经破碎的经济变成了战火纷飞的经济。那么,为什么他的假设和逻辑在这场战争中有效?如果他们摧毁剩下的地方,比如能源、道路和高速公路、桥梁、机场、所有石油精炼厂,那么伊朗甚至无法运作。这对我来说完全没有意义。
@richardbryanesq
We're in this situation because the analysts who would have told the President that the plan was foolhardy were fired for spurious reasons or no reason.
我们之所以陷入这种局面,是因为那些本可以告诉总统这个计划是愚蠢的人被解雇了,理由要么站不住脚,要么根本没有理由。
@michealmouse5548
Bombing of London had the same affect. It galvanised the population against the aggressor.
轰炸伦敦也有同样的效果。它让民众团结起来对抗侵略者。
@DamianOpia-b9t
The United States underestimated the resolve of the Iranians.
The United States will now feel what the Russians feel in. Ukraine due to Western military support. Trump should pray the Chinese, especially doesn't give Iran all the necessary equipments to keep the US bugged down forever.
美国低估了伊朗人的决心。
美国现在将感受到俄罗斯在乌克兰因西方军事支持所感受到的压力。特朗普应该祈祷中国,尤其是不要把所有必要的装备都提供给伊朗,让美国永远陷入困境。
@DanielShehta
Im afread that israel and the us will use tactical nuke to punch trough the mountans if there is radion they can say that they stored uranium in it and that will be a win fir trump sort of
我担心以色列和美国会使用战术核武穿透山脉,如果那里有核辐射,他们可以说是存储了铀,这对特朗普来说算是一种胜利。
@Smoothy3996
Its a very smart strategic move to appoint a dead man as supreme leader since now he cannot be killed anymore.
任命一个死者为最高领袖是一个非常聪明的战略举措,因为现在他再也不能被杀了。
@slymarbo4046
I want the us to get dragged into a decades long conflict at this point
我希望美国此刻被拖入一场持续数十年的冲突。
@srinivasanrengarajan3911
The war is to hide Epstein news. Attention shifted to Iran. This is a two pronged attack - one internal and the other external. Putin has been fighting Ukraine for 5 years… the war could last for years. The US could withdraw from Afghanistan and Vietnam - but this time it is going to have huge unintended consequences
这场战争是为了掩盖爱泼斯坦的新闻。注意力转向了伊朗。这是一次双管齐下的攻击——一方面是内部的,另一方面是外部的。普京已经和乌克兰打了五年……这场战争可能会持续好几年。美国曾经从阿富汗和越南撤军,但这一次将带来巨大的意想不到的后果。
@DDT-For-Human
they were thinking the best iran could do is like what they did last year, but let this be a taste for what would happen if trump try that with other countries like Denmark, Canada or other south American countries
他们原以为伊朗最多只能像去年那样行动,但这只是让他们尝到如果特朗普尝试对丹麦、加拿大或其他南美国家这样做会发生什么的一个预演。
@SK-fi1tf
I hope the whole attack from both sides does not end up in vengeance and personal attacks on Americans or others.
Through wars, it is impossible to bring in peace.
Humans can easily live in peace.
我希望双方的攻击不会导致对美国人或其他人的报复和个人攻击。通过战争是不可能带来和平的。人类本可以轻松地和平共处。
@johndeere3486
Again, US oil is extracted by private companies and sold on the global market by private companies back to the US. And instead if taxing those companies the US subsidize them. In no way will the US government benefit.
再说一次,美国的石油是由私人公司开采,并由私人公司在全球市场上销售回美国。而且美国不是对这些公司征税,而是补贴它们。美国政府根本不会受益。
@karlek67
Israel will never control the Middle East cuz Russia will never allow Iran to be nuked by anyone. Iran is 90 million people. They invented science and mathematics. Plus the us needs to stop taking money from religious zealots.
以色列永远无法控制中东,因为俄罗斯绝不会允许任何人核打击伊朗。伊朗有9000万人,他们发明了科学和数学。此外,美国需要停止向宗教狂热分子收钱。
@hakanyildizb71
US has alreay lost due to Israel ! American citizens pay the bill ! Germany is again supporting an illegal war !
美国已经因为以色列而失败!美国公民要为此买单!德国再次在支持一场非法战争!
