美联储降息如何影响全球经济？
How Fed Rate Cuts Affect The Global Economy
译文简介
美联储管理利率，以影响美国国内的金融状况。但这些决定也会影响其他中央银行的政策，因为国际金融的许多方面依赖于美元。随着全球经济逐渐摆脱紧缩周期，美国的中央银行正在寻求延续经济扩张，这一扩张是世界上最强劲的之一。
正文翻译
The Federal Reserve manages interest rates to influence financial conditions within the United States. But those decisions can also affect the posture of other central banks because many aspects of international finance rely on U.S. dollars. As the world moves away from a global round of economic tightening, central bankers in the U.S. are seeking to extend the economic expansion, which is among the strongest in the world.
美联储管理利率，以影响美国国内的金融状况。但这些决定也会影响其他中央银行的政策，因为国际金融的许多方面依赖于美元。随着全球经济逐渐摆脱紧缩周期，美国的中央银行正在寻求延续经济扩张，这一扩张是世界上最强劲的之一。
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The Fed's cut on interest rate keeps me pondering on what stocks to look at for at the moment considering it's impart in the economy and stock market. I have a stock portfolio of over $350k, should I hold or look out for better places to put it in cos I don't want to take a leap of faith holding cash with how the US dollars is been dued.
美联储降息让我在思考目前该关注哪些股票，考虑到它对经济和股市的影响。我有超过35万美元的股票投资组合，我是应该持有，还是寻找更好的投资机会，因为我不想在美元贬值的情况下仅仅持有现金。
Man, these Fed rate cuts are really starting to mess with everything. I mean, sure, they were supposed to help, but now I’m feeling the pinch everywhere. My savings account is basically giving me nothing, and the stock market’s all over the place.
伙计，这些美联储降息真的是在搞乱一切。我是说，降息本来是为了帮助，但现在我感觉到处都在缩水。我的储蓄账户几乎没有收益，股市也是波动不定。
What's the best strategy for investing during this period of volatility? Most of my portfolio is in cash, and I'm looking to invest about $180K in stocks.
在这个波动时期，投资的最佳策略是什么？我的投资组合大部分是现金，我想投资约18万美元到股票中。
Thanks for your content, I’ve picked up so much new information.
感谢你的内容，我学到了很多新信息。
This interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
这次降息让我在思考现在该买哪些股票，以及什么时候卖出？我不确定如何合理分配我的资金，以在当前经济中实现最佳投资组合，我的退休目标是300万美元。
Sounds like a skeptical outlook on things then. With the rate cuts do you think it's best for us who are not conservative investors to focus on bonds or dividend stocks? I want to reallocate my 7-figure portfolio and I preferably want the assets with the best ROI.
听起来你对事情持怀疑态度。那么在降息的情况下，你认为对于我们这些不是保守型投资者的人来说，是应该关注债券还是分红股票呢？我想重新配置我的七位数投资组合，最好是选择那些回报率最高的资产。
The Fed is undoubtedly responsible for the present catch-up efforts, as they were first too slow to control inflation. The pandemic, supply-chain issues, are all contributing reasons to the impending inflationary perfect storm. I'm still looking for companies to make additions to my $500K portfolio, to boost performance. Here for ideas...
美联储无疑对目前的追赶努力负责，因为他们最初在控制通货膨胀方面行动过于缓慢。疫情、供应链问题都是导致即将到来的通货膨胀完美风暴的原因。我仍在寻找可以增加到我50万美元投资组合中的公司，以提升表现。这里寻求一些想法……
I will miss making a safe 3-5% return with money markets and CDs. Get ready to have to take on more risk to get the same reward that interest used to pay on cash.
我会怀念在货币市场和定期存款中获得安全的3-5%的回报。准备好承担更多风险，以获得与现金以前的利息相同的回报。
To be a successful business owner and investor, you have to be emotionally neutral to winning and losing. Winning and losing are just part of the game. Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing.
作为一个成功的企业主和投资者，你必须对胜负保持情感中立。胜负只是游戏的一部分。风险来自于对自己所做事情的不了解。
Since the video is about the Federal Reserve, the experts with PhDs in economics will flood the comments to chime in on monetary theory.
