将俄罗斯排除在SWIFT之外，如何“摧毁”美元地位
How Cutting Russia From SWIFT Destroyed the Dollar Forever
译文简介
将俄罗斯排除在SWIFT之外，如何“摧毁”美元地位。视频不错，有时间的可以稍微看看
正文翻译
正文：
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
[video]//player.bilibili.com/player.html?aid=115644427147380&bvid=BV1NqS1BbEbA&cid=34421607297[/video]
On February 26th, 2022, the US and EU cut Russia from SWIFT and froze $300 billion in reserves. It looked like the ultimate financial weapon. Russia would collapse within months. But two years later, Russia's economy is growing, the ruble recovered, and 50+ countries are now building alternatives to the dollar system.This wasn't the first time a dominant power weaponized finance. It's happened four times in the last 110 years. And every single time, the same pattern played out:Stage 1: Dominant power controls the payment system
Stage 2: Weaponizes it against enemies
Stage 3: Targets find alternatives
Stage 4: Neutral countries hedge their bets
Stage 5: The weapon loses all powerBritain did this in 1914 by freezing German assets. By 1944, the pound lost reserve currency status. 30 years from weaponization to collapse.The US weaponized SWIFT in 2022. The clock is ticking.Here's what's happening RIGHT NOW:
→ Dollar's share of global reserves dropped from 71% (1999) to 58% (2024)
→ China's CIPS system doubled from $12T to $27T in three years
→ 40% of Russian trade now settles in non-dollar currencies
→ Saudi Arabia accepts yuan for oil, breaking the 50-year petrodollar
→ Central banks bought 3,000+ tons of gold in three years (highest since 1970s)The SWIFT weapon worked tactically for 6 months. But strategically, it destroyed dollar dominance forever. Russia proved you can survive outside the system. Now everyone's building alternatives.The pattern says America has 15-25 years before the dollar loses reserve status. Not eliminated, but no longer dominant. A multipolar currency world.China wins. BRICS wins. Gold wins. America loses the ability to print unlimited money and export inflation.This is the end of dollar hegemony. Not through military defeat, but through financial suicide.
2022年2月26日，美国与欧盟将俄罗斯切断与SWIFT系统的连接，并冻结了其3000亿美元的外汇储备。这看似是终极金融武器——俄罗斯将在数月内崩溃。然而两年过去，俄罗斯经济却在增长，卢布已回升，50多个国家如今正在构建美元体系的替代方案。
这并非主导大国首次将金融武器化。在过去110年中，这种情况已发生过四次。而每一次都遵循相同的模式：
第一阶段：主导大国掌控支付系统
第二阶段：将其作为武器打击对手
第三阶段：被制裁方寻找替代方案
第四阶段：中立国家开始对冲风险
第五阶段：该武器彻底失效
1914年，英国曾冻结德国资产。到1944年，英镑便失去了全球储备货币地位——从金融武器化到体系崩溃，历时约30年。
2022年，美国对SWIFT实施武器化。倒计时已然开始。
以下正是当下正在发生的事：
1.美元在全球外汇储备中的占比从1999年的71%降至2024年的58%
2.中国人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）三年内结算量从12万亿美元翻倍至27万亿美元
3.俄罗斯40%的贸易如今以非美元货币结算
4.沙特阿拉伯接受人民币购买石油，打破了持续50年的“石油美元”机制
5.全球央行在三年内购入超3000吨黄金（为1970年代以来最高水平）
SWIFT武器在战术上奏效了六个月，但在战略上却永远摧毁了美元的霸权地位。俄罗斯证明了脱离现有体系仍可生存，如今各国纷纷着手建立替代方案。
历史规律表明，美国还有15至25年时间，美元才会彻底失去储备货币地位——并非完全消失，而是不再占据主导。世界正迈向多极货币格局。
中国胜出，金砖国家胜出，黄金胜出。美国则丧失了无限印钞并向全球输出通胀的能力。
这标志着美元霸权的终结——并非源于军事失败，而是源于金融上的自我毁灭。
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The empire is falling not Russia
正在衰落的是帝国，并非俄罗斯
@DollarSecrets-j4g
Quietly, methodically, strategically, China has built parallel systems — payment networks, commodity exchanges, sovereign digital infrastructure, and non-dollar settlement pipelines — designed to survive the exact moment Washington decides to turn sanctions into an economic weapon against Beijing.
