特朗普为什么取消对伊朗能源的打击？
Why did Trump call off strikes on Iranian energy?
译文简介
美国总统不仅在选择继续施压还是停止战争——他在寻找一个可用的胜利。
正文翻译
The US president is not just choosing between continuing the pressure or stopping the war – he is looking for a usable victory
美国总统不仅在选择继续施压还是停止战争——他在寻找一个可用的胜利。
The military and political dynamic around Iran has entered a more dangerous phase, yet the diplomatic choreography now unfolding suggests that Washington is no longer thinking only in terms of punishment and pressure.
围绕伊朗的军事和政治动态已经进入一个更危险的阶段，然而，目前展开的外交舞蹈表明，华盛顿不再仅仅考虑惩罚和施压的问题。
Since March 20, the pattern has become unmistakable. The US and Israel have continued to widen the scope of their campaign against Iranian strategic infrastructure, including nuclear facilities, while Iran has answered by pushing retaliation toward symbols of Israeli nuclear deterrence and by threatening a broader regional energy shock. What appeared only days ago to be an escalation ladder without a visible ceiling is now also becoming a negotiation space, however deniable, fragmented, and politically fragile.
自3月20日以来，这一模式变得明显。美国和以色列继续扩大对伊朗战略基础设施的打击范围，包括核设施，而伊朗则通过针对以色列核威慑象征进行报复，并威胁引发更广泛的地区能源冲击来回应。几天前看似没有明显上限的升级梯度，现在也开始成为一个谈判空间，尽管这个空间是可否认的、支离破碎的，并且在政治上脆弱。
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Who can explain mental illnesses?
谁能解释心理疾病？
RL L
Lol, it seems that this analysis was premature. It wasn’t a few hours later that he bombed Iranian power plants. Trust Trump…to do the opposite of what he says, always!
哈哈，看来这个分析有点草率。没过几个小时他就轰炸了伊朗的电厂。相信特朗普……总是做与他说的相反的事！
fatdogtavern
Iran has been turned into a parking lot. If thats your definition of a victory, I’d love to see what you call a defeat.
伊朗已经变成了一个停车场。如果这就是你对胜利的定义，那我很想看看你会称什么为失败。
Danilo Salcedo
Israel after this will not even be fit for a parking lot…. Iran is 75 times the size of Israel and 9 times the population…. Iran is a self sufficient country while Israelis are moochers and their is no mood in the US to continue sending money to this entity….. Large parts of the more successful parts of the Israeli population have 2nd passports and will just leave the smoking pile of rubble…. Most important of all, the myth of Israeli invincibility has been shattered ….. its is only a matter of time when US support for the (redacted)l entity evaporates and with it the Israeli state…. good riddance…. Thank you Iran!
以色列在这之后甚至连停车场都不配了……伊朗的面积是以色列的75倍，人口是9倍……伊朗是一个自给自足的国家，而以色列人则是寄生虫，美国也没有继续向这个实体提供资金的心情……以色列更成功的人口中有很多人持有第二护照，他们会离开这片烟雾弥漫的废墟……最重要的是，以色列不可战胜的神话已经破灭……支持实体的美国援助只是时间问题，这样以色列国也将烟消云散……再见了……感谢伊朗！
Danilo Salcedo
Assuming Iran is correct in its claims of the large supply of missiles, lengthening this war is in Iran’s interest. Every day the war continues allows further destruction of Israel a country that is 75 times smaller than Iran so every missile strike on Israel counts way more than one on Iran. The US and Israel have already been embarrassed by the incredible ability of Iran to destroy US military bases in the region and to show that the invincible iron dome is a fairy tale. Iran has the moral high ground as this war was started with cowardly unprovoked attacks by a (you no what) state and its protector…. This war is so toxic that even the (redacted) Europeans don’t want any part of it….. most in the world cheer Iran and admire their bravery and resilience. (Hey RT why does your censorship aim to protect Israel?)
