如果美国入侵墨西哥，会发生什么事？（二）
What would happen if the US invaded Mexico?
译文简介
国会会拒绝向总统提供所需的宣战授权，因此军方将被迫违抗这一非法命令。
正文翻译
Todd Gardiner3y
Little puzzles of society, history and economics in the form of Hypothetical Questions intrigue me.upxed 3y
托德·加德纳 对以假设性问题形式呈现的社会、历史与经济谜题感兴趣，3年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the US tried to conquer Mexico?
原问题：若美国试图征服墨西哥，将会发生什么？
Congress would refuse to give the President the declaration of war that is needed, so the military would be forced to disobey this illegal order. There is no way conservatives want to add 123 million Mexicans to the population of the U.S. Nor do they (fortunately) have the stomach for GENOCIDE. So your proposed invasion is politically impossible. This invasion, if done unilaterally by the President, would be stopped internally before any significant territory could be taken. It is naïve to imagine the U.S. is a single-minded entity that can just do things like this on whim. That's not how collections of people work.
国会会拒绝向总统提供所需的宣战授权，因此军方将被迫违抗这一非法命令。保守派绝不可能愿意让1.23亿墨西哥人加入美国人口，幸运的是，他们也没有实施种族灭绝的魄力。因此，你所设想的入侵在政治上完全行不通。若总统单方面发动入侵，在占领任何重要领土之前，就会被国内力量阻止。认为美国是一个可以随心所欲采取此类行动的单一意志实体，这种想法是天真的——人类群体的运作方式并非如此。
Glenn Mcbride A Mexican attorney, dual nationality and 34 years in Mexico8y
格伦·麦克布赖德 墨西哥律师，拥有双重国籍，在墨西哥生活34年，8年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S. took over Mexico?
原问题：若美国接管墨西哥，将会发生什么？
The US has invaded Mexico 14 times. During the war that President James K. Polk provoked with Mexico for the express reason of taking territory from Mexico and expanding slavery in the west, the US occupied Mexico city for 8 months and flew the US flag over the National Palace in the Zocalo - this ended when Mexico was finally forced to sign a treaty that ceded half of their territory to the US. The last time the US invaded Mexico was during the Revolution in 1914 - once when it tried to capture General Pancho Villa and again when it occupied the port of Veracruz. The US may have conveniently forgotten this history, but every Mexican school child learns this history.
美国曾14次入侵墨西哥。在詹姆斯·K·波尔克总统为夺取墨西哥领土并在西部扩张奴隶制而蓄意挑起的战争中，美国占领墨西哥城长达8个月，并在宪法广场的国家宫上空升起了美国国旗——直到墨西哥被迫签署条约，将一半领土割让给美国，这场占领才结束。美国最后一次入侵墨西哥是在1914年墨西哥革命期间，一次是试图抓捕潘乔·比利亚将军，另一次是占领韦拉克鲁斯港。美国或许已轻易忘记了这段历史，但每个墨西哥学童都铭记着这一切。
Anonymous9y
匿名用户 9年前回答
Originally Answered: If Mexico were attacked, what would the U.S. do?
原问题：若墨西哥遭到攻击，美国会如何应对？
We would curb-stomp the shit out of whoever attacked them, and we wouldn’t stop until there was nothing left of the invader to bury. Nobody on earth besides us is allowed to insult our fifty- second state, let alone attack it. PS. Im sorry, this answer was too funny from the Canadian version, that I had to put it here. But really Mexico is an important trade partner to the US and an important ally, even if there is no alliance treaty. Many Americans go there for vacation. Regardless of what racist people might have you think, we Americans really like Mexico and wish the best for them. So in short, we would help them.
我们会把攻击墨西哥的家伙狠狠收拾一顿，不把入侵者打得片甲不留绝不罢休。除了我们自己，世上没人有资格侮辱我们的“第五十二个州”，更别说攻击它了。附言：抱歉，这个答案的加拿大版本太有趣了，我忍不住照搬过来。但说真的，墨西哥是美国重要的贸易伙伴和盟友，即便没有正式的同盟条约。许多美国人会去墨西哥度假。不管种族主义者让你怎么想，我们美国人真的很喜欢墨西哥，也祝愿他们一切顺利。所以简而言之，我们会伸出援手。
Manuel Echeverria Lives in Mexico8y
曼努埃尔·埃切维里亚 居住于墨西哥，8年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if a blood-lusted United States invaded Mexico?
原问题：若穷凶极恶的美国入侵墨西哥，将会发生什么？
Mexico's military and government would be royally, monumentally fucked… For a while. There's no question about the fact that the American military is the. Best. In. The. World. And Mexico is a peaceful country that has traditionally been a U.S. ally, so it's had no incentive to plan for that particular scenario; quite the opposite. Up until very recently, we (Mexicans) were fairly confident that our army could deal with aggression from any single one of our southern neighbors except Brazil (which is too far anyway), and that, should a stronger foreign power invade Mexico, then maybe our 2 most important trading partners might see a threat to their business interests (and/or their borders) and maybe, just maybe, divert a plane wing or two to help and that would be the end of that.
墨西哥的军队和政府会在短期内遭受毁灭性打击……这是毋庸置疑的。美国军队无疑是世界上最强大的，而墨西哥是一个和平国家，传统上一直是美国的盟友，因此根本没有动力为这种特定场景做准备——恰恰相反。直到最近，我们（墨西哥人）还相当有信心，我们的军队能够应对除巴西（反正距离遥远）之外任何南部邻国的挑衅，而且如果有更强大的外国势力入侵墨西哥，我们最重要的两个贸易伙伴或许会意识到其商业利益（和/或边境安全）受到威胁，可能会派出一两支航空联队提供援助，问题也就迎刃而解了。
But if the U.S. (or Canada, for that matter) were serious about winning a war of attrition against Mexico, the odds against Mexico are so astronomical, our military doesn't even bother to plan for it. Which is exactly why Mexico's foreign relations strategy with the U.S. has been one of broadening the strategic alliance.
但如果美国（或者加拿大，姑且这么说）真的决心与墨西哥打一场消耗战，墨西哥的胜算微乎其微，以至于我们的军队甚至懒得为此制定计划。这也正是墨西哥对美外交战略始终致力于扩大战略同盟的原因所在。
Having said that, Mexico can and has earned a lot of favor with the international community. Mexican governments, despite belonging to different party affiliations, have historically earned a reputation for leaving everybody alone but at the same time being friendly and reliable to help when shit hits the fan (like when we deployed our military to deliver emergency supplies and aid in the Haitian earthquake, or even during Hurricane Katrina).
话虽如此，墨西哥能够且已经赢得了国际社会的广泛支持。尽管墨西哥历届政府分属不同党派，但在历史上都有着“不干涉他国内政，同时在危机时刻友好可靠地提供援助”的声誉——比如在海地地震或卡特里娜飓风期间，我们派遣军队运送紧急物资和援助。
Because of this reliance on diplomacy, Mexico also has a fairly strong background of training good diplomats and public international lawyers, who would probably take it on themselves to make the war as difficult and expensive for Americans as they could. In the process, the war would be publicly known.