中国正以悄无声息、有条不紊且富有战略眼光的方式，构建起一系列平行体系 —— 涵盖支付网络、大宗商品交易平台、主权数字基础设施以及非美元结算渠道。这些体系的设计初衷，正是为了应对华盛顿方面一旦决定将制裁作为针对中国的经济武器时，中国能够具备抵御能力并正常运转。
@AlexLsky-c5s
@DollarSecrets-j4g the art of War huh
《孙子兵法》是吧？
@YourBritishLord
Russia already got disintegrated.
You can worship the tick and oblate meanwhile for the empire to fall
俄罗斯早已分崩离析。
你大可一边崇拜那个“蜱虫”和“扁平面包”，一边坐等帝国垮台。
@Levon_RnD
@YourBritishLord You are so silly with this We have collapsed, really? Open your eyes, we are fine.
你这样真是太傻了，我们已经崩溃了？真的吗？睁开眼睛看看，我们好得很。
@YourBritishLord
@Levon_RnD ..you are fine?!!
Lost land to 15 new counties
Couldnt even occupy entire Ukraine in 3 years.
Now have been dependent on oil buyers to run war Run economy
Hilariously those buyers are now paying the heavy price for your friendship LOL
……你们那算还好？！
领土已经分裂出去，成立了15个新国家
连整个乌克兰打了三年都没能完全占领
如今只能靠石油买家来维持战争、支撑经济
可笑的是，这些买家现在正为和你们的“友谊”付出惨重代价，哈哈！
@galupas
Even in Australia, China has demanded that all Trade will now be settled in Yuan and AU Dollars, and Australia agreed.
即便在澳大利亚，中国也已要求所有贸易今后以人民币和澳元结算，而澳大利亚已同意。
@somphaonamnakhone6801
because China didn't trust USD. The most of the empires had been collapsed from the past they had too much debt, and the next empire will be collapsed it will be......, i let you guess, which country?
因为中国不再信任美元。历史上大多数帝国的崩溃，都是因为债务过高。而下一个即将崩溃的帝国将会是……来猜猜看，会是哪个国家？
@os3ujziC
Why would anyone want to trade in USD if the US can steal your money anytime with some fake excuse?
如果美国能随时找个借口就偷走你的钱，谁还愿意用美元进行贸易呢？
@sennaha
China won't globalized it's money. China tightly controls a small percentage of their currency outside its borders.
中国不会让其货币全面全球化。中国严格控制着境外流通的人民币，仅允许很小一部分在境外流通。
@oliversmith2129
@sennaha because you cannot have a reserve currency and be a net exporter. It is technically impossible
因为你不可能同时拥有储备货币地位并保持净出口国身份，这在技术上是不可能的。
@撷星芒
@sennaha anchor for the currency Yuan yet determined.
人民币的锚定机制尚未确定。
@pevnik
This process of weakening the US Dollar will go fast.
美元削弱的这一进程将会快速推进。
@geografiainfinitului
3:17 US weaponized SWIFT first time in 2012 with Iran, second time in 2022 with Russia. So the process is well under way. Interesting is that 2012 things really started to turn to SH|T economically in the West...
3:17 美国首次将SWIFT武器化是在2012年针对伊朗，第二次是在2022年针对俄罗斯。因此，（美元体系的削弱）进程已在顺利推进中。有趣的是，2012年之后，西方的经济状况真的开始变得一团糟……
@lazapololapolo9824
@pevnik US dollar as the reserve currency will be over in less than 20 years. It will be no more than 5 years. No one will want to touch the US dollar until US backs the dollar with something substantial like gold. As we speak countries are not buying US debt therefore US has to buy its own debt LOL
美元作为储备货币的地位将在不到20年内终结——实际上，很可能连5年都撑不了。除非美国用黄金等实质性资产为美元提供支撑，否则没人会再碰美元。就在此刻，各国已不再购买美国国债，因此美国只能自己购买自己的债务，哈哈！
@niburu1508
@lazapololapolo9824 BRICS is backing its currency with gold.
金砖国家正在用黄金为其货币提供支撑。
@lazapololapolo9824
@niburu1508 Yes and more countries are working with BRICS and wanting to join as well
是的，而且越来越多的国家正在与金砖国家合作，并希望加入其中。
@monaliza3334
@niburu1508 Great coz the west have none...Just the paper
挺好的，因为西方国家啥都没有啊…… 就只剩纸而已。
@Lomonsov
Russia – the global leader of the revolt against West system
俄罗斯——反抗西方体系的全球领军者。
@heyhoe168
Not really. Russia simply fights for freedom.