由于视频是关于联邦储备的，拥有经济学博士的专家们将会蜂拥而至，在评论区讨论货币理论。
Our economy is like a flailing fish, fighting for its life. The normal state of the U.S. economy is actually very bad. Because of this it goes into convulsive spasms fighting to grow any way it can out of desperation. Tricks, gimmicks, rule changes try to stimulate the economy >>and prevent it from falling but they only bring temporary relief to people since, when you factor in inflation we are declining.
我们的经济就像一条挣扎的鱼，拼命争取生存。美国经济的正常状态实际上是非常糟糕的。正因为如此，它才会在绝望中进行剧烈挣扎，试图以任何方式增长。各种技巧、花招和规则变化试图刺激经济，防止其下滑，但这些仅仅带来暂时的缓解，因为当你考虑到通货膨胀时，我们实际上是在下降的。
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Why does it feel like every time the Fed moves, my wallet gets lighter?
为什么每次美联储行动时，我的钱包感觉都变轻了？
You don't need an heir, you can and probably will have a multipolar financial system at some point, or at least oligopoly. A similar situation was happening in Europe between the French, German and British currencies before the Euro
你不需要继承人，未来你可能会拥有一个多极金融体系，或者至少是寡头垄断。在欧元之前，法国、德国和英国货币之间就发生过类似的情况。
The idea that wages inspire inflation is ridiculous, since , purchasing power of wages has been declining for more than 50 years in the USA. Everyone senses and realizes that government spending and big business pricing power are the number one causes of inflation. The internal causes within those organizations that promotes purchasing power theft is the corruption and inefficiency of the organizations involved.
工资导致通货膨胀的观点是荒谬的，因为在美国，工资的购买力在过去50多年里一直在下降。每个人都意识到，政府支出和大企业的定价权是通货膨胀的头号原因。这些组织内部导致购买力流失的原因是相关组织的腐败和低效。
Rate cuts change the game for everyone. Businesses will be less restricted on the spending front and likewise with consumers. As an investor, this is a HUGE. A bull run is scoming!
降息改变了每个人的游戏规则。企业在支出方面将受到更少的限制，消费者也是如此。作为投资者，这是一个巨大的机会。一波牛市即将来临！
i think.
The Federal Reserve is the most powerful central bank in the world, and its interest rate adjustments have a significant impact on the dollar and the global economy. Since the dollar is the world's reserve currency, the Fed's policies have an even greater effect on emerging markets. In times of crisis, the Fed provides liquidity to other countries through swap lines, stabilizing financial markets, which highlights the Fed's crucial role in the global economy.
我认为，美联储是世界上最强大的中央银行，其利率调整对美元和全球经济有着重要影响。由于美元是世界储备货币，美联储的政策对新兴市场的影响更为显著。在危机时期，美联储通过互换协议向其他国家提供流动性，稳定金融市场，这突显了美联储在全球经济中的关键作用。
You must be one who is better off with your term deposits with high interest rate on most are suffering financially
你一定是一个在高利率定期存款中受益的人，而大多数人则在财务上遭受困扰。
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You know what it means It's still high 3 to 4 Is the sweat stop 5 close to 6 Not worth it. Wait year or 2 when it hits 3 to 4 that the better spot to buy a house or Property. this cut is mainly for the rich people to buy property for cheaper.
你知道这意味着什么，现在的利率仍然很高，3到4%时才能止住汗水，接近5%到6%时不值得。等一年或两年，等降到3到4%时再买房或地产会更好。此次降息主要是让富人能以更低的价格购置房地产。
This rate cut is one of the economic events of all time I'l tell you that much
这次降息是历史上最重要的经济事件之一，我可以告诉你这一点。
The EU lowered rates first. Confused by the implication that all others follow the fed. Only two major banks lowered rates. The fed and the ECB, and the ECB did it a week before
欧盟先降了利率。我对“其他所有人都跟随美联储”的说法感到困惑。只有两家主要银行降了利率：美联储和欧洲央行，而欧洲央行是在一周前做的。
A slow down coming to the US job market? Speak to anyone who is searching for a job that isn't minimum wage and they'll tell you it's already here.
美国就业市场即将放缓？和任何正在寻找非最低工资工作的人的谈话，他们会告诉你，这种情况已经来了。
The economist assumed EV is forced by the countries debt saturated and could not stay old model any more. Part is true But not the main reason. Those companies' CEOs are super experienced and wisdom enough to know what they want to do. It' s very personal ambition rather than country's task.