由于对 diplomacy 的依赖，墨西哥在培养优秀外交官和国际公法律师方面也有着相当深厚的底蕴，这些人很可能会主动行动，尽可能让美国在这场战争中付出高昂的代价、陷入困境，同时让这场战争的真相公之于众。
Bear in mind that the international community became a thing precisely as a result of the lessons learned from 1939. Starting a war for kicks and giggles is pretty much the definition of a crime of aggression. So I don't think other countries' response to such a thing would be the same.
要知道，国际社会的形成正是源于1939年的历史教训。为了取乐而发动战争，几乎就是侵略罪的定义。因此，我认为其他国家对此事的反应绝不会是无动于衷。
Furthermore, once the Mexican government is overthrown come the difficulties of keeping your standing army in the role of an occupation force, while people assimilate the occupation -or resist it. The Vietnam War proved that occupying a country does not always equal a victory if the locals will resist you enough. How bitter would a Mexican resistance be would probably depend much on how the Americans conducted themselves during the war.
此外，一旦墨西哥政府被推翻，将常备军用作占领军的困难就会显现——民众要么接受占领，要么奋起反抗。越南战争已经证明，如果当地人进行顽强抵抗，占领一个国家并不等于取得胜利。墨西哥抵抗运动的激烈程度，很可能取决于美国人在战争期间的行为方式。
Lastly, I am going to assume for the purpose of this question that the country that suddenly becomes possessed of this unexplained bloodlust is the U.S. with its current demographics. If that's the case, then we would have to account for an important number of Mexican-American dual citizens, or second and third-generation Mexican descendants with claim to a Mexican nationality/citizenship and/or family in Mexico. I don't think they would take kindly to an attack that could potentially harm their family and friends. Then there's also an untold number of people in small but crucial roles -from food growers to bureaucrats- who could throw little but important wrenches in the works of the would be invasion.
最后，为了回答这个问题，我假设这个突然变得嗜血好战、原因不明的国家是拥有当前人口结构的美国。如果是这样的话，我们就必须考虑到大量墨西哥裔美国双重公民，或是拥有墨西哥国籍/公民身份、在墨西哥有亲属的第二代和第三代墨西哥后裔。我认为他们不会对可能伤害亲友的攻击无动于衷。此外，还有无数身处微小但关键岗位的人——从农民到官员——他们都能给这场潜在的入侵制造一些虽小却重要的麻烦。
That being said, the U.S. does, without a doubt, have the military capacity, resources and strategical know-how to run Mexico to the ground several times over even while pulling punches.
尽管如此，毫无疑问，即便有所保留，美国也拥有足够的军事能力、资源和战略智慧，将墨西哥彻底击垮多次。
Carlos Gutierrez3y
卡洛斯·古铁雷斯 3年前回答
first, the USA would be invading its 3rd largest economical partner, severing a lot of its own production lines. second, you would definitely crush our army if it were to face the US army in a frontal assault, but guess what, our army has trained since, ever to fight an asymmetrical war against the USA, because, the USA is the only country that is a threat to us, so every training exercise about a foreign invasion assumes the invasion of a powerful enemy through our northern border. third, it would be vietnam all over again, but worse, mexico is way bigger, have a lot more man power and we could easily go to your own turf and wreck havoc among your cities, poison water, maybe blow up one or two dams or even a nuclear plants.
首先，美国将入侵其第三大经济伙伴，这会切断自身大量生产线。其次，若墨西哥军队与美国军队正面交锋，无疑会被击溃，但你知道吗？自那以后，我们的军队就一直在训练如何与美国打非对称战争——因为美国是唯一对我们构成威胁的国家，所以所有关于外国入侵的训练演习，都假设是强大敌人从北部边境入侵。第三，这将是越南战争的重演，而且会更糟：墨西哥领土广阔得多，人力也充沛得多，我们可以轻易潜入你们的领土，在你们的城市制造混乱——投毒水源、炸毁一两座水坝，甚至核电站。
Edit: also there is the historical evidence, in the past we have been reckless and bold engaging in combat the USA military after its landgrabbing of 1848. Pershing expedition, Carrizal, marina Cruz, Tampico, Veracruz, oil expropriation and supplying of oil to the Nazis, etc. We fought and did a lot of what for other countries would have mean an automatic invasion by the USA but that we have gotten away with barely any negative consequences, and you know what, we know that the USA won't be attacking us, our economies have become so entangled that they would be almost attacking itself, at least economically.
补充：还有历史证据可以证明。1848年美国掠夺墨西哥领土后，我们曾多次鲁莽而勇敢地与美国军队交战——潘兴远征、卡里萨尔战役、克鲁斯港事件、坦皮科事件、韦拉克鲁斯占领、石油国有化以及向纳粹供应石油等。我们做了很多在其他国家看来会招致美国直接入侵的事情，但却几乎没有受到任何负面后果。而且你知道吗？我们清楚美国不会攻击我们，两国经济已经深度交织，攻击墨西哥几乎等同于美国自我攻击——至少在经济层面是如此。
Francisco Ángeles6y
弗朗西斯科·安赫莱斯 6年前回答
The answer is complicated, a lot of things would happen, that we could not know until the day it happens, but just for the record, I being a mexican, would rather die fighting than letting any country to occupy my country, is in my blood, in my genes, and I am very sure that more than half of the 120 millions of mexicans think and feel the same way, I know that fighting the United States is suicide, but death is the only way when my nation is being invaded! The mexicans would fight for our children and our land, the United States would fight for the interests of a few men of the elite, period.
答案很复杂，会发生很多我们直到事发当天才能知晓的事情，但必须明确的是：作为墨西哥人，我宁愿战死也不愿让任何国家占领我的国家——这是刻在我血液里、基因里的信念。我敢肯定，1.2亿墨西哥人中超过一半都和我有同样的想法。我知道与美国作战无异于自杀，但当国家遭到入侵时，死亡是唯一的选择！墨西哥人为我们的孩子和土地而战，而美国则是为少数精英阶层的利益而战，仅此而已。
Michael Roberts playing old-school RPGs since 1979.8y
迈克尔·罗伯茨 自1979年起玩老式角色扮演游戏，8年前回答
I answered an identical question not too long ago. Here we go: In broad overview, the military phase will succeed rapidly. That’s a given. Mexico will fall and we will occupy every square inch of it. Then the insurgency will start.
不久前我回答过一个完全相同的问题，现在再复述一遍：总体而言，军事阶段将迅速取得成功——这是毋庸置疑的。墨西哥会沦陷，我们将占领它的每一寸土地。但随后，叛乱就会爆发。
What Mexico has—in addition to its surviving military—in terms of insurgency capabilities are the narcotraficantes. They are very capable of extreme scientifically applied violence. We will be bled dry, and not just inside Mexico. Unlike our losses to the Viet Cong and the Mujaheddin, we will have an enemy right next door. Insurgents will bypass any Great Wall with next to no difficulty due to their long experience with smuggling, and they will conduct terror operations on U.S. turf.