并非如此。俄罗斯只是在为自由而战。
@findalpup
The only one who controls the world money is The Federal Reserve System of the United States, they just print new dollars when US needs and they don't care about inflation... few years ago they literally just printed 10 trillion dollars for US government and that strongly increased global inflation because everyone in the world use dollar as their reserves or would be more correct to say that USA make them use it.
And Russia is just trying to fight it because since 90s Russia was basicaly the colony of the USA. New constitution was basicaly written by US special services, CIA agents literally were in remlin during 90s ...And in 90s and 00s Russia was basicaly robbed of a billion dollars everyday in natural resouces, money , property, business and etc. That's why the west hating Putin so much because he is freeing Russia from colonial opression, and that's why EU and US were so rich during last few decades.
真正掌控全球货币的，只有美国联邦储备系统（美联储）。每当美国需要钱时，他们就直接印制新美元，完全不在乎通货膨胀。几年前，他们甚至直接为美国政府“印”了10万亿美元，这极大地推高了全球通胀——因为全世界各国都把美元当作外汇储备，或者更准确地说，是美国强迫他们使用美元。
而俄罗斯只是在努力反抗这种体系。因为在1990年代，俄罗斯基本上成了美国的殖民地：新宪法几乎是由美国情报机构代笔撰写的，CIA特工在90年代甚至公然出现在克里姆林宫。整个90年代和2000年代，俄罗斯每天都在被掠夺数十亿美元的自然资源、资金、财产和企业。
正因如此，西方才如此憎恨普京——因为他正在带领俄罗斯摆脱这种殖民压迫。也正是靠着这种对俄罗斯的长期掠夺，欧盟和美国在过去几十年才得以积累巨额财富。
@Lomonsov
@findalpup True my friend, true. Also the 2008 crisis and all financial crisis of the world is cause of that FRS that are not belonging to American peoples, but to Jew clans and bankers who can printed as how much money they want, and in 2008 they secretly printed nearly like 17 trillion dollars for their banks, and no western media were talked about that, ever. The same with Rockstar that are basically just the owner of the all western corporations whose peoples thinks that they are independent self owners, but It’s not true the whole this Plutocratic system is much worse them anything socialist or communist were have or even Monarchies, im really glad that western peoples are starting awakening.
说得对，朋友，确实如此。此外，2008年金融危机以及全球所有金融危機的根源，都在于那个美联储——它并不属于美国人民，而是掌握在某些犹太财阀和银行家手中，他们想印多少钱就印多少钱。2008年，他们秘密为自己的银行印了将近17万亿美元，而西方媒体却从未对此进行过任何报道，一次都没有。
还有洛克菲勒家族，他们基本上就是所有西方大企业的真正所有者。普通民众以为这些企业是独立自主的，但事实并非如此。整个这套寡头统治体系，比历史上任何社会主义、共产主义制度，甚至君主制都要糟糕得多。我真心感到欣慰，西方民众终于开始觉醒了。
@niburu1508
@findalpup that’s what contributed to the toilet paper value of the dollar. The Fed has NO MONEY - they were unable to pay wages etc.
这正是导致美元沦为“厕纸般价值”的原因之一。美联储根本没有钱——他们连工资等基本支出都无法支付。
@shoora813
Unintentionally. Russia only wanted washington to honor it’s obligations and promises, and respect others. Instead the neocons kept installing puppets and occupy more and more countries, surrounding independent countries with the belt of hostile regimes - “anaconda plan”, how they called it.
事与愿违。俄罗斯原本只是希望美国政府履行其义务与承诺，并尊重他国。然而，新保守主义者却不断扶持傀儡政权、侵占越来越多的国家，用敌对政权构成的“包围圈”包围那些独立国家 —— 他们将这一策略称为 “蟒蛇计划”。
@matthewbattaglia7329
Including the revolt against nihilism and eliminating borders, culture and Christianity.
包括反抗虚无主义，以及反对消除国界、文化和基督教。
@grassseed3362
It’ll be 5 years or less. America is is done and its planned war with Venezuela for oil won’t end like they think.
