国外网友热议：中国以CUDA替代方案冲击英伟达 - 华为CANN蓄势待发
China Destroying NVIDIA with Drop In CUDA Replacement - Huawei CANN Next
译文简介
科技评论员Eli探讨了两大议题：霍尔木兹海峡封锁引发的全球石油供应危机，以及中国对英伟达AI计算霸主地位的战略挑战。
正文翻译
Tech commentator Eli discusses two major concerns: the global oil supply crisis caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and China's strategic challenge to Nvidia's dominance in AI computing.科技评论员Eli探讨了两大议题：霍尔木兹海峡封锁引发的全球石油供应危机，以及中国对英伟达AI计算霸主地位的战略挑战。
On oil, he notes that tankers which left before the closure are still arriving in ports, but once those final shipments are delivered — Europe around April 1st and the US around April 15th — no replacement supply will follow, potentially driving gas prices to $10 per gallon in America.
关于石油问题，他指出，在封锁前出发的油轮仍在陆续抵港，但一旦这批最后的货物交付完毕——欧洲约在4月1日，美国约在4月15日——将不再有新船跟进，美国油价可能因此飙升至每加仑10美元。
On technology, Huawei has developed "CANN Next," a drop-in replacement for Nvidia's CUDA programming frxwork, designed to mimic CUDA's commands and outputs while running on Huawei's Ascend AI chips. Drawing a parallel to how Linux displaced Unix by replicating its functionality with open-source code, Eli argues this strategy could be highly effective globally. Developers already familiar with CUDA could seamlessly switch to Huawei's ecosystem without relearning anything, potentially undermining Nvidia's market dominance worldwide, especially in emerging markets like India, the Middle East, and Latin America.
关于技术层面，华为开发了"CANN Next"，这是英伟达CUDA编程框架的直接替代品，通过模仿CUDA的指令和输出，运行于华为昇腾AI芯片之上。Eli将此比作Linux通过开源方式复制Unix功能、最终取而代之的历程，认为这一策略在全球范围内极具威力。已熟悉CUDA的开发者无需重新学习，便可无缝迁移至华为生态，这可能从根本上动摇英伟达的市场主导地位，尤其是在印度、中东和拉丁美洲等新兴市场。
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Anything that slaps NVIDIA around sounds good to me. No more jackets for Jensen!
任何能给英伟达一巴掌的事在我听来都是好事。黄仁勋别想再买皮夹克了！
@LegolasD
F NVDA they took my GPUs, they took my RAM, my NVME, even slow ass spinner drives are sky high. Now they’re going tank retirement accounts as a pump and dump
去他的英伟达，他们抢走了我的显卡，抢走了我的内存，抢走了我的NVME固态硬盘，甚至连慢得要死的机械硬盘也涨到了天价。现在他们还要通过拉高出货来砸穿大家的退休金账户。
@pyrophobia133
less shiny jacket
少了一件闪亮的皮夹克。
@Dmgx32
terrible take if you're american....
如果你是美国人，这种看法可太糟糕了……
@SRD2025-b7d
That man, jensen is the most outrageous financial fraudster world have ever seen.
黄仁勋那个男人，是这个世界见过的最肆无忌惮的金融骗子。
@frgt-it
Guess what Jensen said very recently...
猜猜黄仁勋最近说了什么……
@dadadies
The US (and its politicians) always have many great plans. Their plans often involve many bombs, many um-alived children, protecting the state of Israel, etc.
美国（及其政客）总是有许多宏伟的计划。他们的计划往往涉及大量的炸弹、大量失去生命的孩子、保护以色列国，等等。
@VostockR
Imagine if in North Korea they tortured children to extract adrenochrome, then raped, killed, and ate them. Wouldn't that be worthy of the whole world destroying them? Well, that happens in the US, and nobody was arrested. They're all free as if nothing happened, and they're doing all of that right now, every day.
想象一下，如果朝鲜折磨儿童以提取肾上腺素红，然后强奸、杀害并吃掉他们。那难道不值得全世界去消灭他们吗？然而，这些事正在美国发生，却没有人被捕。他们都自由自在，好像什么都没发生过一样，而且他们现在每天都在做这些事。
@oceanwave4502
One may ask: what about EU in semiconductor? EU is even getting deindustrialized... (thanks to Iran war).
有人可能会问：欧盟在半导体方面怎么样了？欧盟甚至正在走向去工业化……（多亏了伊朗战争）。
@Amalokch
Yes this is all true. Israel is an albatross around US neck, and as we can see it caused the final downfall of the US empire.