经济学家假设电动车是由于各国债务饱和所迫，无法再维持旧模式。这部分是正确的，但不是主要原因。这些公司的首席执行官经验丰富，知道他们想做什么。这更多是个人的雄心，而不是国家的任务。
The amount of insider trading by the private organisation called the FED
美联储这个私人机构的内部交易数量惊人。
Just a heads up, every single time in history that the FED started their rate cutting cycle by 50 BPS, we’ve entered a recession within a calendar year.
提醒一下，历史上每次美联储以50个基点开始降息周期，我们在一年内都进入了衰退。！
The Federal Reserve was created in 1913 to stabilize the U.S. economy after frequent financial panics in the 19th century. Over the years, it’s become a major player in the global economy, influencing markets far beyond U.S. borders.
美联储成立于1913年，旨在在19世纪频繁的金融恐慌后稳定美国经济。多年来，它已成为全球经济的重要参与者，影响着超越美国国界的市场。
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Central Bank's e-currencies are the same as paper currency - it changes nothing about the strength of a currency - specially because international transactions are already electronic.
中央银行的电子货币与纸币是一样的——这对货币的强度没有任何影响——特别是因为国际交易已经是电子化的。
Everything non dollar will appreciate
一切非美元货币将升值。
The FED is not a BANK and do not have reserves. is the institution that indicate the usury rate.
美联储不是一家银行，没有储备。它是指示美国利率的机构。
Would have been better for inflation if they didn’t announce the rate cuts at all. If the fed went this route, then there would not be an immediate increase in the rate of inflation in Lou with the rate cuts
如果美联储根本不宣布降息，可能对通货膨胀会更好。如果美联储走这条路，那么降息后在路易斯安那州的通货膨胀率就不会立即上升。
The average person has never been so poor. Millions of families are struggling financially as living expenses hit the highest levels in more than four decades. Over 60% of our country lives paycheck to paycheck and about 40% earns poverty wages. Even after working all their lives, more than a quarter of older people have no savings and many believe they will never be able to retire in dignity, while around 55% of elderly people try to survive on an income of less than 25,000 a year.
普通人从未如此贫穷。数百万家庭在经济上苦苦挣扎，生活费用达到了四十多年来的最高水平。超过60%的家庭靠薪水维持生活，约40%的人收入低于贫困线。即使一生都在工作，超过四分之一的老年人没有储蓄，许多人相信他们永远无法体面地退休，而大约55%的老年人则试图靠每年不到25,000美元的收入生存。
Honestly, this situation makes me uneasy, especially with the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 bps. It's a sign of deeper economic concerns, and I'm unsure about my $130K investment strategy given the potential for not just a recession but possibly a depression.
老实说，这种情况让我感到不安，特别是美联储降息50个基点。这是更深层经济担忧的迹象，对于我13万美元的投资策略，我对潜在的衰退甚至可能的经济萧条感到不确定。
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Debt is too high. This will just be a small temporary band-Aid.
债务太高了。这只会是一个小的临时补救措施。
Lowering rates ironically reduces inflationary pressures and eventually will gravitate towards the rate of inflation.
降息反而会减轻通货膨胀压力，最终将趋向于通货膨胀率。
Inflation was caused by over injections during Covid especially Quantitive Easing. Recovery was messy but happened then rates needed to hike up as Inflation was running away. Economy starting to cool and inflation less serious so right time to cut rates to re stimulate the economy. Still no real competition globally to the Dollar though the Yuan in some areas like Africa is getting stronger.
通货膨胀是由于在疫情期间过度注入资金，特别是量化宽松造成的。复苏过程混乱但最终发生了，然后需要加息，因为通货膨胀失控。经济开始降温，通货膨胀不那么严重，因此是时候降息以重新刺激经济。不过，美元在全球仍然没有真正的竞争对手，尽管人民币在一些地区（如非洲）正在变得更强。
Hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 14k in last month 2024
今天达到了20万美元。感谢你在过去几个月中给予我的所有知识和建议。我上个月才从1.4万美元起步。
The Feds has unleashed chaos! every day we encounter novel challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2024, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $280,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
美联储释放了混乱！我们每天都面临新的挑战，这些挑战已经成为新的常态。虽然我们之前把这视为危机，但现在我们承认这就是新常态，必须相应适应。鉴于2024年国家面临的经济困难，我们如何在这个调整期间提高收入？我不能让我的28万美元的储蓄在努力积累之后消失。
Given reduced inflation signals and as the Federal Reserve has halted rate hikes, what are the best additions for a $120K portfolio to enhance the overall performance of my portfolio this year
鉴于通胀信号减弱，以及美联储已停止加息，如何为我的12万美元投资组合增加最佳资产，以提升今年的整体表现？
Our economy is struggling with uncertainties, housing issues, foreclosures, global fluctuations, causing instability. Rising inflation, sluggish growth, and trade disruptions need urgent attention from all sectors to restore stability and stimulate growth.