最多五年，甚至更短。美国已经完了，它策划的对委内瑞拉的战争——为了石油——不会像他们想象的那样收场。
@KevinBalch-dt8ot
It’s not a war for oil. Israel claims Iran uses Venezuela as a base. The US is completely subservient to Israel.
这并不是一场为了石油的战争。以色列声称伊朗将委内瑞拉用作基地。而美国则完全听命于以色列。
@naijojosan
@KevinBalch-dt8ot the US always finds an excuse for their greedy action to any countries on Israel's interest.
美国总是以以色列的利益为由，为其针对任何国家的贪婪行径寻找借口。
@jerrellholder8382
@KevinBalch-dt8ot it is for oil, and the fact Venezuela is more leaning towards BRICS
这确实是为了石油，而且委内瑞拉正越来越倾向于加入金砖国家，这也是事实。
@KevinBalch-dt8ot
@jerrellholder8382 - Bullshit. It’s Izrull. They OWN Trump as they owned Biden and everyone else.
胡说八道。这都是以色列在背后操控。他们掌控着特朗普，就像掌控拜登以及所有其他人一样。
@jerrellholder8382
@KevinBalch-dt8ot both can be true
两者都可能是真的。
@Antony-ng9yj
@jerrellholder8382 well if it has to do with brics then it's not oil - it's currency pure and simple. Like the saying goes "there's a sucker born everyday".
嗯，如果这事和金砖国家有关，那核心就不是石油——纯粹就是货币问题，简单明了。就像俗语说的，“傻瓜天天有”。
@ichbeen9954
@KevinBalch-dt8ot Oh child it is an excuse.
Do you think Venezuela suddenly Support Iran?
Plus has World's largest Oil reserves?
3 times that of USA and Russia combined?!??
Do you think all of this is coincidence?
哦，孩子，这就是个借口罢了。你以为委内瑞拉是突然开始支持伊朗的吗？况且，委内瑞拉还拥有全球最大的石油储量？储量是美国和俄罗斯加起来的三倍之多？你真以为这一切都是巧合吗？
@Karyabs
Before Russia, I thought the US had about 50 years. After Russia, 5 years seem appropriate
在俄罗斯事件之前，我以为美国还能撑大约50年；在俄罗斯事件之后，5年似乎更恰当。
@kentstructures4388
PETRODOLLAR it is..... Venezuela and Nigeria are two oil majors who are accepting any currency for trade.. That is an ultimate threat for USAs economy . That's why they will be bombed..
这就是“石油美元”……委内瑞拉和尼日利亚是两大主要产油国，如今它们接受任何货币进行贸易。这对美国经济构成了终极威胁——正因如此，它们才会遭到轰炸。
@LankanIan
This started with the West cutting off SWIFT, and Visa and Mastercard cutting off Iran a few years ago. China and the rest realized that the West could use it as a weapon and started an alternative system. Russia was lucky that the alternative system was in place when the West used the same weapons against Russia.
这一切始于西方几年前切断伊朗与SWIFT系统的连接，以及Visa和万事达卡对伊朗的封锁。中国及其他国家意识到西方可能将金融系统当作武器，于是开始着手建立替代体系。后来当西方对俄罗斯使用同样的手段时，俄罗斯幸运地发现这套替代系统已经准备就绪。
@onceuponfewtime
any economist would tell you that such a cutting off has never been a weapon, ever. Refusing to associate with someone is not a punishment. Blocking someone from associating with everybody is punishment (prison). It’s wild for anyone to think The West is punishing Russia
任何经济学家都会告诉你，这种切断联系的做法从来就不是一种武器。拒绝与某人往来并不构成惩罚；而阻止某人与所有人往来（就像监禁一样）才是惩罚。任何人若认为西方是在“惩罚”俄罗斯，那想法就太荒谬了。
@Grishaschannel
@onceuponfewtime try again. Or maybe try listening to real logical and realistic economists and not lapdogs
再试一次吧。或者，也许你该试着听听真正讲逻辑、务实的经济学家的意见，而不是那些只会摇尾乞怜的应声虫。
@come2233
Alipay is ready for the world
支付宝已准备好走向世界。
@come2233
Swift is history
SWIFT已成为历史。
@come2233
When money can be seized, the world has lost confidence in USD.
当资金可以被随意没收时，世界便已对美元失去了信心。
@come2233
Trump should rewind what Biden did.
