特朗普可能考虑对俄罗斯石油征收500%的关税
Trump might consider 500% tariffs on Russian oil
译文简介
“毁灭性的制裁将从全球市场中撤出石油，进而对欧洲和美国消费者造成痛苦。”
正文翻译
“Devastating sanctions would take oil from the global market and that, in turn, would inflict pain on European and US consumers.”
Russian exports account for 10% of global oil production and any major ‘secondary sanctions’, threatened by Donald Trump last night on Truth Social, would severely impact prices in the West, says Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg senior writer and author of Punishing Putin.
“毁灭性的制裁将从全球市场中撤出石油，进而对欧洲和美国消费者造成痛苦。”
彭博社资深记者、《惩罚普京》一书的作者斯蒂芬妮·贝克尔表示，俄罗斯出口占全球石油产量的10%，特朗普昨晚在Truth Social上威胁的任何重大“次级制裁”将严重影响西方的油价。
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Being American in these times is very challenging for sure from the relative peace and stability that we have grown accustomed to, to the now daily chaotic country and weak leadership that we have in power now. My wife and I will be retiring in the next two months n another country too. We'll have to rely on my pension, and a very prolific lnvestment account with my Abby Joseph Cohen my FA. Retiring comfortably in the US these days is almost impossible
在这些时光里作为美国人确实非常具有挑战性，从我们习惯的相对和平与稳定，到现在每天都有的国家混乱和软弱领导层。我和妻子将在两个月内退休，移居到另一个国家。我们将依赖我的养老金和与我的财务顾问Abby Joseph Cohen共同管理的一个非常丰厚的投资账户。如今在美国舒适退休几乎是不可能的。
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The key word is "consider". Trump never actually does anything that his master would be angered by.
关键词是“考虑”。特朗普从来不会做任何可能让他的“主人”生气的事情。
Has it really taken trump months to realize that Putin is stringing him along when we all knew from the start?
特朗普真的花了几个月才意识到普京在戏弄他吗？我们一开始就知道。
Trump “Write me an Executive Order that imposes a 500% tariff on Russia.”
White House team “Will do. When do you want to sign it?”
Trump “Sign what?”
特朗普：“给我写一份行政命令，对俄罗斯征收500%的关税。”
白宫团队：“好的。您什么时候想签署？”
特朗普：“签什么？”
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"Might consider" means absolutely nothing unless acted upon, which Putin knows won't happen. Totally pathetic.
“可能考虑”根本没有任何意义，除非付诸实践，而普京知道这不会发生。真是太可悲了。
Lol. He'll consider it for a few mins until Putin says "don't do this" then trump will obey
哈哈。他会考虑几分钟，直到普京说“别这样做”，然后特朗普就会听从。
Yeah. And I'm considering being a trillionaire
是的，我也在考虑成为万亿富翁。
Another rare rebuke of Putin. Actual actions against Putin rarer still. Zero.
这是对普京的又一次罕见批评。对普京的实际行动更是稀有，零。
Glory to Ukraine
荣耀属于乌克兰。
Trump says lots of things. He also said that he only weighs 215 pounds.
特朗普说了很多话。他还说自己体重只有215磅。
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If you believe a single word Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin utter, you're simply beyond hope.
如果你相信唐纳德·特朗普和弗拉基米尔·普京说的任何话，那你真的没有希望了。
I think dementia trump forgot what happened by the time his plane landed lol
我觉得痴呆症特朗普可能在飞机降落前就忘记发生了什么，哈哈。
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Trump upset with supervisor pretends he may do something.
特朗普生气了，假装他可能会做点什么。
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail." Trump's only tool (he thinks) is the tariff.
“如果你只有一把锤子，所有问题看起来都是钉子。”特朗普认为他唯一的工具就是关税。
Anything over 100% tariffs is meaningless. 100% and over means most trade shuts down. I don't think Trump still got a grasp on who pays the tariffs.
任何超过100%的关税都是无意义的。100%及以上意味着大多数贸易会停滞。我不认为特朗普还明白是谁在支付这些关税。
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You know what's crazy? His supporters think he's strong. When in reality, the real countries (the ones that matter) look at Trump the same way people at Walmart look at a child that's being unruly. They just ignore the child and go about their business. If anything, you feel embarrassed for the parents (the country).
你知道最疯狂的是什么吗？他的支持者认为他很强大。但实际上，真正重要的国家（那些值得关注的国家）把特朗普看作是沃尔玛里那些不听话的孩子。他们只是忽略那个孩子，继续做他们的事情。如果有的话，反而会为父母（这个国家）感到尴尬。
A 500% tariff would be no more effective than a 100% tariff. Trump is just spouting off numbers and concepts he doesn’t understand.
