QA：我们是否应该对美国袭击委内瑞拉并绑架其总统感到担忧？这是否会导致冲突？

Carl Smotricz
Yes, we should be scared. It means that America is no longer maintaining even the pretense of being a country ruled by laws and part of the modern world community of nations. It makes it clear that the USA no longer give a shit about their relations to the rest of the world. And that the world needs to worry about whatever insane acts of violence Trump will pull next in his attempts to drag attention away from the Epstein files.
No, this couldn’t lead to a conflict, it already has. America has committed an act of war against another sovereign nation. The only reason the US isn’t under attack back is because Venezuela has a weak military that doesn’t stand a chance against the most overpowered military in the world. Trump is being a bully and has turned the USA into a thug state.
Historically, Germany was once a world power. When Hitler started shit with Poland, the world’s nations were reluctant to step in. But when it became clear that this only encouraged the crazy Nazis to commit more violence, the world’s militaries did step in and put Germany in its place. The USA have started to re-enact the history of Nazi Germany, and there’s a chance that re-enactment will continue to play out until someone or some ones forcefully end the Trump administration.

是的，我们应该感到恐惧。
这意味着美国甚至不再伪装成一个法治国家，也不再伪装成现代国际社会的一员。
这清楚地表明，美国已经完全不在乎与世界其他国家的关系。世界需要警惕特朗普接下来会做出哪些疯狂的暴力行为，以转移人们对爱泼斯坦丑闻的注意力。
不，这不是会导致冲突，而是它已经导致了冲突。美国已经对另一个主权国家发动了战争。美国之所以没有遭到反击，唯一的原因是因为委内瑞拉的军事力量薄弱，根本无法与世界上最强大的军队抗衡。特朗普正在恃强凌弱，把美国变成了一个流氓国家。

历史上，德国曾经是世界强国。当希特勒在波兰挑起事端时，世界各国起初都不愿介入。但当人们意识到这样做只会助长纳粹的疯狂行径时，世界各国的军队最终还是出手干预，遏制了德国的暴行。如今，美国已经开始重演纳粹德国的历史，而且这种重演很可能会持续下去，直到有人或某些势力强行结束特朗普政府的统治。

Petrus Doyle
Just been watching latest Trump horror show on tv news UK. The casualty number was not yet in when I left it until later. Trump's oil intrests and Rubios personal issues with South American bigwigs he couldn't touch before joining trump's circus are obvious to the BBC journalist who had lived in Venezuela. These points were explained briefly in his report. I feel sorry for the military personnel who are tasked to carry out such outlandish, unnecessary and draconian attacks on a peaceful nation. However, many of the military at all levels are meatheads who see trump as their messiah, the fuckwits.

刚在英国电视新闻上看了特朗普最新的闹剧。我当时没有看到伤亡人数，只是看了一会儿。那位曾在委内瑞拉生活过的BBC记者很清楚特朗普的石油利益，以及卢比奥在加入特朗普阵营之前与南美权贵之间的私人恩怨。他的报道中简要地解释了这些。我同情那些被指派对一个和平国家发动如此荒唐、毫无必要且残酷袭击的军人。然而，各级军人中有很多都是些蠢货，他们把特朗普当成救世主，真是群白痴。

Damon Kaswell
Active voter, political junkieSat
Yes. Trump has unilaterally and unconstitutionally used military force against a sovereign nation, and kidnapped its leader and his wife. That's terrifying.
Now begins a test the Republicans in Congress will almost certainly fail. If they don't want to be reduced to merely a rubber-stamp for a dictator, they must immediately and without preamble impeach and remove this criminal and his entire cabinet.
But sadly, I don't believe they will. Instead, they will retroactively approve this war crime, and continue pretending that everything's fine while the rest of the world turns on us in horror and shock.
And yes, this will likely expand into a larger conflict. I certainly hope it doesn't, but I'm also pretty cynical about it at this point.
From now on, this will be the litmus test for Republicans who want anyone else to take them seriously as anything but fascists and dictator supporters: Do you support unconstitutional military actions and the kidnapping of foreign heads of state from countries with whom we aren't at war?
If the answer is anything but an unequivocal “no,” then you aren't a patriot, a worthwhile human being, or someone whose opinions should be treated as more valuable than dog shit.