特朗普应该撤销拜登所做的一切。
@come2233
Sleepy Joe was not in control. Trump should U turn Biden's shortcoming.
瞌睡虫拜登没能掌控局面。特朗普应当彻底扭转拜登的种种失策。
@come2233
Trump can MAGA by reversing Biden policy
特朗普可以通过逆转拜登的政策来实现“让美国再次伟大”
@EJavierPaniaguaLaconich
@onceuponfewtime but that's exactly what the US attempted: blocking Russia from associating with everybody else. It's right there in your answer and you still refuse to see.
但这恰恰就是美国试图做的事：阻止俄罗斯与其他所有国家建立联系。这一点在你之前的回答里就有所体现，可你依然拒绝承认。
@ZIGZAG12345
I think RU was a bit too important for that to EVER be a realistic option.
Basically the world's bulk discount warehouse for raw materials. Plenty countries were gonna make sure business with them kept going!
(Plenty of the rest of the world began studying "workarounds" after 2014 too, so were a bit better prepared).
我觉得俄罗斯的地位实在太重要了，以至于彻底将其孤立从来就不是一个现实可行的选项。
它基本上就是全球大宗商品的“批发大仓库”。许多国家都会确保与俄罗斯的贸易持续进行！
（而且2014年之后，世界上很多其他国家就开始研究各种变通办法了，因此也早有准备。）
@rjoseph7777
The rejection of Swift transactions is vital in making this evil empires irrelevant which will benefit all humanity.
拒用SWIFT交易对于让这个邪恶帝国变得无关紧要至关重要，这将造福全人类。
@kingshark-q5n
UHMMm, well the evil empires had better wakeup and redirect to get people back on the hook.
呃……好吧，那些邪恶帝国最好赶紧醒醒，重新调整方向，好让人们再次落入他们的圈套。
@rjoseph7777
@kingshark-q5n They are to arrogant to do that.
他们太过傲慢，根本做不到这一点。
@icemike1
Name them
说出他们的名字。
@stuartcleary71
Russia had been developing alternative trade and payments since the start of BRICS-2009, BRICS and the financial architecture required for increased trade came of age in 2015, which saw Russia, easily transition away from SWIFT, Europe, USD, Euros and the US. the propaganda that Russia was economically weak and Politically isolated blew up in the faces of all NATO heads of state, after saying: "Russia was a Gas station masquerading as an Economy", "with such a small military budget that Russian Troops would be moved to the front with Shovels and no weapons", Russia has gone on to be seen as the strongest Economy in Europe, with an inexhaustible Military industrial complex that produces 400-500% more weapons and Munitions than ALL NATO countries combined. On top of this Russia is developing massive mega projects that will see it fully integrated with the BRICS+ Belt and Road Global trade infrastructure, which will see financial benefits for Russia that will last for many centuries to come; As is the case with China and Most BRICS+ partners, while on the other side of the ideological divide we will see the continued decline of the Collective west due to the complete stupidity and incompetence of our Politicians, who do the bidding of the corporate banking idiots whom look at nothing except exploitation for dollars, through short term profiteering.
For countries to survive and thrive they have to have intelligent leaders, who act for the benefit of their country as a whole not just the wealthy or large corporations who look for short term gains that they alone benefit from. despite the fact that if the country as a whole benefits corporations also benefit greatly over the long term, Look at China and Russia. The Chinese were largely in abject poverty 50 years ago, Nixon thought he could exploit this as colonial powers have exploited the majority of the world for centuries. Then, through the complete idiocy of our short term profit mentality thinking experts in the west, we essentially handed over all manufacturing and industry to China and the rest of what was termed the global south. Which politicians have only just realized means that the collective west is now beholding to the majority of the world who have the best manufacturing, the best supply chains the best technologies to make their industries superior to any in the collective west. On top of this due to the US-NATO lead collective west, prefering to waste tens or hundreds of Trillions, on their military and engage in absurd military adventurism around the world with undeveloped, Oil rich, countries. Instead of building Modern Infrastructure that would improve a countries ability to communicate transport, trade etc, which will pay dividends for centuries The US lead collective west promoted wars and glorified this as "Service" when the only people who benefitted were CEO's of Military contractors, while the rest of these western countries fell into decline in every imaginable way, even morally with a twisted woke culture that couldn't even define a woman or man??? Russia, China dn the Global South countries are seeing a huge exodus from western countries by people who are sick of the wars, the political theater, Media Lies and Extortionate cost of living.