假设伊朗关于大量导弹供应的说法是正确的，延长这场战争符合伊朗的利益。战争持续的每一天都会进一步摧毁以色列，而以色列的面积仅为伊朗的75倍，因此每一次对以色列的导弹打击都比对伊朗的打击更加重要。美国和以色列已经被伊朗摧毁地区美国军事基地的惊人能力所羞辱，并且显示出无敌铁穹的虚幻。伊朗在道义上占据高地，因为这场战争是由一个（你懂的）国家及其保护者发动的卑鄙而无端的攻击引发的……这场战争是如此有毒，以至于即使是的欧洲人也不想参与其中……世界上大多数人都为伊朗欢呼，钦佩他们的勇气和韧性。（嘿RT，为什么你的审查旨在保护以色列？）
PA Sucks (Pasuxx)
I am just curious if Iran will eventually attempt to hit Rammstein AFB, since a great deal of the attacks and coordination go through there…. I think if they DID, the US would hit panic mode for sure lol
我只是好奇伊朗是否最终会尝试攻击拉姆施泰因空军基地，因为很多攻击和协调都是通过那里进行的……我觉得如果他们真的这样做，美国肯定会陷入恐慌模式，哈哈。
Dimitri Ledkovsky
Keep bombing Israel day and night until they come out into the streets en masse with their hands high up in the air.
继续日夜轰炸以色列，直到他们成群结队走上街头，双手高举在空中。
Slim Linez
Trump is no TACO,
TACO is just his tactics to manipulate the market for financial gains.
In the future we will find out how many billions he, his family, Epstein-friends and gang have made using his time in office.
特朗普不是一个“战术家”，
“战术家”只是他操纵市场以获取经济利益的手段。
未来我们会发现他、他的家人、与爱泼斯坦的朋友和团伙在任职期间赚了多少亿。
Aunt Bee
If trump the madman uses nukes….KARMA on the US…for what goes around, comes around.
如果特朗普这个疯子使用核武器……那就是美国的因果报应……你种下什么，终究会收获什么。
fatdogtavern
What color is the sky on your planet, Auntie? There is ZERO chance Trump would use nukes. Z-E-R-O.
阿姨，你们星球上的天空是什么颜色？特朗普使用核武器的可能性为零。
Max Holbrook
My prediction has always been. who ever fires the first nuke will lose very biggly, and the USSA knows this.
And that’s why the USSA were doing everything they could to P off Putin to get them to drop the first Nuke on Ukraine.
The size of the Nuke doesn’t matter, a Nuke is a Nuke.
我一直以来的预测是：谁先发射核武器，谁就会遭受巨大的损失，而美国也知道这一点。
这就是为什么美国尽一切努力激怒普京，想让他们在乌克兰首发核武器。
核武器的大小并不重要，核武器就是核武器。
Max Holbrook
Because ….
Unlike TACO, Iran will do what they say they will do, and that’s because if they don’t they have LOST.
Somebody always has to steer off course to avoid a head on collision, and that means …. Iran is driving this war, not the people that started it, and that must be really be P’ing off Trumpstein.
因为……
与“战术家”不同，伊朗会履行他们的承诺，因为如果他们不这样做，就意味着他们失败了。
总是有人必须偏离航向以避免正面碰撞，这意味着……伊朗在主导这场战争，而不是那些发动战争的人，这一定让特朗普非常恼火。
fluttershield mlp
Trump saw the potential for massive profits through stock market manipulation with oil stocks and petroleum futures. His friends and family are making billions with each proclamation he makes that raises or drops the price of oil. Will Attorney General Pam Blondi investigate? No, because she has no moral compass like our whole Federal government of Talmudic apparatchiks.
特朗普看到了通过操纵股市在石油股票和石油期货中获得巨额利润的潜力。他的朋友和家人通过他每次提高或降低油价的声明赚取数十亿。检察总长帕姆·布隆迪会调查吗？不会，因为她没有道德准则，就像我们整个由塔木德官僚组成的联邦政府一样。
ad d
Because trump will used nukes and observe an untouched area evaporated
因为特朗普会使用核武器，目睹一片未受影响的区域蒸发。
Chris
More than likely they have told Iran to give up the enriched uranium or they’ll take out their energy infrastructure.
更有可能的是，他们告诉伊朗放弃浓缩铀，否则就会摧毁他们的能源基础设施。
lou hori
This story is NOT 4 page long! Bi bi l ordered Donny to bomb Iran….Iran lighted up all arskissing Arabic state oil fields etc….iran block the straight….Donny want to bomb Iran nuke facility….then Iran sent 6 missiles around dimona…Trump and bibi crap their pants …end of story……
这个故事根本不长！比比尔命令唐尼去轰炸伊朗……伊朗点燃了所有阿拉伯国家的石油田……伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡……唐尼想要轰炸伊朗的核设施……然后伊朗向迪莫纳发射了6枚导弹……特朗普和比比吓得尿了裤子……故事结束。
paul
Interesting piece, lets not forget he is moving troops into the area and he has a screw loose, Tomorrow he will change direction and the following day will change again. On a different tack he has done nothing to releave the GENOCIDE in Gaza which he is complicit in and also he wants to divert attention from his other stated goals regarding Canada and Greenland he also is after Cuba and is stealing venezuala oil. He is insane.