@sheikhabubakarsadick7085
You West never learn because of your arrogance and hateful options on Iran. Iran will run this war successfully without even any spiritual and political leader
你们西方人永远不会因为你们对伊朗的傲慢和仇恨看法而学习。伊朗将成功地进行这场战争,甚至没有任何精神或政治领袖。
@jerrydgj
Trump has already lost, he just hasn't realized it yet. He started it but Iran will decide when it's done. They will keep the straits closed until they get what they want from Trump. Trump will have to give or the global economy will melt down.
特朗普已经输了,他只是还没意识到。是他开始的,但伊朗将决定什么时候结束。他们会一直封锁霍尔木兹海峡,直到从特朗普那里得到他们想要的东西。特朗普必须妥协,否则全球经济将崩溃。
@planewire2153
I think the major risk is the perception that Iran is now in “control” of the major oil supply for not only its country, but the entire gulf.
我认为主要风险是,人们会认为伊朗现在“掌控”了不仅是本国的主要石油供应,还有整个海湾地区的石油供应。
@rcas350pilot8
Putin was sure he could conquer Ukraine within 24 hours.
普京确信他能在24小时内征服乌克兰。
@JamesAdams-g3d
We and any other allies we can recruit MUST send in ground troops to disarm the Iranian security forces. Perhaps send in swarming miniature drones first.
我们以及我们能召集的任何盟友必须派遣地面部队去解除伊朗安全部队的武装。也许可以先派出成群的小型无人机进行侦查或攻击。
@braxxian
As far back as World War 2 air bombing has failed to break nations, indeed it has made them more determined to fight back. The Blitz on London did nothing to break the spirit of the British early in the war nor the huge bombing of German cities later on. Clearly there are no historians working at the White House or Pentagon. If there were perhaps they wouldn’t make so many mistakes.
早在二战时期,空袭就未能摧毁一个国家,事实上,它反而让国家更加坚定地反击。伦敦大轰炸在战争初期并没有摧毁英国人的斗志,后来对德国城市的大规模轰炸也同样没有效果。显然,白宫或五角大楼里根本没有历史学家。如果有的话,也许他们就不会犯这么多错误了。
@runePV
University of Chicago is about to loose some more funding from the orange regime
芝加哥大学即将失去更多来自橙色政权的资金支持。
@lenn1524
The horrible irony: Americans’ horror over American soldiers deaths, yet, it will be those American armies that will be turned against the American citizens in the near future.
Or wait a moment, they already had been last year.
可怕的讽刺:美国人对美军士兵死亡的恐惧,然而,正是那些美军部队将在不久的将来被用来对付美国公民。
等等,稍等一下,它们去年就已经这么做了。
@harikumararani7370
Why gulf countries eu countries japan and s.korea warn usa we sell usa T-bonds if not stop attacking iran
为什么海湾国家、欧盟国家、日本和韩国警告美国,如果不停止攻击伊朗,我们就卖美国国债?
@actapulse-tv
This is wrong analysis, the public in the Gulf states are not isolated from their government. They have seen better life, than their Iran counterparts.
这是错误的分析,海湾国家的民众并非与政府隔绝。他们过上了比伊朗同胞更好的生活。
@williamtell5365
I'm from the US. Aside from this being an unnecessary and immoral war, it was easily foreseeable that it would turn out badly. Trump has the insight of a guinea pig. Now, it's going to take a ground war or a wounded, vengeful regime will be in place for the future. Also, as someone living in Vietnam I totally agree this looks very much like that war.
我来自美国。除了这场战争是多么不必要且不道德外,结果不妙是完全可以预见的。特朗普的洞察力就像一只豚鼠。现在,要么是地面战争,要么就是一个受伤、复仇心切的政权将会掌权。还有,作为一个生活在越南的人,我完全同意,这场战争看起来和那场战争非常相似。
@Mathey789
Not at all like Sadat making peace with Israel. Gulf states may fear Iran, but they all HATE Iran too.
这根本不像萨达特与以色列达成和平协议。海湾国家可能害怕伊朗,但他们也都讨厌伊朗。
@space_guy_04
Just to be clear Iran is not winning neither do US, it’s basically a stalemate until one side gives up or runs out of ammo. But remember, Iran is already under economic sanctions while the world is not meaning we will experience more pain than them.