是的，这全都是真的。以色列是挂在美国脖子上的沉重包袱（注：albatross 典出《老水手之歌》，意为无法摆脱的罪孽或负担），正如我们所见，它导致了美利坚帝国的最终衰落。
@InXLsisDeo
@oceanwave4502 count on the EU morons to choose the wrong side and shoot themselves in the foot.
@oceanwave4502 别指望欧盟那些蠢货了，他们总能选错边，然后搬起石头砸自己的脚。
@realitynightmare
This is a heck of a game changer. I think many people will switch just to spite nvidia.
At this point everyone not building a data centre feels betrayed and ready to switch as soon as the option exists
这真是一个颠覆性的规则改变者。我认为很多人会纯粹为了气英伟达而选择倒戈。在这一刻，每一个没在建数据中心的人都觉得自己被背叛了，并且只要一有新选项就准备立刻换掉它。
@arcuscerebellumus8797
What's the use for CUDA except data centers? Calc? Sim? Seems pretty niche, and still does nothing for hardware availability.
除了数据中心，CUDA 还有什么用？计算？模拟？看起来相当小众，而且依然解决不了硬件供应的问题。
@pacman_pol_pl_polska
Who needs politicians when we have Israel?
既然我们有以色列，谁还需要政客？
@llmcoder
yes these software and hardware companies which have been laying off employees at an astounding rate blaming AI are facing the reckoning. Ai can replace developers and AI can replace licensed software and very quickly. SAP, salesforce NVIDIA all of this shit is about to get squeezed and hard.
是的，这些一边以惊人的速度裁员、一边把锅甩给 AI 的软件和硬件公司正面临清算。AI 可以取代开发者，AI 也可以非常迅速地取代商业授权软件。SAP、Salesforce、英伟达，所有这些垃圾都要遭到极其严重的挤压了。
@GM4ThePeople
Paraphrasing the great genius Ezra Pound, who got locked up in the looney bin for noticing. o/
套用伟大天才埃兹拉·庞德（Ezra Pound）的话，他就是因为注意到了这一点而被关进了疯人院。
@tyrannosauruswrecks5904
Who needs them? Israel needs them.
谁需要他们（指美国政客）？以色列需要他们。
@negrastormentas2865
The US and UK created Israel to control the Middle-East and the flow of oil to China. The "deep state" controls Israel.
美国和英国扶植了以色列，以此来控制中东以及流向中国的石油。而“深层政府”控制着以色列。
@sunnohh
@negrastormentas2865tell that to israel, rofl
@negrastormentas2865 把这话去跟以色列说吧，笑得在地上打滚。
@Felipe_DK
@negrastormentas2865 exactly, there is no DNA tracking any1 to that place, fake estate.
@negrastormentas2865 没错，根本没有任何 DNA 证据能把任何人与那个地方联系起来，那是个虚假的地盘。
@InXLsisDeo
@negrastormentas2865 it should be a given at this point that Netanyahu has the Epstein videos.
@negrastormentas2865 在这个时间点，内塔尼亚胡手握爱泼斯坦那些（政客丑闻）录像带应该是个不争的事实了。
@paulchamberlain7942
Same deal as the PC BIOS story that helped make the PC the success it has been. Well done China, keep up the pressure on the empire that targets school children!
这和当年帮助个人电脑（PC）取得巨大成功的 PC BIOS 故事如出个一辙（注：指康柏通过逆向工程打破 IBM 垄断的历史）。干得好中国，继续向那个把黑手伸向学童的帝国施加压力！
@billykotsos4642
Finally.
The Chinese DRAGON SHOULD AWAKEN
终于来了。中国巨龙应该觉醒。
@OffensiveDrivingTGA
This one time I agree.
唯独这一次我表示赞同。
@dvdragon
April 15th. Mark it. Liberation Day!
4月15日。记住这一天，解放日！
@samanthajones4877
Serious question, what is April 15 liberation day? I must have missed a few videos.
认真的提问，4月15日的解放日是什么？我一定是漏看了几期视频。
@DavidFerencz-z5x
@samanthajones4877 Eli noted that April 15 marks the final shipment of oil arriving to the US. After that, everything depends on the Strait of Hormuz opening and, even if it were to open immediately, there would a significant lag of weeks to get oil to the US.