有趣的文章，别忘了他正在向该地区调动军队，而且他的脑子有问题。明天他会改变方向，后天又会再变一次。在另一个方面，他对加沙的种族灭绝无所作为，他对此也有同谋关系，同时他想转移公众对他在加拿大、格林兰以及对古巴的其他目标的关注，他还在窃取委内瑞拉的石油。他疯了。
Victor
It’s time Trump declare Victory, leave the Middle East, let Israel burn & accept Iran as a nuclear weapons State. Mission accomplished!
是时候让特朗普宣布胜利，撤出中东，让以色列自生自灭，并接受伊朗成为一个核武器国家。任务完成！
Guy joseph Bille Bille
This war on IRAN has no winner .
US and ISRAEL have irresponsible leaders , they thought IRAN was going to be Business as usual , They fell on something bigger than them
No body can defeat IRAN and after this IRAN knows exactly how to strengthen their military capability
这场对伊朗的战争没有赢家。美国和以色列都有不负责任的领导人，他们以为伊朗会一切照旧，却遭遇了比他们更大的挑战。
没有人能击败伊朗，而在这之后，伊朗确切知道如何增强他们的军事能力。
SQ29548
What Trump is doing—by repeatedly claiming peace with Iran only to back down hourly when Iran denies any talks—isn’t just embarrassing foreign policy. It’s a deliberate pattern of deceit designed to distract from a much uglier reality: the systematic transfer of wealth from the middle class to his inner circle of loyalists and grifters.
特朗普所做的——不断声称与伊朗和平，却在伊朗否认任何谈判时每小时就退缩一次——不仅仅是尴尬的外交政策。这是一种故意的欺骗模式，旨在转移公众对一个更丑陋现实的注意：财富从中产阶级系统性地转移到他那群忠诚者和诈骗者的内圈。
Each bluff serves a purpose. It dominates headlines, creates the illusion of strongman leadership, and allows his allies to continue plundering public resources while the public is focused on a manufactured diplomatic spectacle. The real beneficiaries aren’t the American people—they’re the insiders, donors, and opportunists circling a fading political operation.
每一次虚张声势都有其目的。它主导着头条新闻，制造出强权领导的假象，并允许他的盟友在公众关注制造的外交闹剧时继续掠夺公共资源。真正的受益者不是美国人民，而是那些内部人士、捐赠者和围绕着逐渐衰弱的政治操作的机会主义者。
fluttershield mlp
My USA has an Enron President in Trump. Totally fraudulent and all lies.
我的美国有一个像安然总裁一样的特朗普。完全是欺诈，都是谎言。
Alex Litvenenko
This article is very articulate and well researched and written. But. This is the third explanation: the diplomacy web theory, that I have seen in the past 8 hours telling the USeless Eaters how Trump is having imaginary peace talks with Iran, whilst Iran exclaims, «We don’t know who you are talking to, but it’s not us!» There is nearly no mention of Mr. Mohammad Sanubari’s chilling warning on IRIB TV remaining on the US internet.
这篇文章非常清晰、研究充分且写得很好。但是，这已是我在过去8小时内看到的第三种解释：外交网络理论，它告诉那些无用的美国人特朗普与伊朗进行虚构的和平谈判，而伊朗则回应道：“我们不知道你在说谁，但那不是我们！”几乎没有提到穆罕默德·萨努巴里的可怕警告在美国互联网的存在。
Aunt Bee
trump knows Iran is more powerful. But I don’t trust trump at all and he may attempt a surprise attack. But I know Iran will be waiting to give US some Iranian hospitality.
特朗普知道伊朗更强大。但我完全不信任特朗普，他可能会试图发动突袭。但我知道伊朗会准备好给美国一些伊朗的热情款待。
Ray
He didn’t call it off! Iran called his bluff!!