是的。特朗普单方面违宪地对一个主权国家动用武力，并绑架了该国领导人及其妻子。这太可怕了。
现在，国会共和党人将面临一场几乎注定失败的考验。如果他们不想沦为独裁者的橡皮图章，就必须立即毫不犹豫地弹劾并罢免这个罪犯及其整个内阁。
但可悲的是，我不认为他们会这样做。相反，他们会一如既往的认可这一战争罪行，继续假装一切安好，而世界其他国家却在震惊和恐惧中与我们为敌。
是的，这很可能会演变成一场更大的冲突。我当然希望不会，但此时此刻，我对此相当悲观。

从现在起，对于那些想让别人认真对待他们，而不是把他们当成法西斯和独裁者支持者的共和党人来说，这将是一个试金石：你是否支持违宪的军事行动，以及绑架与我们并非交战国家的元首？
如果你的答案是别的什么，而不是斩钉截铁的“不”，那么你就不是爱国者，不是有价值的人，你的观点甚至不如一坨狗屎。

Curtis Lindsay
On the evening/morning of January 2-3, 2026, the United States conducted a series of strikes in Venezuela. President Nicolás Maduro and his wife were kidnapped and taken to New York aboard a U.S. warship. The blitz followed many weeks of internationally condemned targeting of alleged drug boats in the waters off the country’s coast; the claim, which is a longstanding one in various forms, is that Maduro has transformed Venezuela into a narco-state.
Say what you will about the legitimacy or competence of Maduro and his staff — in any case, the U.S. has acted unilaterally to topple the government of a sovereign nation.
And for far from the first time — the operation comes precisely on the 36th anniversary of the invasion of Panama which ended the rule of Noriega in 1990.
It is what Putin wishes he could’ve accomplished in Kiev.
I don’t think there’s much chance of immediate military conflict on any wide scale. The U.S. Secretary of State has opined that this warfare in Venezuela has already achieved its aim and is effectively over.
The United States will manage the power vacuum in such a way that control of the country’s dirty but enormous oil reserves — a crucial market lever — can be directed into private hands friendly to the U.S. and not, for example, to China.
The worries are for the future of the Venezuelan people, who are unlikely to see any revenue from their own natural resources under conditions like these, and for a world in which Hegseth’s barely pubescent “warfighter ethos,” or whatever, is enacted without respect to international law. Here the White House has behaved as a dictatorship in every conceivable sense.
There is no reason to think that they would hesitate to do so again, whenever and wherever the fancy strikes them. In fact, in the wake of this development, Trump is already musing that something ought to be done about Mexico.

2026年1月2日至3日凌晨，美国对委内瑞拉发动了一系列袭击。总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗及其夫人被绑架，并被押送至纽约，登上了一艘美国军舰。此次突袭行动之前，美国已在委内瑞拉近海海域对所谓的毒品船只进行了数周的打击，此举受到国际社会的强烈谴责。长期以来，美国一直以各种形式声称，马杜罗已将委内瑞拉变成了一个毒品国家。
姑且不论马杜罗及其幕僚的合法性或能力如何——无论如何，美国单方面采取行动，推翻了一个主权国家的政府。