500%的关税和100%的关税没有什么不同。特朗普只是胡乱说些他不理解的数字和概念。
USA could send the patriot air defence Zelenski asked and wanna pay!!!
美国可以派出泽连斯基请求的爱国者防空系统，愿意支付！
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Putin has Trump on a short leash. Trump won't do any such thing re Russian oil. Comrade Donald can't even focus until his next lunchtime Big Mac.
普京把特朗普控制得很紧。特朗普不会在俄罗斯石油问题上做出任何事情。特朗普同志甚至还没法集中精力，直到下一个午餐时间的巨无霸。
So, what does this effect OPEC/OPECplus, Russia sells oil through the latter. If so, US really ought to stop the purchase of OPEC oil then consider further tariffs. Russia is very dependent on this organization selling oil.
那么，这对OPEC/OPEC+有什么影响呢？俄罗斯通过后者出售石油。如果是这样，美国真的应该停止购买OPEC的石油，然后考虑进一步的关税。俄罗斯非常依赖这个组织来出售石油。
President Trump does not have to gamble. Just help Ukrainian military defeat dictator Putin.
特朗普总统不需要赌博。只需要帮助乌克兰军队打败DC者普京。
I am Russian, I live to Samara. Many in my country know this war is losed. Russia will become more poverty nation, Regions will be ,,shortchange" as alway makes happen.
我是俄罗斯人，我住在萨马拉。我们国家的许多人知道这场战争已经输了。俄罗斯将变得更加贫穷，各地区将像往常一样“短缺”。
Tomorrow hes going to say that it was 500 dollars per tanker.
明天他会说每个油轮是500美元。
I only believe it when it's enacted, so far it's just a suggestion to put on these secondary tariffs. And we all see how quickly Donald can change his attitude.
只有在实施的时候我才相信，至今这只是一个建议，关于征收这些附加关税。我们都看到唐纳德多快就能改变他的态度。
Please please impose 500% tariffs....Would love to see the actual outcome....study of 500% tariffs are not available...
请请请征收500%的关税……我很想看看实际的结果……关于500%关税的研究并不多……
But this would upset his fellow Russian oligarchs who buys property's from him in New York.
但这会惹恼他那些俄罗斯寡头朋友，他们在纽约从他那里购买房产。
It’s crazy how much things have changed. Everything is getting more expensive rent, food, gas. It feels like no matter how much you make, it’s never enough. People are literally living in their cars or trying to go off-grid just to survive.
真疯狂，事情变化得如此之快。租金、食品、油价都在涨。感觉无论赚多少，永远都不够。人们真的是住在车里，或者为了生存而试图脱离电网。
Europe should do a similar thing. Basically giving Indian, Chinese and other countries' companies a choice: if you do business with Russia, you cannot do business with us. Losing European trade would cost them more than losing Russian trade, so the logical choice is obvious.
欧洲应该做类似的事情。基本上给印度、中国和其他国家的公司一个选择：如果你和俄罗斯做生意，就不能和我们做生意。失去欧洲的贸易将比失去俄罗斯的贸易更严重，因此显而易见的理性选择是这样。
How can Trump tell other countries to put tariffs on Russian oil? It would hurt more to stop all oil transport by the shadow fleet of old, rusty tankers, a potential environmental catastrophe.
特朗普怎么能要求其他国家对俄罗斯石油征税？停止所有油运，依靠那些老旧的生锈油轮的影子舰队，会造成更大的伤害，可能还会引发环境灾难。
moscow don will not do any thing to putin that's a fact
莫斯科的唐纳德不会对普京做任何事，这是事实。
Should have done that 3 years ago.
三年前就该这么做了。
Trump for once since you been the appointed , Please do the Honourable thing for the victims in Ukraine!
特朗普，既然你已经被任命了，请为乌克兰的受害者做出应有的决定！
Why even buy Russian anything at this point?
现在为什么还要买俄罗斯的东西？
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"It makes me think he doesn't wanna stop the war and is stringing me along" awww man Donald everyone but everyone knew that except you. This guy never stops entertaining
“这让我觉得他不想停战，只是在拖延我。” 哎呀，唐纳德，除了你，大家都知道这一点。这个人永远不停止娱乐我们。
500% tariff is just an embargo. Why doesn't Trump just call it that?