墨西哥除了残存的军队外，在叛乱能力方面还有一个重要力量——贩毒集团。他们擅长运用极端且具有科学性的暴力手段。我们将被耗尽元气，而且不仅仅是在墨西哥境内。与我们在越共和圣战者身上遭受的损失不同，这次我们的敌人就在隔壁。凭借长期的走私经验，叛乱分子可以毫无困难地绕过任何“长城”，并在美国领土上开展恐怖活动。
Mexican freedom fighters will hit any soft target they can, from railway stations to power distribution hubs to sporting arenas. Destruction of infrastructure will be first priority—hit us where it costs—followed by targets of mass civilian casualties—hit us where it feels.
墨西哥自由战士会袭击任何他们能找到的软目标，从火车站、配电网枢纽到体育场馆。破坏基础设施将是首要任务——打击我们的经济要害；其次是造成大规模平民伤亡的目标——打击我们的心理防线。
Short version, we will win the war and lose the insurgency. Even after Viet Nam, Somalia, Afghanistan, and Iraq, our military is not set up to deal with it at all. Expensive stealth fighters and next-generation main battle tanks are meaningless against a determined, organized, properly planned insurgent network.
简而言之，我们会赢得战争，但会输掉平叛。即便经历了越南、索马里、阿富汗和伊拉克战争，我们的军队依然完全不具备应对叛乱的能力。昂贵的隐形战斗机和下一代主战坦克，在意志坚定、组织有序、计划周密的叛乱网络面前毫无意义。
Michael Capelli Lives in The United States of America5y
迈克尔·卡佩利 居住于美国，5年前回答
Originally Answered: If Mexico were attacked, what would the U.S. do?
原问题：若墨西哥遭到攻击，美国会如何应对？
I’m throwing a curve ball that’s sure to fire some people up….Mexico has already been attacked and overrun, the United States has not only turned a blind eye politically to this, we directly fund and support the occupying enemy.
我要抛出一个肯定会引发争议的观点……墨西哥其实已经遭到攻击并被侵占了，美国不仅在政治上对此视而不见，还直接资助和支持了这个占领者。
The United States ever increasing demand for black market commodities has made a very lucrative business for our neighbors to the south. The political and economic climate for a majority of those nations has created a perfect environment for organized crime.
美国对黑市商品的需求日益增长，这为我们的南方邻国创造了利润丰厚的生意。这些国家的政治和经济环境，为有组织犯罪提供了绝佳的滋生土壤。
We helped create the “Cartels” that really control Mexico and most of Central and South America. The amount of wealth they have created from human trafficking, drugs, weapons and much more rivals Mexico and many other nations GDP. That’s just part of the issue, these “Cartels” rule with an iron fist. They took the methods for control from leaders like Stalin or Pol Pot and combined it with the savvy of old Italian mobsters family model. Then bought, exploited and terrorized the Mexican people and used United States politics and laws to their advantage.
是我们帮助造就了那些真正控制着墨西哥以及中南美洲大部分地区的“贩毒集团”。他们通过人口贩卖、毒品交易、武器走私等活动积累的财富，足以与墨西哥及许多其他国家的国内生产总值相匹敌。更严重的是，这些“贩毒集团”实行铁腕统治——他们借鉴了斯大林、波尔布特等领导人的控制手段，结合了意大利老牌黑手党的家族式管理智慧，通过收买、剥削和恐吓墨西哥民众，并利用美国的政治和法律为自身谋利。
The “Cartels” proximity and virtual unfettered access to the U.S has attracted the attention of nation states who desire that access for economic and military gain. The control “Cartels” have over the Mexican government is so obvious by the ineffective actions of law enforcement and failed military operations, then the response from Mexican leadership when deadly altercations happen from said “Cartels”. If you apply logic to this situation “Cartels” are in a position to receive assistance from foreign governments and influence decisions of the Mexican government.
贩毒集团地理位置靠近美国，且几乎可以不受限制地进入美国境内，这吸引了一些国家的关注——这些国家希望利用这种便利获取经济和军事利益。从执法部门的无效行动、军事行动的失败，以及墨西哥领导层在贩毒集团引发致命冲突时的反应中，不难看出贩毒集团对墨西哥政府的控制有多深。从逻辑上讲，贩毒集团如今已经能够接受外国政府的援助，并影响墨西哥政府的决策。
Why is there an argument for border security or immigration laws that allows and encourages people to enter the US any way possible? Why do we give anyone attempting to enter this nation constitutional rights and tax entitlements without a commitment and responsibility to become a citizen? Why do we allow and encourage illegal immigrants to risk their life coming to the US, working in sub-standard conditions, with low-wages and technically no rights as a citizen? Why are taxpaying citizens shamed and ridiculed when they ask these questions or disagree with open borders and stricter policies?
为什么会有人争论边境安全或移民法，却允许并鼓励人们以任何可能的方式进入美国？为什么我们会给予任何试图进入这个国家的人宪法权利和税收福利，而不要求他们承担成为公民的义务和责任？为什么我们允许并鼓励非法移民冒着生命危险来到美国，在恶劣的条件下从事低薪工作，且在法律上没有任何公民权利？为什么纳税公民在提出这些问题或反对开放边境及更严格政策时，会受到羞辱和嘲笑？
The United States has encouraged “Cartels” to over-throw the Mexican government. Without enforcing border security and immigration we continue to encourage this enemy and others to exploit this weakness and fortify their position. History shows us how most powerful nations has fallen. Weaken them first from the inside, attempt to divide and turn them against each other. So my answer is we allowed Mexico to be attacked and overrun now America is vulnerable to that same style of attack. Just as long as our slaves and drugs continue to get here at the cheapest price.
美国一直在纵容贩毒集团推翻墨西哥政府。由于不加强边境安全和移民管控，我们继续让这个敌人及其他势力利用这一弱点，巩固他们的地位。历史告诉我们，大多数强国的衰落都是从内部被削弱开始的——先分裂他们，让他们自相残杀。因此，我的答案是：我们允许墨西哥被攻击和侵占，如今美国也面临着同样方式的攻击风险。只要我们还能以最低的价格获得“奴隶”和毒品，这种情况就会持续下去。
Michael Jimenez7y
迈克尔·希门尼斯 7年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S invaded Mexico? What would be the consequences for the rest of the world?
原问题：若美国入侵墨西哥，将会发生什么？对世界其他地区会有哪些影响？
There really is nothing to gain, if the United States militarily invaded Mexico. The rest of the world would just see it as, the U.S. being an aggressor nation attacking one of its neighbors. Of course the rest of Latin America would condemn the invasion, the United Nations would most likely condemn it, though to be honest most other nations would only verbally condemn the attack, I highly doubt any other nation would try to intervene militarily, to them it just wouldn’t be worth it.
美国军事入侵墨西哥实在毫无益处可言。世界其他地区只会将其视为侵略国攻击邻国的行为。拉丁美洲其他国家肯定会谴责这场入侵，联合国也很可能会发声谴责，但说实话，大多数其他国家只会口头谴责，我非常怀疑有哪个国家会采取军事干预——对他们来说，这完全得不偿失。
Now with all of that out of the way, here’s what would the American Occupational Forces would be in for: the majority of the populace would be most uncooperative with Occupational Soldiers, even so much as attacking them outright, guerrilla hit and run tactics, IED’s, sabotage, and assassinations of Officers and other key figures, an organized resistance would appear and the carnage that is happening to our soldiers right now in the Middle East, would repeat itself in the Occupied Territories.