澄清一下,伊朗并没有获胜,美国也没有获胜,基本上是僵局,直到一方放弃或弹药用尽。但请记住,伊朗已经在经济制裁下,而世界其他国家并没有受到影响,这意味着我们将比他们承受更多的痛苦。
@johnadam2885
Iran did not attack neighbouring states; it attacked US bases in neighbouring states, and the originator of the war, Israel.
伊朗没有攻击邻国,它攻击的是美国在邻国的军事基地,以及这场战争的始作俑者——以色列。
@monsterzokuonsomb
They are spinning this so they can justify nuken 'em. Better do it as they are fighting back too well. And a nice way for the elites to get rid of Trump & those files at the same time. Order will be resumed.
他们在炒作这件事,好为核打击他们找借口。最好赶快动手,因为对方反击得太厉害了。这也是精英们顺便摆平特朗普和那些档案的好方法。秩序将会恢复。
@irfanhassan152
Are these fools are they are trying to fool Iranian clearly irans leadership clearly understand that America enjoys the air superiority due to superior jets why would ayatollah mujtaba show himself in the public. he is needed more in the battlefield which he is guiding perfectly
这些傻子是在试图愚弄伊朗吗?显然伊朗领导层完全明白,美国之所以能掌握制空权,是因为他们的战机更强。为什么阿亚图拉·穆贾塔巴要在公众面前露面呢?他在战场上更需要,因为他在那里指挥得非常出色。
@Runlater
Not impressed. The only take away is that this was inevitable - pay me now pay me later. Obama tried paying off the regime - sanctions, isolation - did not work because BRICS thrives off instability. So if Iran had small nuclear missiles would they have sprinkled them around the Gulf? You-becha.
没有什么让人印象深刻的。唯一的收获是,这场局势是不可避免的——现在付钱,未来还得付。奥巴马试图通过支付来让政权屈服——制裁、孤立——但没有成功,因为金砖国家依赖于不稳定。所以,如果伊朗有小型核导弹,它们会把这些导弹撒遍整个海湾吗?当然会。
@afolabitoye4393
You said more than this with Hamas, Hezbollah, and the rest of the axis of resistance, but they are no more today. Now you're gathering around the Iranian regime, but in a few days, the story is going to change; the so-called Khamenei(maybe he's dead already, who knows) will be no more.
你曾经说过更多关于哈马斯、真主党和其他抵抗轴心的事情,但他们今天已经不复存在了。现在你们围绕着伊朗政权,但几天后,故事将会改变;所谓的哈梅内伊(也许他已经死了,谁知道)将不再存在。
@paulm6481
America knew it can’t take over Iran. It thought it can just bomb and run away. Not this time. No tanker or oil will get out of Persian gulf. Unless America closes bases, unless reparations are paid, war does not stop.
美国知道它无法占领伊朗。它以为可以只通过轰炸然后跑掉。这次不行。没有油轮或石油会从波斯湾出去。除非美国关闭基地,除非赔偿得到支付,战争才会停止。
@tomaaron6187
Trump still has almost 3years left in office. What’s disturbing is that like many narcissistic leaders he is, indeed very intelligent…one needs to be smart to win the Presidency twice. Yet, that intelligence is losing the battle with his narcissism. He can’t restrain himself. Whenever he gives a speech, press conference, etc he starts off rational but then drifts into a bizarre egotistical ramblings that would be funny if he wasn’t the President.
特朗普在任期内仍有将近三年。令人不安的是,像许多自恋型领导人一样,他确实非常聪明……要两次赢得总统职位,一个人必须够聪明。然而,这种聪明正在输给他的自恋。他无法自我克制。每当他发表演讲、召开新闻发布会等,他一开始还很理性,但随后就会陷入奇怪的自我膨胀的胡言乱语,如果他不是总统,这本来会很可笑。
@j2klegend
The problem is US and Israel have to be very careful and precise about its attack targets. At the same time Iran can attack civilians all around them to get international pressure on the US.
问题是,美国和以色列在攻击目标上必须非常小心和精准。与此同时,伊朗可以攻击周边的平民,以对美国施加国际压力。