我们的经济正面临不确定性、住房问题、止赎、全球波动，造成不稳定。通胀上升、增长缓慢和贸易干扰需要所有部门的紧急关注，以恢复稳定并刺激增长。
US socialism on full display. In a socialist economic model, the production of goods and services is either partially or fully regulated by the government; this is referred to as central planning, and the economic structure that is created is known as a planned economy or a command economy.
美国的社会主义全面展现。在社会主义经济模型中，商品和服务的生产部分或完全由政府监管；这称为中央计划，所形成的经济结构被称为计划经济或指令经济。
It became the most important because of Breton Woods and the fact that John Maynard Keynes lost there. Since the international currency became the Dollar, the FED - who controls the Dollar - also controls the world's economy. The FED's interest rates are, therefore, the rates that set other countries' interest rates. Really funny to hear CNBC not mentioning developing and poor countries on a video about the "global economy". Poor and developing countries have to increase their interest rates to 3 to 4 times that of the FED. Paul Volker's 1970s-1980s interest rate hike may have caused more pain and death around the world than many of the US military adventures abroad.
它之所以变得如此重要，是因为布雷顿森林会议以及约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯在其中的失败。由于国际货币成为美元，控制美元的美联储也就控制了世界经济。因此，美联储的利率就是其他国家设定利率的基准。听到CNBC在谈论“全球经济”时没有提到发展中国家和贫穷国家，实在令人觉得滑稽。贫穷和发展中国家不得不将利率提高到美联储的3到4倍。保罗·沃尔克在1970年代和1980年代的加息可能导致的痛苦和死亡，可能超过了美国在海外的许多军事冒险。
The rich stay rich by spending like the poor and investing without hesitating then the poor stay poor by spending like the rich yet not investing like the rich
富人通过像穷人一样消费和毫不犹豫地投资来保持富有，而穷人则通过像富人一样消费，但却没有像富人那样投资而继续贫穷。
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The Fed's talk of interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
美联储谈论降息让我思考，现在该买哪些股票，什么时候卖？我不确定如何合理配置资金，以在当前经济环境中实现最佳投资组合，我的目标是为退休积累300万美元。
This video did not touch on the most important issue about the USD at the moment. I.E. the debt climbing 1 T every 100 days.
这个视频没有触及当前美元最重要的问题，即债务每100天增加1万亿。
My small business is bankrupt after 12 years because of a high interest rate policy
由于高利率政策，我的小企业在经营12年后破产。
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Cut right before the election to help Kamala while driving inflation higher. Homes and cars prices will continue to rise. Free money
在选举前降息来帮助哈里斯，同时推动通胀上升。房价和汽车价格将继续上涨。免费资金。
I dont see how us economy is considered the biggest when brics are well ahead in global gdp share. I also do not understand why us economy is strong while on 7% deficit spending to succeed a marginal growth of 2.5%. USD debasement has kick started with gov decission to shut down economy (mistakenly reported stimmy checks), continous with the weaponisation of the currency and skyrockets with monetary settlements between bricks nations.
我不明白为什么美国经济被认为是最大的，而金砖国家在全球GDP份额上遥遥领先。我也不明白为什么美国经济在7%的赤字支出下仍然强劲，而这种支出仅能实现2.5%的微薄增长。美元贬值已经开始，政府决定关闭经济（错误地报告为刺激支票），并继续通过货币武器化，随着金砖国家之间的货币结算而急剧上升。
I'm favoured financially with Bitcoin ETFs approval, Thank you buddy. $32,000 weekly profit regardless of how bad it gets on the economy.
比特币ETF获批让我在财务上受益，谢谢你，朋友。无论经济状况多糟，每周都有32,000美元的利润。