@samanthajones4877 播主 Eli 提到，4月15日标志着运抵美国的最后一批石油。在那之后，一切都取决于霍尔木兹海峡是否开放，而且即使海峡立即开放，石油运抵美国也会有数周的严重滞后。
@frgt-it
@DavidFerencz-z5x oh yeah cant wait for that to happen and stay for a while
@DavidFerencz-z5x 哦耶，我等不及看那一天到来，并持续上一段时间了。
@cherubin7th
we all suffered under cuda, this is great.
我们都在 CUDA 的垄断下受尽了苦，这真是太棒了。
@TrMarwane
Did he just mention China? Time to bombard this with views!
他刚才提到中国了吗？是时候用播放量来轰炸这个视频了！
@Dr.DavidWilson
We were totally energy independent during trumps first term. He is obviously colluding with companies to drive costs to bankrupt Americans. He, during both terms, printed as much money as humanly possible to basically make money worthless for all non billionaires. Everything he says he did or does is a complete lie. He has worked to destroy our economy with extreme focus and determination. Him and Biden will go down as tge two worst presidents in United States history. They literally took a country that was on thw edge of collapse and pushed it as hard and fast as they could towards it
在特朗普的第一任期内，我们完全实现了能源独立。但他现在显然在与大公司勾结，推高成本让美国人破产。他在两届任期内都印了多到不能再多的钱，基本上让除了亿万富翁以外的所有人的钱都变得一文不值。他声称自己做过或正在做的每一件事都是彻头彻尾的谎言。他极度专注且坚定地致力于摧毁我们的经济。他和拜登将作为美国历史上最糟糕的两位总统被载入史册。他们简直是把一个处于崩溃边缘的国家，用尽全力、以最快的速度推向了深渊。
@OlJackBurton
don't lump Biden in with cheeto lol. cheeto was far worse than having no president in office. Biden was only marginally better than a coke can as president, but he had to deal with the covid mess that trump bungled so badly and a Ukraine war that he didn't start unlike trump's war of choice in Iran or the bogus forever Iraq war that bushie started lol. even Afghanistan was arguably bogus too, especially in hindsight. and say what you will about his performance in leaving Afghanistan, but at least he finally ended that forever war which had to be done just like Vietnam instead of kicking the can down the road to the next president...
别把拜登和“奇多”（注：cheeto，指特朗普，因其皮肤偏橘色）混为一谈，哈哈。有个奇多总统比没有总统在位还要糟糕得多。拜登当总统也只是比一罐可乐稍微强点，但他必须处理特朗普搞砸的疫情烂摊子，以及一场并非由他挑起的乌克兰战争——这可不像特朗普在伊朗挑起的自主选择的战争，或者布什挑起的荒谬的、永无止境的伊拉克战争，哈哈。甚至连阿富汗战争也可以说是荒谬的，尤其是事后看来。不管你怎么评价他在撤出阿富汗时的表现，至少他最终结束了那场无休止的战争，就像当年的越南战争一样，这件事情必须去做，而不是把这个皮球踢给下一任总统……
@Johanthegnarler
Yep, between him and Biden it's almost like it was planned
没错，在他和拜登之间，这搞得就好像是提前计划好的一样。
@Ahamshep
No you were never energy independent. You have no infrastructure to pipe all the extremely expensive shale oil around your country. So you buy cheep oil to subsidize the price of your expensive shale oil that is sold in a few areas where its produced. Not to mention 40% of your electricity coming from Canada. Although I agree with the rest you said.
不，你们从来没有真正实现过能源独立。你们根本没有基础设施将所有极其昂贵的页岩油运送到全美各地。所以你们购买便宜的原油来补贴你们昂贵的页岩油价格，而那些页岩油只在少数产地销售。更不用说你们有40%的电力来自加拿大了。不过，我同意你说的其他观点。
@FoldedCloak
Yeah they're picking real dodgy leaders of late.
Olivier Sterck had made a new way of measuring poverty called "average poverty". Is a lot better than just having a poverty line and counting how many people are below it: it is a continuum instead of a line.
Buy that new measure the US is twice as poor as major European economies.
是的，他们最近选出的领导人真的很不靠谱。奥利维尔·斯特克（Olivier Sterck）发明了一种衡量贫困的新方法，叫做“平均贫困”。这比单纯划定一条贫困线并计算线下有多少人要好得多：它是一个连续谱，而不是一条生硬的线。如果按照这个新的衡量标准，美国的贫困程度是欧洲主要经济体的两倍。
@ZED-PV
You can't be energy independent if you are DEPENDANT on oil... Energy independence is from renewable ONLY.