抛开这些不谈，美国占领军将面临以下局面：大多数民众会极力不配合占领军，甚至直接攻击他们；游击队员会采用打了就跑的战术、使用简易爆炸装置、实施破坏活动，并暗杀军官及其他关键人物；有组织的抵抗运动将会兴起，而我们的士兵目前在中东遭遇的屠杀，将在被占领土上重演。
There would be some factions that would cooperate with the Occupational Forces such as the Mexican Upper Class, but they would be getting some sort of compensation for doing so, and would be seen as Traitors by the Resistance and targeted for assassination.
会有一些派系（如墨西哥上层阶级）愿意与占领军合作，但他们这么做必然是为了获得某种补偿，而且会被抵抗运动视为叛徒，成为暗杀目标。
As with The Vietnam War, the Occupation of Mexico would take on a toll on the Occupational Troops, from PTSD to maiming and killing, and it would also take its toll on the Home Front, as horror stories from Troops and The Media would begin to show the U.S. what a Meat Grinder we have just gotten ourselves into. The American People, sick and tired of War, would call for a withdrawal from The Occupied Territories, an end to hostilities from a War that should have never have happened.
与越南战争一样，占领墨西哥将给占领军带来沉重代价——创伤后应激障碍（PTSD）、伤残甚至死亡。同时，这也会影响美国本土：士兵和媒体传回的恐怖报道，将让美国民众意识到自己陷入了一场怎样的“绞肉机”战争。厌倦了战争的美国民众会呼吁从被占领土撤军，结束这场本就不该发生的敌对行动。
And, there will be long lasting consequences in the entire Western Hemisphere for the United States: what little trust we had with ALL of Latin America would be gone for good, every nation south of the border, whether that be Texas or The Occupied Territories, would become much more militaristic, it could even lead to the rise of a faction from Latin America that would seek the destruction of the United States once and for all.
此外，美国在整个西半球将面临长期后果：我们与所有拉丁美洲国家之间仅存的一点信任将彻底消失；边境以南的每个国家（无论是得克萨斯州还是被占领土）都将变得更加军事化；甚至可能会出现一个来自拉丁美洲的派系，寻求彻底摧毁美国。
Dieter Neth Have lived in Mexico and Switzerland for many years9y
迪特尔·内特 在墨西哥和瑞士生活多年，9年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S. took over Mexico?
原问题：若美国接管墨西哥，将会发生什么？
That is a really funny question, perfectly absurd, however. They would never do that even when asked by Mexico! Why? It would change the U.S. to an extent that it would be hard to recognize as the country it is today. There are something like 110 million Mexicans, most of them younger than the average U.S. citizen. The many issues present in Mexico would break the possibilities of the U.S. to handle it reasonably. Chaos would be the result.
这真是个有趣的问题，但也完全荒谬。即便墨西哥主动要求，美国也绝不会这么做！为什么？因为这将彻底改变美国，使其变得难以辨认。墨西哥大约有1.1亿人口，其中大多数比美国平均年龄更年轻。墨西哥存在的诸多问题，将让美国无法合理应对，最终只会导致混乱。
Just remember German reunification. That cost western Germany a fortune, and they were unifying with their own kind. After 26 years, there are still countless mentality and economic issues. Mexico as a society is waaaay different than the U.S. It could be argued, that mexican society is not even truly "western". It is something different, unique.
想想德国统一就知道了：西德为此付出了巨额代价，而他们统一的还是同一种族。26年后的今天，仍然存在无数的思想观念和经济问题。墨西哥社会与美国截然不同，甚至可以说，墨西哥社会并非真正的“西方社会”——它是独特的、与众不同的。
I lived for a lengthy period in Mexico, my in-laws are all people with a rural, farming and ranching background. To give you an idea: Mexican families are often organized strikingly resembling matriarchy! My wife uses to say that I am worse of a macho than most Mexicans. Why? Not because of infidelity, but I do not allow her to boss me around inside the house! Final decisions in her family were taken by the grandmother. This sort of setup is very prent in poorer strata of society, actually a majority. This often stems from the fact, that fathers are absent, usually because they were "let go"!
我在墨西哥生活了很长一段时间，我的姻亲都来自农村，有着务农和牧场经营的背景。举个例子：墨西哥家庭的组织形式往往非常接近母系社会！我妻子常说，我比大多数墨西哥男人更“大男子主义”。为什么？不是因为我不忠，而是因为我不允许她在家里对我发号施令！在她的家庭里，最终决定权掌握在祖母手中。这种情况在贫困阶层中非常普遍，实际上占了大多数。这通常是因为父亲不在身边——通常是被“抛弃”了！
Conclusion. Maybe the U.S. should take over Canada. Less trouble, less people. Maybe in several generations cultures will grow together, or at least learn, to leave each other alone. A great mexican cultural trait: Don't be "metiche"! (nosy, getting into affairs of your neighbors, etc.) I miss that a lot here in Switzerland. Too many unofficial deputies around here.
结论：或许美国应该接管加拿大——麻烦更少，人口也更少。也许再过几代人，两国文化会融合在一起，或者至少学会互不干涉。墨西哥有一个很棒的文化特质：不要做“爱管闲事的人”（多管闲事、插手邻居事务等）。我在瑞士非常怀念这一点，这里有太多爱管闲事的人了。
Bill L. Former Published Writer: at Philadelphia Daily News, Popular Woodworking Magazine, United Paperworkers International2y
比尔·L 前撰稿人（曾任职于《费城每日新闻》《大众木工杂志》《国际联合造纸工人》），2年前回答
Originally Answered: Could Mexico ever be invaded by another country (USA, Canada or any other)? If so, what would happen?
原问题：墨西哥有可能被其他国家（美国、加拿大或其他国家）入侵吗？如果可能，会发生什么？
Theoretically any country could attempt to invade another. The U.S. is extremely unlikely to invade Mexico as both countries have intertwined economies. An invasion would cost far, far more than it could possibly gain, and the United States hasn’t made a land grab in well over a century.
理论上，任何国家都可能试图入侵另一个国家。但美国入侵墨西哥的可能性极小，因为两国经济相互交织。入侵的成本将远远超过可能获得的收益，而且美国已经一个多世纪没有进行过领土掠夺了。
Canada doesn’t have an expeditionary capable military, and even if it did they would have even less to gain from an invasion of Mexico than would the United States.
加拿大没有具备远征能力的军队，即便有，入侵墨西哥对他们来说也比美国更无利可图。
Another country could certainly attempt an invasion, but the United States would probably intervene, as it is American doctrine to consider any foreign attack on North America as an attack on the United States. As of today, there is currently no military on the planet, or even combined militaries, that could mount a seaborne invasion of Mexico and fight off the U.S. Navy and Air Force.