而且，这并非美国首次采取此类行动——此次行动恰逢1990年美国入侵巴拿马推翻诺列加政权36周年纪念日。
这正是普京梦寐以求在基辅实现的。

我认为近期大规模军事冲突的可能性不大。美国国务卿曾表示，委内瑞拉的这场战争已经达到目的，实际上已经结束。
美国将妥善处理权力真空，确保该国（虽然污染严重但储量巨大的石油储备，是一个至关重要的市场杠杆）能够落入对美国友好的私人手中，而不是落入例如中国等其他国家手中。
令人担忧的是委内瑞拉人民的未来，在目前这种情况下，他们不太可能从自己的自然资源中获得任何收益；也令人担忧的是，在这个世界里，赫格塞斯那套尚不成熟的“战争精神”（或者别的什么）将不顾国际法地推行。白宫在这件事上，其行为完全符合独裁统治的范畴。
没有理由认为他们会犹豫不决，无论何时何地，只要他们心血来潮，就会再次这样做。事实上，在这一事态发展之后，特朗普已经在考虑应该对墨西哥采取一些措施了。

Jos Van Bergen
Yes. The present US administration goes by the assumption that if they can do it, it is allowed. There is no respect for international law, conventions or the sovereignty of other countries. It is the same lawless dominance and imagined superiority which started WWII in Europe.
This same attitude will inevitably lead to the demise of the United States Of America, as it did finish off the fascist German State. The question is: How many lives will be lost this time?
If the USA continues on this path, a united embargo against it should be put in place. Failure to do so was the biggest pre- WWII mistake. It allowed Germany to build up its massive strength. This mistake should not be repeated.

是的。现任美国政府奉行“只要他们能做到，就应该被允许”的原则。他们不尊重国际法、国际公约以及他国主权。正是这种无法无天的统治和自以为是的优越感，引发了二战在欧洲的爆发。
这种态度必将导致美利坚合众国的灭亡，正如它最终摧毁了法西斯德国一样。问题是：这一次又会有多少生命逝去？
如果美国继续走这条路，就应该对其实施联合禁运。未能做到这一点是二战前最大的错误，它让德国得以积蓄强大的力量。这样的错误绝不能重演。

Sagar Singharoy
Yes we should be. It was a long time coming and US under Trump is the wolf finally coming out of its sheepskin. The kidnapping of the President and the first lady of Venezuela is making it clear that US is finally kicking international relations to the curb and is now going to openly bully nations which stand in its way or may I say “Trump's way” and it is the same as Russia invading Ukraine. It is just Western bigotism at its feral best and as I see it, such an agression on another sovereign soil is an act of war. Now is Venezuela prepared to go all out to face the might of US close to its home turf is another matter altogether.
This has quite the implications as far as world geopolitics is concerned. Such a move sets a dangerous precedent for countries to make a move for their own narrative like this gives a great excuse for China to make a move on Taiwan and so much so that multiple wars can break out in many parts of the world at any moment.
In my honest opinion, Trump is now on the cusp of becoming an uncrowned dictator. He is now openly talking about Columbia and Mexico being the next on US crosshairs. His insane acts are now becoming all the more brazen due to threats looming on his position and personal reputation. Now it is left to see that whether he becomes the next Hitler or the next Emperor Nero.

是的，我们应该感到震惊。这一天迟早会到来，特朗普领导下的美国就像披着羊皮的狼，它终于现出原形了。绑架委内瑞拉总统和第一夫人的行为清楚地表明，美国终于将国际关系弃之不顾，现在将公开欺凌任何阻碍其道路的国家，或者更确切地说，是阻碍“特朗普道路”的国家，这与俄罗斯入侵乌克兰如出一辙。这完全是西方野蛮偏见的极致体现，在我看来，这种对另一个主权国家领土的侵略行为就是战争行为。至于委内瑞拉是否准备好全力以赴地对抗美国在其本土附近的强大力量，则是另一回事了。

就世界地缘政治而言，这具有相当深远的影响。这样的举动为各国树立了一个危险的先例，鼓励它们为了自身利益而采取类似的行动，这为中国在台湾（地区）问题上采取行动提供了绝佳的借口，以至于随时都可能在世界各地爆发多场战争。

说实话，我认为特朗普现在正处于成为无冕独裁者的边缘。他现在公开谈论哥伦比亚和墨西哥将成为美国的下一个目标。由于他的地位和个人声誉面临威胁，他的疯狂行径变得更加肆无忌惮。现在，我们拭目以待，看看他会成为下一个希特勒还是下一个尼禄皇帝。


SapınaKadarKemalistTürk
Yes. US is now a rabid lawless thug, just like it was during the Iraq war. Their government are spineless shameless liars just like they have been since that time.
It is unfortunate that their sheepish voters can STILL not see that.