如果你还依赖石油，你就不可能实现能源独立……真正的能源独立只能来自于可再生能源。
@FoldedCloak
@ZED-PVeven then you only have sovereignty if you produce the batteries etc
@ZED-PV 哪怕到了那个时候，你也只有在自己能生产电池等设备的情况下才算拥有（能源）主权。
@José_Sánchez_PR
The economy was on a positive trajectory at the end of Bidens term, not impressive but still positive. Then you see once Trump got into power it’s been downhill from there lol
在拜登任期结束时，经济还处在积极的轨道上，虽然不惊艳但仍是积极的。然后你就会看到，一旦特朗普上台，经济就一路走下坡路了，哈哈。
@rikkc137
@Ahamshep their mentality is more like - lets use up all of yours while it is cheap, and when it isn't, we'll beat you till it is cheap enough, and when that is all dry, then we'll use our own
@Ahamshep 他们的心态更像是——趁着你们的资源便宜时先把它用光；如果不便宜了，我们就揍到它便宜为止；等你们的都榨干了，我们再用我们自己的。
@verycloud
There's an old Chinese saying: As the virtue rises a foot, the demon rises ten feet!
中国有句古话叫： 道高一尺, 魔高一丈！
@PhilippBlum
Tried to find anything about being a drop in replacement. Looks more like their own toolkit. ZLUDA seems still the only adaption layer for it.
我试着去找任何关于它能作为“即插即用替代品”的信息。但它看起来更像是他们自己的工具包。ZLUDA（注：一个让 CUDA 应用能在 AMD 硬件上运行的开源库）似乎依然是目前唯一的兼容层。
@Storm4155
We want to hear about Nexperia!!!!!!!!
我们想听关于安世半导体（Nexperia）的事！！！！！！！！
@joeyjojojr.shabadoo915
Open Source CUDA Replacement will likely find it's way into the Euro Ecosystem in the future, as they seem to be doing everything that they can to dump US Dependency and regain control over their workflows.
开源的 CUDA 替代品未来很可能会进入欧洲的生态系统，因为他们似乎正在竭尽所能地摆脱对美国的依赖，并重新夺回对自身工作流的控制权。
@corewarrior
Eli what made the transition from UNIX to Linux possible was the POSIX standard that Stallman help write. Using that as a guidepost they were able to create the GNU utilities that were initially the same as those on UNIX. BTW, you don't see any more new Unix is because the last company making is Oracle which is still making SPARC devices running Solaris. There is the free version of Solaris called OpenSolaris, Illimos, and OpenIndiana. Interesing video sir, thanks!
播主 Eli，让从 UNIX 到 Linux 的过渡成为可能的是斯托曼（Stallman）协助编写的 POSIX 标准。以此为路标，他们才得以创建最初与 UNIX 上完全相同的 GNU 实用工具。顺便说一句，你之所以看不到更多新的 UNIX，是因为最后一家还在做它的公司是甲骨文（Oracle），他们目前仍在使用运行着 Solaris 的 SPARC 设备。Solaris 还有免费版本，叫 OpenSolaris、Illimos 和 OpenIndiana。很有意思的视频，先生，谢谢！
@raydrapela634
We paid almost a million dollars for run time and source code for Unix 3. We collected and processed Magneto-Telluric data using PDP11/23 in the field and mainfrx in home office. We sent reel to reel tapes by overnight mail, and management wondered if we could just use 300 baud modem to transmit the data. Not much seems to have changed in some ways, but am glad I don't have to transport PDP11/08s with core memory.
我们当年花了近一百万美元购买了 Unix 3 的运行时和源代码。我们在野外使用 PDP11/23 收集和处理大地电磁数据，并在总公司的大型机上进行处理。我们通过隔夜邮件寄送卷盘磁带，而管理层居然在想我们能不能直接用 300 波特的调制解调器来传输这些数据。在某些方面似乎没发生太大改变，但我很高兴我现在不必搬运带有磁芯内存的 PDP11/08 设备了。
@ericelnomada
As soon as they launch their GPUs im making the switch and never looking back
只要他们一发布显卡，我马上就换掉，绝不回头。
@spankythemonkey9828
I don't blame you. The price of Nvidia is ridiculous.
我不怪你。英伟达的价格实在是太荒谬了。
@weigangfu8826
You can't switch cuz uncle sam will ban it.
你换不了，因为山姆大叔会禁掉它。
@yahaaa1343
Our politicians DO have a plan, it's 1984 and they work hard to make it happen.