他并没有取消！伊朗揭穿了他的虚张声势！！
Your Yoyo
Actually, he originally issued the threat to make the price of oil jump higher. Then, 15 minutes after his insider trading buddies placed $580 million worth of bets on oil in a 1-minute period:
1) he called off the threat, and therefore
2) the price of oil immediately dropped, and
3) his rich buddies got a lot richer.
See today’s RT news story for details.
其实，他最初发出威胁是为了让油价飙升。然后，在他的内幕交易伙伴在1分钟内押注了价值5.8亿美元后，15分钟内：
1）他叫停了威胁，因此
2）油价立即下跌，
3）他的富有朋友变得更加富有。有关详细信息，请查看今天的RT新闻。
abu kamoon
BECAUSE HE IS SCARED.
因为他害怕。
Oh Shit
Why, even Trump couldn’t tell you because he is completely mentally deranged!
为什么，即使是特朗普也无法告诉你，因为他完全精神失常！
Your Yoyo
Actually, he did it to temporarily manipulate the market price of oil and allow his rich buddies to get richer.
实际上，他这样做是为了暂时操纵油价，让他的富有朋友们变得更富有。
Thekid
Isn’t it obvious why he called off strikes? It was done to manipulate the stock market for his rich cronies to make even more cash. That’s one of the reasons he was installed as president. Sorry to break it to the chmps (had to leave out the u or I couldn’t post), it had nothing to do with being ‘elected’.
他叫停空袭的原因不是很明显吗？这是为了操纵股市，让他的富裕亲朋们赚更多的钱。这也是他当上总统的原因之一。抱歉告诉这些人（不得不省略u，否则我无法发布），这与“当选”无关。
Ano ny Mouse
Because Energy Crisis makes EU lose and China winning industry contracts
因为能源危机让欧盟失利，而中国赢得了工业合同。
Mi Samsung
Whatever Dotard Darn-Old does at this point going forward it will look as if he TACOed AGAIN! He shouldn’t have started this mess-O-potamia in the first place. Any military member from the lowest private to the highest general could have told him not to mess with Iran and if you do you had best make it a total invasion. The gulf is a very strategic and narrow waterway that can be blocked.
无论老唐接下来做什么，看起来都像是又一次搞砸了！他根本不应该在第一时间就开始这个烂摊子。任何军人，从最低级的士兵到最高级的将军，都可以告诉他不要惹伊朗，如果你要这么做，就最好进行全面入侵。海湾是一个非常具有战略意义且狭窄的水道，可以被封锁。
His best bet right now is to declare peace, get out his sharpe and rename the gulf to the Trump Gulf. There really is no way out at this point to save any face, he can either send in US troops to invade Iran or he can just tuck his tail between his legs and go home.
他现在最好的选择是宣布和平，拿出他的马克笔，把海湾改名为特朗普海湾。在这一点上，他真的没有办法挽回面子，要么派遣美国军队入侵伊朗，要么就夹着尾巴回家。
Roter
Excuse me, what are you talking about? Yesterday, Trumpenstein said he wanted to extend the deadline for another five days, and tonight, the US and ISra.ell seem to have executed the by far biggest strike on Iran since the war began, demolishing the power grid, oil, gas and even waterworks all across the country. Unless Iran can get their act together and finally wipe Israel off the map, Iran will be blown to smithereens, and we’re all going to fall into very dark times. Russia and China also need to come off the fence to help Iran, because Iran isn’t going to make it alone, and ISra.ell has also already attacked Russian ships in the Black Sea.
抱歉，你在说什么？昨天，特朗普说他想把最后期限延长五天，而今晚，美国和以色列似乎对伊朗发动了自战争以来规模最大的打击，摧毁了全国的电网、石油、天然气甚至水务设施。除非伊朗能够振作起来，最终将以色列从地图上抹去，否则伊朗将会被炸得粉碎，我们都将陷入非常黑暗的时期。俄罗斯和中国也需要采取行动来帮助伊朗，因为伊朗无法单独应对，而以色列已经攻击了黑海的俄罗斯船只。
Ix
Trump, his big mouth and his big nosed masters… Result : evil unleashed upon this planet, not only Iran.
特朗普，他那张大嘴和他的大鼻子主子……结果：邪恶在这个星球上被释放，不仅仅是针对伊朗。
Krzysztof Borkowski
USA just need more time to transfer more soldiers to region to start ground operation. That’s all
美国只需要更多时间将更多士兵调到该地区，开始地面行动。就这么简单。
k1cky scotland
USA hasn’t got enough soldiers for a ground invasion.