俄罗斯自2009年金砖国家成立之初，就开始着手发展替代性的贸易与支付体系。到2015年，金砖国家及其所需的金融架构已趋于成熟，使俄罗斯得以轻松摆脱对SWIFT、欧洲、美元、欧元以及美国的依赖。西方政界此前宣称“俄罗斯不过是个伪装成经济体的加油站”、“军费如此微薄，俄军只能扛着铁锹、赤手空拳上前线”，这类宣传在北约各国领导人脸上彻底炸开了花。如今，俄罗斯已被视为欧洲最强大的经济体，其军工复合体产能惊人——武器和弹药产量高达所有北约国家总和的400%至500%。
不仅如此，俄罗斯正在推进多个大型工程项目，将全面融入“金砖+”与“一带一路”全球贸易基础设施网络。这将为俄罗斯带来持续数百年的金融与战略红利——中国及大多数“金砖+”伙伴国亦是如此。而意识形态对立的另一端，即所谓西方集团，却因政客们的极端愚蠢与无能而持续衰落：他们唯命是从于那些只知短期逐利、一心榨取美元的跨国银行与企业精英。
一个国家若想生存并繁荣，必须拥有睿智的领导者——他们应以整个国家的利益为重，而非仅仅服务于少数富豪或追求短期暴利的大企业。事实上，若国家整体繁荣，企业长期获益反而更大。看看中国和俄罗斯吧：50年前，中国人还普遍处于赤贫状态，尼克松曾以为可以像几个世纪以来殖民列强剥削世界那样，轻易利用中国的贫困。然而，正是由于西方所谓“专家”沉迷于短期利润的愚蠢思维，我们几乎把全部制造业和工业拱手让给了中国以及当时被称为“全球南方”的广大国家。
如今，西方政界才如梦初醒：集体西方已严重依赖世界上大多数国家——这些国家如今拥有最先进的制造业、最高效的供应链，以及领先的技术能力，使其产业全面超越西方。与此同时，以美国-北约为首的集体西方，却宁愿将数十甚至上百万亿美元挥霍在军事开支上，在全球范围内对资源丰富但欠发达的国家发动荒谬的军事冒险，而不是投资建设能提升通信、交通、贸易等能力的现代化基础设施——后者本可带来延续数百年的回报。相反，他们鼓吹战争，并将其美化为“服役”，而真正从中获利的只有军工承包商的CEO们。结果，这些西方国家在各个层面——包括道德层面——全面衰退，甚至陷入一种扭曲的觉醒文化，连男人和女人的定义都无法厘清。
如今，越来越多的人正从西方国家大规模外流，涌向俄罗斯、中国及全球南方国家——他们厌倦了无休止的战争、政治闹剧、媒体谎言，以及高得离谱的生活成本。
@KoruAeru
Wow I could not find someone say it this good on whats happening / happened past 30 years
哇，过去30年所发生的事情，我从未见过有人能说得如此透彻！
@Erebus369
It doesn't help when countries start dumping US debt. This multipolar world looks far fairer than the unipolar manipulation we've been experiencing.
当各国开始抛售美国国债时，情况只会变得更糟。相比我们过去所经历的单极操控，这个多极化的世界看起来要公平得多。
@jefreyjefrey6349
it sure help. it forces USA/Trump to burn own economy in the import export fees war to get the inflation under control and it gives other countries a great way to run own economy wthout to pay USA for using dollar or Swiff.
这肯定是有帮助的。它迫使美国（或特朗普）在进出口关税战中牺牲自身经济，进而控制通胀；同时也为其他国家提供了绝佳的机会，使其能够自主运行本国经济，而无需再向美国支付使用美元或SWIFT系统的代价。
@arfanmedni7294
Gold baby. Did Dig dig
黄金才是王道，宝贝。挖吧，使劲挖！
@tarawaukeri8928
We're so far back we need to grow, grow, grow. If you can't feed yourself you are just as dependent as the unemployed...you're a bum!
我们目前的处境太落后了，必须不断发展、发展、再发展。要是连自己都养活不了，你就会和失业者一样依赖他人…… 你就是个寄生虫！
@sharonburmeister4149
We bought silver for less than 5 dollars an ounce years ago and yesterday it sold for 570 dollars an once at Costco. No inflation? LOL. Russia punished? LOL? Apparently the West is spiting its face by cutting off its nose. But the politicians and their "camp followers" are none the wiser.