其他国家当然可能试图入侵墨西哥，但美国很可能会进行干预——因为美国的 doctrine 规定，任何对北美的外国攻击都将被视为对美国本身的攻击。截至目前，世界上没有任何一支军队（甚至联合军队）能够对墨西哥发动海上入侵，并击退美国海军和空军。
Little puzzles of society, history and economics in the form of Hypothetical Questions intrigue me.upxed 3y
托德·加德纳 对以假设性问题形式呈现的社会、历史与经济谜题感兴趣，3年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the US tried to conquer Mexico?
原问题：若美国试图征服墨西哥，将会发生什么？
Congress would refuse to give the President the declaration of war that is needed, so the military would be forced to disobey this illegal order. There is no way conservatives want to add 123 million Mexicans to the population of the U.S. Nor do they (fortunately) have the stomach for GENOCIDE. So your proposed invasion is politically impossible. This invasion, if done unilaterally by the President, would be stopped internally before any significant territory could be taken. It is naïve to imagine the U.S. is a single-minded entity that can just do things like this on whim. That's not how collections of people work.
国会会拒绝向总统提供所需的宣战授权，因此军方将被迫违抗这一非法命令。保守派绝不可能愿意让1.23亿墨西哥人加入美国人口，幸运的是，他们也没有实施种族灭绝的魄力。因此，你所设想的入侵在政治上完全行不通。若总统单方面发动入侵，在占领任何重要领土之前，就会被国内力量阻止。认为美国是一个可以随心所欲采取此类行动的单一意志实体，这种想法是天真的——人类群体的运作方式并非如此。
Glenn Mcbride A Mexican attorney, dual nationality and 34 years in Mexico8y
格伦·麦克布赖德 墨西哥律师，拥有双重国籍，在墨西哥生活34年，8年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S. took over Mexico?
原问题：若美国接管墨西哥，将会发生什么？
The US has invaded Mexico 14 times. During the war that President James K. Polk provoked with Mexico for the express reason of taking territory from Mexico and expanding slavery in the west, the US occupied Mexico city for 8 months and flew the US flag over the National Palace in the Zocalo - this ended when Mexico was finally forced to sign a treaty that ceded half of their territory to the US. The last time the US invaded Mexico was during the Revolution in 1914 - once when it tried to capture General Pancho Villa and again when it occupied the port of Veracruz. The US may have conveniently forgotten this history, but every Mexican school child learns this history.
美国曾14次入侵墨西哥。在詹姆斯·K·波尔克总统为夺取墨西哥领土并在西部扩张奴隶制而蓄意挑起的战争中，美国占领墨西哥城长达8个月，并在宪法广场的国家宫上空升起了美国国旗——直到墨西哥被迫签署条约，将一半领土割让给美国，这场占领才结束。美国最后一次入侵墨西哥是在1914年墨西哥革命期间，一次是试图抓捕潘乔·比利亚将军，另一次是占领韦拉克鲁斯港。美国或许已轻易忘记了这段历史，但每个墨西哥学童都铭记着这一切。
Anonymous9y
匿名用户 9年前回答
Originally Answered: If Mexico were attacked, what would the U.S. do?
原问题：若墨西哥遭到攻击，美国会如何应对？
We would curb-stomp the shit out of whoever attacked them, and we wouldn’t stop until there was nothing left of the invader to bury. Nobody on earth besides us is allowed to insult our fifty- second state, let alone attack it. PS. Im sorry, this answer was too funny from the Canadian version, that I had to put it here. But really Mexico is an important trade partner to the US and an important ally, even if there is no alliance treaty. Many Americans go there for vacation. Regardless of what racist people might have you think, we Americans really like Mexico and wish the best for them. So in short, we would help them.
我们会把攻击墨西哥的家伙狠狠收拾一顿，不把入侵者打得片甲不留绝不罢休。除了我们自己，世上没人有资格侮辱我们的“第五十二个州”，更别说攻击它了。附言：抱歉，这个答案的加拿大版本太有趣了，我忍不住照搬过来。但说真的，墨西哥是美国重要的贸易伙伴和盟友，即便没有正式的同盟条约。许多美国人会去墨西哥度假。不管种族主义者让你怎么想，我们美国人真的很喜欢墨西哥，也祝愿他们一切顺利。所以简而言之，我们会伸出援手。
Manuel Echeverria Lives in Mexico8y
曼努埃尔·埃切维里亚 居住于墨西哥，8年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if a blood-lusted United States invaded Mexico?
原问题：若穷凶极恶的美国入侵墨西哥，将会发生什么？
Mexico's military and government would be royally, monumentally fucked… For a while. There's no question about the fact that the American military is the. Best. In. The. World. And Mexico is a peaceful country that has traditionally been a U.S. ally, so it's had no incentive to plan for that particular scenario; quite the opposite. Up until very recently, we (Mexicans) were fairly confident that our army could deal with aggression from any single one of our southern neighbors except Brazil (which is too far anyway), and that, should a stronger foreign power invade Mexico, then maybe our 2 most important trading partners might see a threat to their business interests (and/or their borders) and maybe, just maybe, divert a plane wing or two to help and that would be the end of that.
墨西哥的军队和政府会在短期内遭受毁灭性打击……这是毋庸置疑的。美国军队无疑是世界上最强大的，而墨西哥是一个和平国家，传统上一直是美国的盟友，因此根本没有动力为这种特定场景做准备——恰恰相反。直到最近，我们（墨西哥人）还相当有信心，我们的军队能够应对除巴西（反正距离遥远）之外任何南部邻国的挑衅，而且如果有更强大的外国势力入侵墨西哥，我们最重要的两个贸易伙伴或许会意识到其商业利益（和/或边境安全）受到威胁，可能会派出一两支航空联队提供援助，问题也就迎刃而解了。
But if the U.S. (or Canada, for that matter) were serious about winning a war of attrition against Mexico, the odds against Mexico are so astronomical, our military doesn't even bother to plan for it. Which is exactly why Mexico's foreign relations strategy with the U.S. has been one of broadening the strategic alliance.
但如果美国（或者加拿大，姑且这么说）真的决心与墨西哥打一场消耗战，墨西哥的胜算微乎其微，以至于我们的军队甚至懒得为此制定计划。这也正是墨西哥对美外交战略始终致力于扩大战略同盟的原因所在。
Having said that, Mexico can and has earned a lot of favor with the international community. Mexican governments, despite belonging to different party affiliations, have historically earned a reputation for leaving everybody alone but at the same time being friendly and reliable to help when shit hits the fan (like when we deployed our military to deliver emergency supplies and aid in the Haitian earthquake, or even during Hurricane Katrina).
话虽如此，墨西哥能够且已经赢得了国际社会的广泛支持。尽管墨西哥历届政府分属不同党派，但在历史上都有着“不干涉他国内政，同时在危机时刻友好可靠地提供援助”的声誉——比如在海地地震或卡特里娜飓风期间，我们派遣军队运送紧急物资和援助。
Because of this reliance on diplomacy, Mexico also has a fairly strong background of training good diplomats and public international lawyers, who would probably take it on themselves to make the war as difficult and expensive for Americans as they could. In the process, the war would be publicly known.