500%的关税其实就是封锁。为什么特朗普不直接称其为封锁呢？
He's only just worked that out?? What a genius.
他才刚刚意识到这一点？？真是个天才。
Hey look an actual good use of tariffs.
看，这才是关税的实际好用方式。
Stable genius at work right there.
稳定的天才正在发挥作用。
If you announce then looks like it's just hot air
如果宣布了，那看起来就像是空洞的言辞。
If the US is still buying tariffable products from the Russian you need to stop. What is the matter with you.
Russia started a war against democracy and you are still trading with them. Maybe Russia is the only country still willing to trade with you. For the good of the planet you need to STOP that immediately.
如果美国还在从俄罗斯购买征税产品，你们应该停止。你们到底怎么了？俄罗斯发动了对民主的战争，而你们还在和他们做生意。也许俄罗斯是唯一一个还愿意和你们做生意的国家。为了地球的未来，你们必须立即停止。
All this just shows that he is still definitively Donald Jessica Trump. He brainlessly adopts the view of the last person he talked to (Volodymyr Zelenskyy) and he judges people based on the childish logic of 'Do they like Trump'? and Mr. Zelenskyy was kind of enough to talk to him when everyone else at the party (papal funeral) was snubbing him.
这一切都表明他仍然是唐纳德·杰西卡·特朗普。他毫无思考地接受了他最后一个谈话对象（弗洛基米尔·泽连斯基）的观点，并根据“他们喜不喜欢特朗普”这种幼稚的逻辑来判断人。泽连斯基先生在其他所有人都在冷落他的时候（教皇葬礼）还愿意和他交谈，真是够宽容的。
Why does TR never ask what more Europe can do? Like releasing Russian assets to Ukraine.
为什么特朗普从不问欧洲还能做些什么？比如将俄罗斯资产释放给乌克兰。
I wonder how serious they will be in tracking Russia's dark fleet?
我想知道他们在追踪俄罗斯的“黑色舰队”时会有多认真？
I don't understand why the good people of Russia rise up against Putin.
我不明白为什么俄罗斯的好人民不起来反抗普京。
But the USA is Not importing Any oil from Russia
但美国并没有从俄罗斯进口任何石油。
i cant believe Trump is a dumb as he makes out
我简直不敢相信特朗普竟然有他表现出来的那么笨。
500% US tariffs on Russian oil only work if America at this point is still buying Russian oil. Is America still actually buying Russian oil?!
美国对俄罗斯石油征收500%的关税，只有在美国此时仍在购买俄罗斯石油的情况下才有效。美国现在还在买俄罗斯石油吗？
Why, if Russia is not supplying the USA with oil anyway?
为什么？如果俄罗斯根本没有向美国供应石油呢？
Stopping the munitions used by Putin shipped from North Korean port of Rajin to the Russian port of Vostochny would STOP THIS WAR .
Ships identified as the Angara, the Maria, the Maia-1 and the Lady R.
Ref: 16,000 containers munitions from north korea to russia (reuters , espreso , marine insight et al)
如果能阻止从朝鲜罗津港运往俄罗斯远东港口的军火，就能停止这场战争。船只包括安加拉号、玛丽亚号、玛娅-1号和Lady R号。
参考：从朝鲜到俄罗斯的16,000个集装箱军火（路透社、Espreso、Marine Insight等）
Trump is going to win the Mara Lago Medal of Freedom
特朗普将获得玛拉戈自由奖勋章。
Additional 500% import duties on iPhone's . Why should China and India subsidise the American consumers?
对iPhone征收额外的500%进口税。为什么中国和印度要为美国消费者补贴？
Ooh but he wants Trump Tower Moscow so badly.
哦，但他非常想要莫斯科的特朗普大厦。
Une simple remarque , les plus grandes puissance militaire sont toutes très gravement endettées . Quand l'argent va à outrance pour les armes, il n'en reste plus assez pour le confort du peuple .
一个简单的评论，世界上最强大的军事大国都背负着巨额债务。当钱都花在武器上时，人民的福祉就没有足够的资金了。
500%? Meaning what exactly? Tariffs failed with China and Russia is tariffed or terrified anyway
500%？这到底是什么意思？关税在中国失败了，俄罗斯反正也被加征关税或吓到了
Short of getting into it directly , you got to make them pay for their actions. Lives don't equate to money . But , using it as a tool to prune the enablers is a start.
虽然不直接参与，但你得让他们为自己的行为付出代价。生命无法与金钱等同，但将金钱作为工具来削弱支持者是一个开始。
The situation is tense, let’s see how the parties react.