几年前，我们以每盎司不到5美元的价格购买入白银；而就在昨天，Costco的白银售价达到了每盎司 570 美元。这还没有通货膨胀？笑死人了。俄罗斯被制裁得够呛？怕不是更可笑？显然，西方这是在做“割鼻毁脸”的蠢事 —— 损人不利己。但那些政客及其追随者们，却对此毫无察觉。
@szymonbaranowski8184
its still globalised. its like creating two artificially fighting parties and you all fooled into picking one of sides never voting for what you would wish to create and have.
如今的世界依然是全球化的。这就像是人为制造出两个相互对立的阵营，而你们所有人都被愚弄，被迫选边站，却从未真正投票支持自己真正想要创造和拥有的东西。
@tarawaukeri8928
Voting only ensures a person to obtain that role when dealing with politics.
在政治领域，投票的作用仅在于确保某人获得相应职位。
@whenmoneytalks6868
A multipolar world might feel ‘fairer’… but it can also mean competing currency blocs, capital controls and chaos for ordinary savers.
We may be swapping one kind of manipulation for three different versions of it.
Do you think people are ready for the instability that comes with the end of dollar dominance?
一个多极化的世界或许感觉“更公平”……但也可能意味着相互竞争的货币集团、资本管制，以及普通储户所面临的混乱。
我们可能只是用一种操控，换来了三种不同形式的操控。
你认为人们是否已准备好迎接美元霸权终结所带来的不稳定？
@yesplease9021
It’s so sad. When I speak to my family about this no one cares. They think I’m a nut.
真让人难过。我跟家人聊起这些事时，没人关心，他们觉得我是个疯子。
@cokinator100ify
Same. I’ve been concerned about this for a few months but no one believes. Normie behavior
我也是。这事儿我已经担心好几个月了，可没人信。典型的普通人心态呗。
@financialmoneyhistory
People call you crazy because it’s easier than accepting the dollar might actually be losing power. Denial feels safer than reality.
人们说你疯了，因为这比承认美元可能真的正在失去霸权要容易得多。否认现实，总比直面现实让人感觉更安全。
@nocomment4848
Because you are a nut, having fallen for kremlin propaganda. USD is stronger than its ever been. Russian economy is a basketcase, resorting to selling oil just above breakeven to keep their crippled economy afloat
因为你就是个疯子，居然轻信了克里姆林宫的宣传。美元比以往任何时候都更强势，而俄罗斯经济则是一团糟，只能以略高于成本价的价格出售石油，勉强维持其瘫痪的经济不致崩溃。
@KevinBalch-dt8ot
Diversify yourself from the US Dollar and when the Dollar tanks, see what they think.
赶紧把你的资产从美元中分散出去吧，等美元崩盘时，再看看他们怎么说。
@yesplease9021
@KevinBalch-dt8ot I was just thinking that while cooking some eggs. They refuse to believe, so I’ll just have to take up the slack/be the net!
我刚才煎蛋的时候就在想这件事。既然他们拒绝相信，我就得扛起责任 / 做好兜底的准备！
@ALKEBULAN678
This is good for the world America and Europe needs to go down asap.
这对世界是好事，美国和欧洲衰落的越快越好。
@masterzoovie7442
Same
一样。
@ALKEBULAN678
@nocomment4848 dude stop listening to your western mainstream medias and channels, they brainwashed you all there.
老兄，别再听西方主流媒体和频道了，它们早就把你们全都洗脑了。
@Jacques.Serrault
“The greatest victory is that which requires no battle.”
― Sun Tzu, The Art of War
“不战而屈人之兵，善之善者也。”
——孙子，《孙子兵法》（谋攻篇）
@bakimc4722
You can rule by force for a while, but you can't rule by force all the time.
你可以靠武力统治一时，但不可能永远靠武力统治。
@IraMurphy-kq6nn
Seizure of another’s assets is criminal.
夺取他人资产是犯罪行为。
@starwarsphan3159
Swift alternatives started a long time ago not 2022. NDB, BRI, SCO, all initiatives under the BRICS umbrella now known as the Global South
SWIFT的替代方案早在2022年之前很久就已启动。新开发银行（NDB）、“一带一路”倡议（BRI）、上海合作组织（SCO）等，都是金砖国家框架下的各项举措，如今统称为“全球南方”。
@garryb374
True. But they weren't seriously used till they were needed.