由于对 diplomacy 的依赖，墨西哥在培养优秀外交官和国际公法律师方面也有着相当深厚的底蕴，这些人很可能会主动行动，尽可能让美国在这场战争中付出高昂的代价、陷入困境，同时让这场战争的真相公之于众。
Bear in mind that the international community became a thing precisely as a result of the lessons learned from 1939. Starting a war for kicks and giggles is pretty much the definition of a crime of aggression. So I don't think other countries' response to such a thing would be the same.
要知道，国际社会的形成正是源于1939年的历史教训。为了取乐而发动战争，几乎就是侵略罪的定义。因此，我认为其他国家对此事的反应绝不会是无动于衷。
Furthermore, once the Mexican government is overthrown come the difficulties of keeping your standing army in the role of an occupation force, while people assimilate the occupation -or resist it. The Vietnam War proved that occupying a country does not always equal a victory if the locals will resist you enough. How bitter would a Mexican resistance be would probably depend much on how the Americans conducted themselves during the war.
此外，一旦墨西哥政府被推翻，将常备军用作占领军的困难就会显现——民众要么接受占领，要么奋起反抗。越南战争已经证明，如果当地人进行顽强抵抗，占领一个国家并不等于取得胜利。墨西哥抵抗运动的激烈程度，很可能取决于美国人在战争期间的行为方式。
Lastly, I am going to assume for the purpose of this question that the country that suddenly becomes possessed of this unexplained bloodlust is the U.S. with its current demographics. If that's the case, then we would have to account for an important number of Mexican-American dual citizens, or second and third-generation Mexican descendants with claim to a Mexican nationality/citizenship and/or family in Mexico. I don't think they would take kindly to an attack that could potentially harm their family and friends. Then there's also an untold number of people in small but crucial roles -from food growers to bureaucrats- who could throw little but important wrenches in the works of the would be invasion.
最后，为了回答这个问题，我假设这个突然变得嗜血好战、原因不明的国家是拥有当前人口结构的美国。如果是这样的话，我们就必须考虑到大量墨西哥裔美国双重公民，或是拥有墨西哥国籍/公民身份、在墨西哥有亲属的第二代和第三代墨西哥后裔。我认为他们不会对可能伤害亲友的攻击无动于衷。此外，还有无数身处微小但关键岗位的人——从农民到官员——他们都能给这场潜在的入侵制造一些虽小却重要的麻烦。
That being said, the U.S. does, without a doubt, have the military capacity, resources and strategical know-how to run Mexico to the ground several times over even while pulling punches.
尽管如此，毫无疑问，即便有所保留，美国也拥有足够的军事能力、资源和战略智慧，将墨西哥彻底击垮多次。
Carlos Gutierrez3y
卡洛斯·古铁雷斯 3年前回答
first, the USA would be invading its 3rd largest economical partner, severing a lot of its own production lines. second, you would definitely crush our army if it were to face the US army in a frontal assault, but guess what, our army has trained since, ever to fight an asymmetrical war against the USA, because, the USA is the only country that is a threat to us, so every training exercise about a foreign invasion assumes the invasion of a powerful enemy through our northern border. third, it would be vietnam all over again, but worse, mexico is way bigger, have a lot more man power and we could easily go to your own turf and wreck havoc among your cities, poison water, maybe blow up one or two dams or even a nuclear plants.
首先，美国将入侵其第三大经济伙伴，这会切断自身大量生产线。其次，若墨西哥军队与美国军队正面交锋，无疑会被击溃，但你知道吗？自那以后，我们的军队就一直在训练如何与美国打非对称战争——因为美国是唯一对我们构成威胁的国家，所以所有关于外国入侵的训练演习，都假设是强大敌人从北部边境入侵。第三，这将是越南战争的重演，而且会更糟：墨西哥领土广阔得多，人力也充沛得多，我们可以轻易潜入你们的领土，在你们的城市制造混乱——投毒水源、炸毁一两座水坝，甚至核电站。
Edit: also there is the historical evidence, in the past we have been reckless and bold engaging in combat the USA military after its landgrabbing of 1848. Pershing expedition, Carrizal, marina Cruz, Tampico, Veracruz, oil expropriation and supplying of oil to the Nazis, etc. We fought and did a lot of what for other countries would have mean an automatic invasion by the USA but that we have gotten away with barely any negative consequences, and you know what, we know that the USA won't be attacking us, our economies have become so entangled that they would be almost attacking itself, at least economically.
补充：还有历史证据可以证明。1848年美国掠夺墨西哥领土后，我们曾多次鲁莽而勇敢地与美国军队交战——潘兴远征、卡里萨尔战役、克鲁斯港事件、坦皮科事件、韦拉克鲁斯占领、石油国有化以及向纳粹供应石油等。我们做了很多在其他国家看来会招致美国直接入侵的事情，但却几乎没有受到任何负面后果。而且你知道吗？我们清楚美国不会攻击我们，两国经济已经深度交织，攻击墨西哥几乎等同于美国自我攻击——至少在经济层面是如此。
Francisco Ángeles6y
弗朗西斯科·安赫莱斯 6年前回答
The answer is complicated, a lot of things would happen, that we could not know until the day it happens, but just for the record, I being a mexican, would rather die fighting than letting any country to occupy my country, is in my blood, in my genes, and I am very sure that more than half of the 120 millions of mexicans think and feel the same way, I know that fighting the United States is suicide, but death is the only way when my nation is being invaded! The mexicans would fight for our children and our land, the United States would fight for the interests of a few men of the elite, period.
答案很复杂，会发生很多我们直到事发当天才能知晓的事情，但必须明确的是：作为墨西哥人，我宁愿战死也不愿让任何国家占领我的国家——这是刻在我血液里、基因里的信念。我敢肯定，1.2亿墨西哥人中超过一半都和我有同样的想法。我知道与美国作战无异于自杀，但当国家遭到入侵时，死亡是唯一的选择！墨西哥人为我们的孩子和土地而战，而美国则是为少数精英阶层的利益而战，仅此而已。
Michael Roberts playing old-school RPGs since 1979.8y
迈克尔·罗伯茨 自1979年起玩老式角色扮演游戏，8年前回答
I answered an identical question not too long ago. Here we go: In broad overview, the military phase will succeed rapidly. That’s a given. Mexico will fall and we will occupy every square inch of it. Then the insurgency will start.
不久前我回答过一个完全相同的问题，现在再复述一遍：总体而言，军事阶段将迅速取得成功——这是毋庸置疑的。墨西哥会沦陷，我们将占领它的每一寸土地。但随后，叛乱就会爆发。
What Mexico has—in addition to its surviving military—in terms of insurgency capabilities are the narcotraficantes. They are very capable of extreme scientifically applied violence. We will be bled dry, and not just inside Mexico. Unlike our losses to the Viet Cong and the Mujaheddin, we will have an enemy right next door. Insurgents will bypass any Great Wall with next to no difficulty due to their long experience with smuggling, and they will conduct terror operations on U.S. turf.