局势紧张，我们看看各方如何反应。
I need a moment to process this.
我需要一点时间来消化这个。
“Might” and “consider?” In other words, it’s all pie in the sky at this point
“可能”和“考虑”？换句话说，现在的一切都只是空谈。
America had SUPERMAN BATMAN AMD NOW AMERICA HAS A MADMAN WHO IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY
美国曾有超人蝙蝠侠，现在美国有个疯子在执政。
Tariffs are a threat that can only be used once. You can't use tariffs like a sledge hammer and expect the same results with each consecutive blow. It follows the law of diminishing returns.
关税是一种只能用一次的威胁。你不能像用大锤一样不断使用关税，并期望每次打下去都有相同的结果。这遵循递减收益法则。
Tariffs on Russian oil, dufus tell that "negotiation" team to walk away from the Boeing talks
对俄罗斯石油征收关税，傻瓜，告诉那个“谈判”团队走开，不要再谈波音的事了。
How can you put tariff on a country that you don’t buy gas?
怎么能对一个你不买石油的国家加关税？
Can the American population afford 500% tariffs? Aren’t they paying enough already? Or is it just that the US doesn’t buy much from Russia anyway. Looking tough but innocents means nothing.
美国人民能承担500%的关税吗？他们不是已经在付很多了吗？还是说美国反正从俄罗斯购买的东西不多？看起来很强硬，但无辜者无关紧要。
Is the US actually buying Russian oil? If so, why? The US actually EXPORTS oil at this point. Most to be refined however due to limited US refining capacity.
美国真的在购买俄罗斯石油吗？如果是，为什么？现在美国实际上已经在出口石油了。大部分是需要精炼的，因为美国的精炼能力有限。
Why tariffs instead of sanctions?
为什么要征收关税，而不是实施制裁？
Yes 500% FOR RUSSIAN OIL BUT JUST IF OTHER COUNTRYS BUYS IT, IF US BUYS 0 % TARIFFS
是的，针对俄罗斯石油征收500%的关税，但前提是其他国家购买。如果美国不购买，就不征收关税。
That's no way to treat your friends
这不是对待朋友的方式。
He aint gonna do that, he's scared that old Vlad will release the videos.
他不会那样做的，他害怕老弗拉德会发布那些视频。
INFLATION DOWN MORTGAGE RATES DOWN GAS DOWN AIRFARE DOWN EGGS DOWN GROCERIES DOWN JOBS UP APPROVAL UP AND ALL THE TDS HAS LEFT TO CLING ONTO ARE FAKE POLL NUMBERS ROTFLM
通货膨胀下降，抵押贷款利率下降，油价下降，机票下降，鸡蛋下降，杂货价格下降，就业增加，支持率上升，而所有那些反特朗普的支持者只剩下虚假的民调数字，笑死我了。
Please one million percent of tariff!! It will punish the American people!! And orange man will be impeached immediately
请征收一百万%的关税！！这会惩罚美国人民！！然后特朗普会立即被弹劾。
If China and India buy oil from Putin, who should charge tariffs? and who's going to get the tariffs money?
如果中国和印度从普京那里购买石油，应该由谁来征收关税？征收的关税钱会到谁手里？
Well......he also said he would "arm Ukraine to the teeth" if Russia didn't get to the table in meaningful talks. If he would do that the Ukrainians would be able to push Russia out of the eastern Oblasts. Crimea is (I think) a more of an area that would have to be done diplomatically.
嗯……他还说如果俄罗斯不参与有意义的谈判，他会“武装乌克兰到牙齿”。如果他真的这么做，乌克兰人就能把俄罗斯赶出东部地区。我认为克里米亚更多的是需要通过外交手段解决的地方。
Would be better if it was 503.47324%. 500% is just too generous.
如果是503.47324%就好了，500%太慷慨了。
LOL@ the thought Trump would put a 500% tariff on Russian oil.
That's not happening.
笑死我了，居然有人认为特朗普会对俄罗斯石油征收500%的关税。那是不可能发生的。
If he does it. Thats always been the trouble of flip flop man.
如果他真这么做，那一直以来的问题就是“变来变去”的人。
The US doesn't even buy oil from Russia
美国根本就不从俄罗斯购买石油。
Russia has to be dealt with harshly
俄罗斯必须被严厉对待。
It's only words! How about tangible action? Tariff might be a beautiful word, but it doesn't stop a missile or drone attack!