说得对。但在有实际需求之前，这些机制并未得到真正的广泛应用。
@starwarsphan3159
@garryb374 because it takes time to build up velocity. You dont just create it and snap your fingers aka the swift alternative has been in development for a long time and now is the maturity
因为建立流通效率需要时间。这种机制并非凭空创造、一蹴而就——也就是说，这套SWIFT替代方案早已进入开发阶段，如今已发展到成熟阶段。
@akeemyusuf-m6y
Definitely, its not worth the while keeping all your eggs in one basket. Most especially the dollars can be siezed by the US anytime.
确实如此，把所有鸡蛋放在一个篮子里绝对不值得。尤其是美元资产，美国随时都可能将其没收。
@DollarSecrets-j4g
For nearly eighty years, that perception held firm. Even with wars, even with recessions, even with political instability, the dollar remained the anchor because it was seen as separate from political retaliation. But the moment that financial network becomes a weapon — the moment the core systems of global settlement are used not only to punish individuals but to coerce entire nations — the dollar stops being neutral. It becomes a tool of geopolitical dominance
近80年来，这种认知一直根深蒂固。即便历经战争、经济衰退与政治动荡，美元始终是全球货币体系的“锚”，原因在于它曾被视为不受政治报复行为影响的存在。然而，当这一金融网络沦为武器的那一刻 —— 当全球结算核心系统不仅被用来惩罚个人，还被用来胁迫主权国家的那一刻——美元便不再具备中立性。它彻底沦为了地缘政治霸权的工具。
@kashd4668
Have you seen the price of eggs lately?
你最近看鸡蛋的价格了吗？
@markmahan38
I think this was the most detailed and comprehensive analysis, of the rapid decline of the US dollar. The historical context also added to the data driven conclusion. Very well done.
我认为这是对美元快速衰落最为详尽、全面的分析。其中的历史背景也为数据驱动的结论增添了深度。做得非常出色。
@naturebc
The world has finally realized that US government is a criminal enterprise
世界终于意识到，美国政府不过是一个犯罪集团。
@prototype9904
20 years is optimistic, I remember China calling out the fraudulent nature of the dollar 20 years ago. And not in a subtle way
20 年的时间还是过于乐观了。我记得中国早在20年前就已公开揭露美元的欺诈本质，而且绝非含蓄地指出。
@banshong3997
As they say those who didn't learn from history....
正如人们所说：那些不从历史中吸取教训的人……
@DeEmperor1
Back in 2022 I explained all these to my students. That freezing Russian assets and cutting Russia off will backfire hugely. China is positioned to benefit from every Western fuck up.
早在2022年，我就把这些全都讲给了我的学生听：冻结俄罗斯资产并将其切断于国际体系之外，必将引发巨大的反噬。而中国则已做好准备，将从西方的每一次愚蠢失误中获益。
@RomanVarl
When BRICS countries create a common currency, USD will be over.
一旦金砖国家推出共同货币，美元的时代就将终结。
@dfsdfsdsfsdfsdfs6694
Interesting that they try to avoid this for some reason.
有意思的是，他们出于某种原因似乎在刻意回避这一点。
@peakserv
Biden's made the incredibly stupid mistake of weaponising the dollar against Russia, a superpower. The result is accelerated dedollarisation.
Today, the global majority has alternatives to SWIFT and dollar.
拜登犯下了一个极其愚蠢的错误：竟将美元武器化，用来对付俄罗斯这样一个超级大国。其结果就是加速了“去美元化”的进程。
如今，全球大多数国家已经拥有了SWIFT和美元的替代方案。
@WretchedEgg528
The only decisions Biden was making are food related at most, like what flavor of ice cream he gets. The people behind the scenes do real politics, while the president is there mostly to get rid of the public unrest. People dump all their anger at one actor, then the actor gets replaced with another and the anger is replaced with hope, while the political course remains the same. It's a trick.
拜登所能做的决定，充其量也只是和食物有关，比如选哪种口味的冰淇淋。真正操盘政治的是幕后的那些人，而总统的角色主要只是用来平息公众的不满。人们把所有怒火都倾泻在一个“演员”身上，然后这个演员被换掉，愤怒也随之被希望取代——但实际的政治路线却丝毫未变。这不过是个骗局罢了。