没错。美国现在就像伊拉克战争时期一样，成了一群横行无忌的暴徒。他们的政府和伊拉克战争时期一样，依然是一群毫无骨气、厚颜无耻的骗子。
可悲的是，他们那些盲从的选民至今仍然看不清这一点。
 
Stephen Jones
Conflict, no, that’s unlikely. Terrorism? Yep, that’s back on the table, but this time your security services have been gutted, and your allies might accidently forget to pass on information from their intelligence services.

冲突？不太可能。恐怖主义？没错，这又会被提上日程，但这次你的安全部门已被削弱，你的盟友可能无意中忘记传递他们情报部门的信息。

Marcelo Pacheco
Well Trump is … Trump.
But if we ignore that he is what he is, there actually is precedent to do exactly what Trump did:
In 1989 President H. W. Bush (Bush Daddy) ordered US armed forces to invade Panama and take it’s president to the US for trial.
I wouldn’t say what Bush Daddy did scared others. Like Maduro, Manuel Noriega was accused of Drug trafficking.
Of courseeeeee, this isn’t really about Maduro’s relationship with organized crime. This is about Venezuela’s OIL. But the drug thing is a useful coverup.
Just as one could say should we be scared of Little Bush (Dubya) invading Iraq. Only if you are a sworn enemy of the USA.
So unless you are in Iran/North Korea/Cuba, you are fine. If you are a Canadian or a Mexican, I don’t think you need to worry one iota.
Trump is a bully. A big one. But both Canada and Mexico have already done a few things to make Trump think a thousand times before trying something really forceful against them.

嗯，特朗普就是……特朗普。
但如果我们忽略他的为人，其实特朗普的做法历史上并非没有先例：
1989年，老布什总统（老布什）下令美军入侵巴拿马，并将巴拿马总统带回美国受审。
我并不认为老布什的做法吓到了其他人。就像马杜罗一样，曼努埃尔·诺列加也被指控贩毒。

当然，这并非真正关乎马杜罗与有组织犯罪的关系，而是关乎委内瑞拉的石油。但毒品问题却是一个有效的掩盖手段。
就像有人可能会问，我们是否应该害怕小布什（小布什）入侵伊拉克？只有当你是美国的死敌时才需要担心。
所以，除非你身处伊朗、朝鲜或古巴，否则你无需担心。如果你是加拿大人或墨西哥人，我认为你完全不必为此担忧。
特朗普是个恶霸，而且是个十足的恶霸。但加拿大和墨西哥都已经采取了一些措施，让特朗普在对它们采取真正强硬的行动之前三思而行。

Tony B
If I was an American living in Venezuela right now, I’d be very nervous. The Venezuela government might choose to retaliate by detaining Americans in that country. Then what do we do? Does this turn into the Iran hostage crisis all over again? There are so many ways That Trump‘s dubious actions can backfire.

如果我现在是生活在委内瑞拉的美国人，我会非常紧张。委内瑞拉政府可能会选择拘留在该国的美国公民进行报复。到那时我们该怎么办？这会不会重蹈伊朗人质危机的覆辙？特朗普那些可疑的举动可能会以多种方式适得其反。

Linda
We should be concerned that a country is prepared to break international law for their own gains whilst the world looks on and does nothing. A country who is showing the signs of a dictatorship. Who next????

我们应该感到担忧，一个国家为了自身利益竟然不惜违反国际法，而世界却袖手旁观。这个国家已经显露出独裁的迹象。下一个会是谁？？？？