这只是空话！怎么能有实际行动呢？关税可能是一个美丽的词，但它无法阻止导弹或无人机攻击！
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Of course he will, since the current tariff plan is working sooo well for him.
当然，他会这么做，因为现在的关税计划对他来说效果非常好。
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The U.S. doesn’t buy Russian oil.
美国根本不购买俄罗斯的石油。
How about 10,000% tariff on China? Trump, be really brazen!
那对中国征收10,000%的关税怎么样？特朗普，真大胆！
If anything Trump will lift sanctions not make it harder for Russia
如果有什么的话，特朗普会解除制裁，而不是让俄罗斯更难。
Arguing or spectualating any proper response to anything related to Trump is a total waste of time.
争论或猜测任何与特朗普相关的回应完全是浪费时间。
Russian asset "KRASNOV" (circa 1987) has proven to be the greatest investment of Russian military/intelligence funds ever made. "....without firing a shot".
俄罗斯资产“KRASNOV”（大约1987年）被证明是俄罗斯军事/情报资金有史以来最伟大的投资。“……没有开一枪”。
Sounds like an excuse to tariff more countries for no gain. Wouldn’t this push India towards China? Also, how much Russian oil does Germany receive?
听起来像是为了没有收获而对更多国家征收关税的借口。这样不会把印度推向中国吗？另外，德国从俄罗斯进口多少石油？
...I hope India moves away from the west, nothing good will ever come out of being a vassal state. Why do you think they demonised Germany ? Same game.
……我希望印度远离西方，做一个附庸国永远不会有好结果。你为什么认为他们妖魔化德国？同样的游戏。
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Amen Lord Jesus God Almighty Blessing to President Trump please we beg you to stop Putin from destroying Ukraine People used your good Office God bless you
阿门，主耶稣全能的上帝，保佑特朗普总统，我们恳求您阻止普京摧毁乌克兰人民，感谢您使用您的美好职位，愿上帝保佑您。
Definitely no chance of a 500% tariff secondary sanction policy on India and China backfiring.
完全没有可能500%的关税次级制裁政策会在印度和中国身上适得其反。
I thougght Trump and is all admin was more economically inteligent and specially on this war issue in fact he realy is a russian agent acting on behalf of Putin´s war interest because so far is actions only reflect that approach.
我曾以为特朗普和他的整个政府在经济方面更聪明，特别是在战争问题上，实际上他真的是一个俄罗斯代理人，代表普京的战争利益，因为到目前为止他的行动只反映了这种做法。
We don’t receive oil from Russia
我们不从俄罗斯接收石油。
The analysis is too one sided and over simplified. At least my take on this is that the USA would basically stop trading with China, India and the EU in one swoop if they put a 500% tariff on countries buying Russian fossil fuels. Sort of makes BRICS the only alternative for the world then, and what would that mean long-term for the USA. We all know this is a red-herring. Agent Orange will never stand up to Putin.
这个分析过于片面且过于简化。至少我认为，如果美国对购买俄罗斯化石燃料的国家实施500%的关税，那么美国实际上会一举停止与中国、印度和欧盟的贸易。这样一来，BRICS（金砖国家）就成了全球唯一的替代选择，那么这对美国的长期影响会是什么呢？我们都知道这是一个红鲱鱼。特朗普永远不会站出来反对普京。
看起来美国（以及欧洲）总是很容易告诉印度该做什么不该做什么。这并不是什么新鲜事。这些政策已经让印度“没有清洁能源”达50年之久。我指的是核能，特此澄清。
根据CREA（能源与清洁空气研究中心）的数据，自2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来，27个欧盟国家已从俄罗斯进口价值约2050亿美元的化石燃料。在同一时期，印度进口了大约1300亿美元的化石燃料。再看一下这些数字，再想一想人均数量。印度从俄罗斯的进口增长是由于俄罗斯制裁后提供的低价格。印度当然更愿意从多个地方购买石油，但这也在以各种方式“被制裁”。更复杂的是，其中一部分俄罗斯原油在印度被精炼后，以各种产品形式出售给欧盟。
提议的500%关税原则上意味着与欧盟和印度的贸易将完全停止，而中国呢，你还在担心你的iPhone吗？拜托，我们要严肃点。
我宁愿看到世界花钱寻找方法来捕捉甲烷，因为甲烷正在地表下冒泡，并将在地球变暖和永久冻土融化的过程中释放到大气中，无论你是否认为全球变暖是由人类活动引起的，这一现象都在发生。如果我们能够捕捉到它，至少可以在释放排放之前，先做一些技术工作（电力、机械工作和热能）。