我们的政客确实是有计划的，那就是实现《1984》，而且他们正在努力让它成真。
@layer4down
I’m old enough to remember when Huawei did something like this with Cisco IOS. Short-term may have sucked but these days we have IOS CCIE’s and JNCIE’s earning Huawei HCIE’s.
我年纪够大，还记得当年华为用思科的 IOS 系统也做过类似的事情（注：指早年路由器系统的逆向或兼容）。短期内可能很糟糕，但如今日子久了，我们能看到拥有思科和瞻博网络顶级认证的人，也都在考取华为的 HCIE 认证了。
@rosomak8244
AMD did already something similar quite a time ago. Nvidia litigated it in to oblivion.
AMD 很久以前就已经做过类似的事情了。英伟达直接通过诉讼把它打入了万劫不复的深渊。
@RaymondLi604
CUDA competitors: MUSA, ROCm/HIP, TorchTPU
CUDA 的竞争对手们：MUSA（摩尔线程）、ROCm/HIP（AMD）、TorchTPU。
@silvermushroom-gamifyevery6430
Good luck to Nividislop if they think that's gonna work on China!
如果“英伟烂”觉得那一套在中国行得通，那就祝他们好运吧！
@LegolasD
NVDA going to litigate it in China? Haha
英伟达打算在中国打官司控告它吗？哈哈。
@GDawg2K2
Right on time! Last year Huawei projected first qtr for open source eco system!
时间掐得刚刚好！去年华为就预测第一季度会推出开源生态系统！
@denovo3949
Oil tanker fees be like...
现在的油轮运费基本上就是……满屏的美金
@HighField-qr6bl
Hehehehe. Happy Armageddon. China gets to have an opinion too.
呵呵呵呵。祝世界末日快乐。中国现在也有资格发表意见了。
@xybavh6575
We here in America are the master planners. We plan to self destruct.
我们在美国的这帮人才是真正的“规划大师”。我们计划自我毁灭。
@OnceGreatBritain
Did get it right?
Couda = could have
Can = can ?
我理解得对吗？
CUDA（音同 Couda） = 本可以（Could have）
CANN（华为的计算架构） = 能行（Can）？
@rejhanpuskar
That camera quallity is amazing... what are you using?
这相机的画质太惊艳了……你用的是什么设备？
@twentytwenty3511
Eli the "there goes the moat" guy
Eli 真是个“护城河完蛋了”专业户。
@silvermushroom-gamifyevery6430
If there's any valid alternative to Nvidislop, especially on mobile, gamers will flock to it in droves just to spite them.
只要有任何能替代“英伟烂”的有效方案，特别是在移动端，玩家们绝对会成群结队地涌过去，纯粹为了气死他们。
@BlueSquatchproductions
Great explanation 6:01
6分01秒处的解释太棒了。
@nicolaspace1182
I love the thumbnail for this video. lol!
我太喜欢这个视频的封面图了，大笑！
@nandans2506
Moving over to team China was not on my 2026 bingo card
倒戈去加入“中国队”可不在我2026年的愿望清单（Bingo 卡）上。
@thenoblerot
Cool Eric Joyner print!
很酷的埃里克·乔伊纳（Eric Joyner）的画作印刷品！
@mrmaxin53
Thumbnail is wild
这个封面图太狂野了。
@coderjo6944
I just seen where there are oil tankers allowed to go through but they can't buy oil with the american dollar. Not sure if it was one currency they are forcing every one to trade in or just making sure it is not the dollar.
我刚刚看到有消息说，现在允许油轮通过，但他们不能用美元购买石油。我不确定他们是强迫所有人只用一种货币交易，还是仅仅为了确保不使用美元。
@jessicayoung1190
Those oil tankers are allowed to go through Strait of Hormuz as long as the oil is paid in Chinese Yuan .
只要石油是用人民币结算的，这些油轮就被允许通过霍尔木兹海峡。
@Stef.Cata051
There are some oil tankers passing trough Hormuz straight...most of them are indian or Chinese and some others that have manage to negotiate with Iran
确实有一些油轮正在通过霍尔木兹海峡……其中大多数是印度或中国的，还有一些是成功与伊朗达成谈判的国家的。
@Nexusforce1
It's a good strategy that could be part of a multi-prong strategy to gain market share: one being their open source models, two being this cuda drop in, and there being cheaper hardware
这是一个很好的策略，可以作为争夺市场份额的多管齐下战略的一部分：一是他们的开源模型，二是这个 CUDA 的即插即用替代品，三是更便宜的硬件。
@aniksamiurrahman6365
Isn’t Moor's thread has a similar system?