墨西哥除了残存的军队外，在叛乱能力方面还有一个重要力量——贩毒集团。他们擅长运用极端且具有科学性的暴力手段。我们将被耗尽元气，而且不仅仅是在墨西哥境内。与我们在越共和圣战者身上遭受的损失不同，这次我们的敌人就在隔壁。凭借长期的走私经验，叛乱分子可以毫无困难地绕过任何“长城”，并在美国领土上开展恐怖活动。
Mexican freedom fighters will hit any soft target they can, from railway stations to power distribution hubs to sporting arenas. Destruction of infrastructure will be first priority—hit us where it costs—followed by targets of mass civilian casualties—hit us where it feels.
墨西哥自由战士会袭击任何他们能找到的软目标，从火车站、配电网枢纽到体育场馆。破坏基础设施将是首要任务——打击我们的经济要害；其次是造成大规模平民伤亡的目标——打击我们的心理防线。
Short version, we will win the war and lose the insurgency. Even after Viet Nam, Somalia, Afghanistan, and Iraq, our military is not set up to deal with it at all. Expensive stealth fighters and next-generation main battle tanks are meaningless against a determined, organized, properly planned insurgent network.
简而言之，我们会赢得战争，但会输掉平叛。即便经历了越南、索马里、阿富汗和伊拉克战争，我们的军队依然完全不具备应对叛乱的能力。昂贵的隐形战斗机和下一代主战坦克，在意志坚定、组织有序、计划周密的叛乱网络面前毫无意义。
Michael Capelli Lives in The United States of America5y
迈克尔·卡佩利 居住于美国，5年前回答
Originally Answered: If Mexico were attacked, what would the U.S. do?
原问题：若墨西哥遭到攻击，美国会如何应对？
I’m throwing a curve ball that’s sure to fire some people up….Mexico has already been attacked and overrun, the United States has not only turned a blind eye politically to this, we directly fund and support the occupying enemy.
我要抛出一个肯定会引发争议的观点……墨西哥其实已经遭到攻击并被侵占了，美国不仅在政治上对此视而不见，还直接资助和支持了这个占领者。
The United States ever increasing demand for black market commodities has made a very lucrative business for our neighbors to the south. The political and economic climate for a majority of those nations has created a perfect environment for organized crime.
美国对黑市商品的需求日益增长，这为我们的南方邻国创造了利润丰厚的生意。这些国家的政治和经济环境，为有组织犯罪提供了绝佳的滋生土壤。
We helped create the “Cartels” that really control Mexico and most of Central and South America. The amount of wealth they have created from human trafficking, drugs, weapons and much more rivals Mexico and many other nations GDP. That’s just part of the issue, these “Cartels” rule with an iron fist. They took the methods for control from leaders like Stalin or Pol Pot and combined it with the savvy of old Italian mobsters family model. Then bought, exploited and terrorized the Mexican people and used United States politics and laws to their advantage.
是我们帮助造就了那些真正控制着墨西哥以及中南美洲大部分地区的“贩毒集团”。他们通过人口贩卖、毒品交易、武器走私等活动积累的财富，足以与墨西哥及许多其他国家的国内生产总值相匹敌。更严重的是，这些“贩毒集团”实行铁腕统治——他们借鉴了斯大林、波尔布特等领导人的控制手段，结合了意大利老牌黑手党的家族式管理智慧，通过收买、剥削和恐吓墨西哥民众，并利用美国的政治和法律为自身谋利。
The “Cartels” proximity and virtual unfettered access to the U.S has attracted the attention of nation states who desire that access for economic and military gain. The control “Cartels” have over the Mexican government is so obvious by the ineffective actions of law enforcement and failed military operations, then the response from Mexican leadership when deadly altercations happen from said “Cartels”. If you apply logic to this situation “Cartels” are in a position to receive assistance from foreign governments and influence decisions of the Mexican government.
贩毒集团地理位置靠近美国，且几乎可以不受限制地进入美国境内，这吸引了一些国家的关注——这些国家希望利用这种便利获取经济和军事利益。从执法部门的无效行动、军事行动的失败，以及墨西哥领导层在贩毒集团引发致命冲突时的反应中，不难看出贩毒集团对墨西哥政府的控制有多深。从逻辑上讲，贩毒集团如今已经能够接受外国政府的援助，并影响墨西哥政府的决策。
Why is there an argument for border security or immigration laws that allows and encourages people to enter the US any way possible? Why do we give anyone attempting to enter this nation constitutional rights and tax entitlements without a commitment and responsibility to become a citizen? Why do we allow and encourage illegal immigrants to risk their life coming to the US, working in sub-standard conditions, with low-wages and technically no rights as a citizen? Why are taxpaying citizens shamed and ridiculed when they ask these questions or disagree with open borders and stricter policies?
为什么会有人争论边境安全或移民法，却允许并鼓励人们以任何可能的方式进入美国？为什么我们会给予任何试图进入这个国家的人宪法权利和税收福利，而不要求他们承担成为公民的义务和责任？为什么我们允许并鼓励非法移民冒着生命危险来到美国，在恶劣的条件下从事低薪工作，且在法律上没有任何公民权利？为什么纳税公民在提出这些问题或反对开放边境及更严格政策时，会受到羞辱和嘲笑？
The United States has encouraged “Cartels” to over-throw the Mexican government. Without enforcing border security and immigration we continue to encourage this enemy and others to exploit this weakness and fortify their position. History shows us how most powerful nations has fallen. Weaken them first from the inside, attempt to divide and turn them against each other. So my answer is we allowed Mexico to be attacked and overrun now America is vulnerable to that same style of attack. Just as long as our slaves and drugs continue to get here at the cheapest price.
美国一直在纵容贩毒集团推翻墨西哥政府。由于不加强边境安全和移民管控，我们继续让这个敌人及其他势力利用这一弱点，巩固他们的地位。历史告诉我们，大多数强国的衰落都是从内部被削弱开始的——先分裂他们，让他们自相残杀。因此，我的答案是：我们允许墨西哥被攻击和侵占，如今美国也面临着同样方式的攻击风险。只要我们还能以最低的价格获得“奴隶”和毒品，这种情况就会持续下去。
Michael Jimenez7y
迈克尔·希门尼斯 7年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S invaded Mexico? What would be the consequences for the rest of the world?
原问题：若美国入侵墨西哥，将会发生什么？对世界其他地区会有哪些影响？
There really is nothing to gain, if the United States militarily invaded Mexico. The rest of the world would just see it as, the U.S. being an aggressor nation attacking one of its neighbors. Of course the rest of Latin America would condemn the invasion, the United Nations would most likely condemn it, though to be honest most other nations would only verbally condemn the attack, I highly doubt any other nation would try to intervene militarily, to them it just wouldn’t be worth it.
美国军事入侵墨西哥实在毫无益处可言。世界其他地区只会将其视为侵略国攻击邻国的行为。拉丁美洲其他国家肯定会谴责这场入侵，联合国也很可能会发声谴责，但说实话，大多数其他国家只会口头谴责，我非常怀疑有哪个国家会采取军事干预——对他们来说，这完全得不偿失。
Now with all of that out of the way, here’s what would the American Occupational Forces would be in for: the majority of the populace would be most uncooperative with Occupational Soldiers, even so much as attacking them outright, guerrilla hit and run tactics, IED’s, sabotage, and assassinations of Officers and other key figures, an organized resistance would appear and the carnage that is happening to our soldiers right now in the Middle East, would repeat itself in the Occupied Territories.
抛开这些不谈，美国占领军将面临以下局面：大多数民众会极力不配合占领军，甚至直接攻击他们；游击队员会采用打了就跑的战术、使用简易爆炸装置、实施破坏活动，并暗杀军官及其他关键人物；有组织的抵抗运动将会兴起，而我们的士兵目前在中东遭遇的屠杀，将在被占领土上重演。
There would be some factions that would cooperate with the Occupational Forces such as the Mexican Upper Class, but they would be getting some sort of compensation for doing so, and would be seen as Traitors by the Resistance and targeted for assassination.
会有一些派系（如墨西哥上层阶级）愿意与占领军合作，但他们这么做必然是为了获得某种补偿，而且会被抵抗运动视为叛徒，成为暗杀目标。
As with The Vietnam War, the Occupation of Mexico would take on a toll on the Occupational Troops, from PTSD to maiming and killing, and it would also take its toll on the Home Front, as horror stories from Troops and The Media would begin to show the U.S. what a Meat Grinder we have just gotten ourselves into. The American People, sick and tired of War, would call for a withdrawal from The Occupied Territories, an end to hostilities from a War that should have never have happened.
与越南战争一样，占领墨西哥将给占领军带来沉重代价——创伤后应激障碍（PTSD）、伤残甚至死亡。同时，这也会影响美国本土：士兵和媒体传回的恐怖报道，将让美国民众意识到自己陷入了一场怎样的“绞肉机”战争。厌倦了战争的美国民众会呼吁从被占领土撤军，结束这场本就不该发生的敌对行动。
And, there will be long lasting consequences in the entire Western Hemisphere for the United States: what little trust we had with ALL of Latin America would be gone for good, every nation south of the border, whether that be Texas or The Occupied Territories, would become much more militaristic, it could even lead to the rise of a faction from Latin America that would seek the destruction of the United States once and for all.
此外，美国在整个西半球将面临长期后果：我们与所有拉丁美洲国家之间仅存的一点信任将彻底消失；边境以南的每个国家（无论是得克萨斯州还是被占领土）都将变得更加军事化；甚至可能会出现一个来自拉丁美洲的派系，寻求彻底摧毁美国。
Dieter Neth Have lived in Mexico and Switzerland for many years9y
迪特尔·内特 在墨西哥和瑞士生活多年，9年前回答
Originally Answered: What would happen if the U.S. took over Mexico?
原问题：若美国接管墨西哥，将会发生什么？
That is a really funny question, perfectly absurd, however. They would never do that even when asked by Mexico! Why? It would change the U.S. to an extent that it would be hard to recognize as the country it is today. There are something like 110 million Mexicans, most of them younger than the average U.S. citizen. The many issues present in Mexico would break the possibilities of the U.S. to handle it reasonably. Chaos would be the result.
这真是个有趣的问题，但也完全荒谬。即便墨西哥主动要求，美国也绝不会这么做！为什么？因为这将彻底改变美国，使其变得难以辨认。墨西哥大约有1.1亿人口，其中大多数比美国平均年龄更年轻。墨西哥存在的诸多问题，将让美国无法合理应对，最终只会导致混乱。
Just remember German reunification. That cost western Germany a fortune, and they were unifying with their own kind. After 26 years, there are still countless mentality and economic issues. Mexico as a society is waaaay different than the U.S. It could be argued, that mexican society is not even truly "western". It is something different, unique.
想想德国统一就知道了：西德为此付出了巨额代价，而他们统一的还是同一种族。26年后的今天，仍然存在无数的思想观念和经济问题。墨西哥社会与美国截然不同，甚至可以说，墨西哥社会并非真正的“西方社会”——它是独特的、与众不同的。
I lived for a lengthy period in Mexico, my in-laws are all people with a rural, farming and ranching background. To give you an idea: Mexican families are often organized strikingly resembling matriarchy! My wife uses to say that I am worse of a macho than most Mexicans. Why? Not because of infidelity, but I do not allow her to boss me around inside the house! Final decisions in her family were taken by the grandmother. This sort of setup is very prent in poorer strata of society, actually a majority. This often stems from the fact, that fathers are absent, usually because they were "let go"!
我在墨西哥生活了很长一段时间，我的姻亲都来自农村，有着务农和牧场经营的背景。举个例子：墨西哥家庭的组织形式往往非常接近母系社会！我妻子常说，我比大多数墨西哥男人更“大男子主义”。为什么？不是因为我不忠，而是因为我不允许她在家里对我发号施令！在她的家庭里，最终决定权掌握在祖母手中。这种情况在贫困阶层中非常普遍，实际上占了大多数。这通常是因为父亲不在身边——通常是被“抛弃”了！
Conclusion. Maybe the U.S. should take over Canada. Less trouble, less people. Maybe in several generations cultures will grow together, or at least learn, to leave each other alone. A great mexican cultural trait: Don't be "metiche"! (nosy, getting into affairs of your neighbors, etc.) I miss that a lot here in Switzerland. Too many unofficial deputies around here.
结论：或许美国应该接管加拿大——麻烦更少，人口也更少。也许再过几代人，两国文化会融合在一起，或者至少学会互不干涉。墨西哥有一个很棒的文化特质：不要做“爱管闲事的人”（多管闲事、插手邻居事务等）。我在瑞士非常怀念这一点，这里有太多爱管闲事的人了。
Bill L. Former Published Writer: at Philadelphia Daily News, Popular Woodworking Magazine, United Paperworkers International2y
比尔·L 前撰稿人（曾任职于《费城每日新闻》《大众木工杂志》《国际联合造纸工人》），2年前回答
Originally Answered: Could Mexico ever be invaded by another country (USA, Canada or any other)? If so, what would happen?
原问题：墨西哥有可能被其他国家（美国、加拿大或其他国家）入侵吗？如果可能，会发生什么？
Theoretically any country could attempt to invade another. The U.S. is extremely unlikely to invade Mexico as both countries have intertwined economies. An invasion would cost far, far more than it could possibly gain, and the United States hasn’t made a land grab in well over a century.
理论上，任何国家都可能试图入侵另一个国家。但美国入侵墨西哥的可能性极小，因为两国经济相互交织。入侵的成本将远远超过可能获得的收益，而且美国已经一个多世纪没有进行过领土掠夺了。
Canada doesn’t have an expeditionary capable military, and even if it did they would have even less to gain from an invasion of Mexico than would the United States.
加拿大没有具备远征能力的军队，即便有，入侵墨西哥对他们来说也比美国更无利可图。
Another country could certainly attempt an invasion, but the United States would probably intervene, as it is American doctrine to consider any foreign attack on North America as an attack on the United States. As of today, there is currently no military on the planet, or even combined militaries, that could mount a seaborne invasion of Mexico and fight off the U.S. Navy and Air Force.
其他国家当然可能试图入侵墨西哥，但美国很可能会进行干预——因为美国的 doctrine 规定，任何对北美的外国攻击都将被视为对美国本身的攻击。截至目前，世界上没有任何一支军队（甚至联合军队）能够对墨西哥发动海上入侵，并击退美国海军和空军。
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