摩尔线程（Moor's thread）不是也有一个类似的系统吗？
@José_Sánchez_PR
Green renewable energy sounds like it would have been great thing to heavily invest in…
绿色可再生能源听起来本该是一件值得重仓投资的大好事……
@ralphzoombeenie2330
My fully solar powered home and EVs look better every day. All are of Chinese manufacture.
我那完全由太阳能供电的房子和电动汽车现在看起来一天比一天香。而且全都是中国制造。
@InXLsisDeo
Watching this from China. Love the country, it's freaking awesome!
人在中国看这个视频。我爱这个国家，这里太棒了！
@f1aziz
I think it's more akin to how Java works, you could write programs in Java or Kotlin etc let the compiler generate the byte code that the JVM could run on multiple CPU architectures. It's not a novel concept, I am surprised it's taken this long for any corporate entity to pick up given the juicy margins.
我认为这更类似于 Java 的工作方式：你可以用 Java 或 Kotlin 等语言编写程序，让编译器生成字节码，然后 JVM（Java 虚拟机）就可以在多种 CPU 架构上运行它。这并不是一个新颖的概念，考虑到其中丰厚的利润空间，我很惊讶居然花了这么长时间才有企业实体去接盘。
@rainfall-gently
CANN is basically for Huawei ascend chip
CANN 基本上就是专门为华为昇腾（Ascend）芯片服务的。
@kauaixtremeshorefishing1021
very smart.
非常聪明。
@johnsmith1953x
"China Destroying NVIDIA with Drop In CUDA Replacement"
Thats not only IMPOSSIBLE but UNPOSSIBLE.
“中国用即插即用的 CUDA 替代品摧毁英伟达”——这不仅是“不可能的（Impossible）”，简直是“绝不可能的”。
@BitTorrentGemini
FAFO, finally..
总算遭报应了。
@kyoko703
All this won't mean a damn if all that helium gas that is stuck in the strait doesn't get to a containment facility soon. It's on a countdown and it has to get offloaded soon or vented out to prevent a massive explosion.
如果被困在海峡里的所有氦气不能尽快运到储存设施，这一切都将毫无意义。倒计时已经开始了，它必须尽快卸载或排放掉，以防止发生大爆炸。
@technoartfest8708
no worries , the strait issue will be fixed and not exactly the way The orange man wanted originally. Already is Open but only for IRAN chosen tanquers of friendly nations and they are making a ton of money ,per tanquer allowed to enter. So there will be negotiations sooner or later , because negotiations are way cheaper than a full scale war. And so eventually a deal will be made ,some kind of bribery, that will be accepted by the persians that will end the iranian blockade for the west . Already Russia said they have received very interesting propositions to not only end iranian conflict but the ukraine one too. So in the end a deal will be made ,that will allow the Orange man to save face , that could be acceptable for most sides like IRAN ,Russia ,China and US. Because the alternative is a very incredibly expensive painful decades long war that nobody wants.
别担心，海峡问题会得到解决的，而且绝不是按照那位“橙色人”（指特朗普）最初希望的方式。它已经开放了，但只对伊朗挑选的友好国家的油轮开放，而且每允许一艘油轮进入，他们就能赚大钱。所以迟早会有谈判的，因为谈判的成本远低于全面战争。因此最终会达成某种协议，某种会被波斯人（伊朗）接受的贿赂或妥协，从而结束伊朗对西方的封锁。俄罗斯已经表示，他们收到了一些非常有趣的提议，不仅能结束伊朗的冲突，还能结束乌克兰的冲突。所以最终会达成一个协议，让“橙色人”保住面子，同时也让伊朗、俄罗斯、中国和美国等大多数方面都能接受。因为如果不这样做，替代方案将是一场极其昂贵、痛苦且持续数十年的战争，没有人想要那样。
@davidebucciarelli8363
Hi Eli, tra un poco qui in Europa saremo a rovistare nei cassonetti. Speriamo ce ne siano abbastanza per tutti. Bei tempi quando nel 2025 i politici si limitavano a leccare l'intonaco...
嗨 Eli，要不了多久，我们欧洲人就得去翻垃圾桶了。希望到时候能有足够的垃圾桶分给大家。怀念2025年的好时光啊，那时候政客们还只是满足于舔舔墙皮……
@JoyWong-1120
What is happening in Europe?
欧洲发生什么事了？
@shadmansudipto7287
that's a nice shirt!
那件衬衫真好看！