The geography of the country for one thing.
And another,no matter what the 90 odd million Iranians think of their government,they will fight to the death to keep Americans and Israelis out of their country.
美国没有足够的士兵进行地面入侵。首先是国家的地理条件。其次，无论大约九千万伊朗人对他们的政府怎么看，他们都会拼死抵抗美国人和以色列人进入他们的国家。
b keegan
Iranians would love it.
伊朗人会喜欢的。
Josef Karl
get the israeli’s in. their war. get them out of the surrounding counyties like lebanon and syria amongst others.
让以色列人参与他们的战争。把他们赶出黎巴嫩、叙利亚等周边国家。
b keegan
Give them a body bag each. Save time collecting the crap.
给他们每人一个尸袋。省得收集废物。
Pioneer Network
That means oil crisis prolonged and world economy in tubes. Is it victory?
这意味着石油危机延长，世界经济崩溃。这算胜利吗？
criolla10
Not, we Americans are against this Trump and Netanyahu war.
不，我们美国人反对这场特朗普和内塔尼亚胡的战争。
Dimitri Ledkovsky
Any «ground operation» will be for show only. Iran has a million man army and, no doubt about it, it is well equipped with the latest.
任何“地面行动”都只是作秀而已。伊朗拥有一百万人的军队，毫无疑问，他们装备了最先进的武器。
Simon Schultz
The truth is, the Rothschild family miscalculated. They run America and Israel. They are the power behind Epstein as shown in the released files. He worked for them and did their bidding. The Rothschild family is responsible for the attacks on Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran. They made the call and their blackmailed minions obeyed. Yet they hide away in opulent villas in places like Corfu Greece and Klosters Switzerland.
事实是，罗斯柴尔德家族计算失误。他们操控着美国和以色列。他们是爱泼斯坦背后的力量，正如已经公布的文件所示。他为他们工作，执行他们的命令。罗斯柴尔德家族对加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗的攻击负责。他们发出了指令，他们被勒索的爪牙就听从了。然而，他们却躲在科孚岛和瑞士克洛斯特斯等奢华别墅中。
Decoy0614
This war, like the war in Ukraine, is 100% about Western governments desperately trying to maintain Empire. China, Russia, and Iran are threats to the Empire, and thus the extreme, costly, bloody, reckless, bet the farm reaction. Empires rise, they peak, and they decline. Washington DC is not taking the decline well.
这场战争，就像乌克兰的战争，完全是西方政府拼命维持帝国的表现。中国、俄罗斯和伊朗是对帝国的威胁，因此采取了极端、昂贵、血腥和鲁莽的反应，几乎是孤注一掷。帝国兴起、巅峰、衰退。华盛顿特区对这一衰退反应不佳。
fatdogtavern
Trump is a Master at getting people to do what he wants. He threatens people, and countries all the time, but often does not have to carry through with the threat because his opponent gives in. That is exactly what you saw with Iran two days ago. The threat of losing their energy infrastructure was enough to force Tehran to make concessions. Thus the five day pause in the threatened attacks. Trump is a genius. He’s playing chess while everyone else can’t grasp checkers.
特朗普擅长让人们按照他的意愿行事。他时常威胁人们和国家，但往往不需要兑现威胁，因为他的对手会屈服。这正是你两天前所看到的情况。失去能源基础设施的威胁足以迫使德黑兰做出让步。因此，威胁攻击的五天暂停。特朗普是个天才。他在下棋，而其他人连跳棋都无法理解。
paul
AIPAC rules both sides of congress and senate, you don’t need to see who pays t Rump
AIPAC控制着国会两院，你根本不需要看是谁在给特朗普送钱。
paul
Dum old always puts the gob into gear before he engages that enormous brain he reckons he has in that enormous head He changes direction more often than he changes his pants.
笨老头总是在动嘴之前就把大脑挂空档，他认为自己在那颗巨大的脑袋里有个聪明的大脑。他改变方向的频率比换裤子还要高。
Remote com
It’s out now. Insider Trading . some one knew about 5 days announcement and bet $580 million & got the windfall.
Who was that?
现在曝光了。有内幕交易。有人知道五天的公告，并押注了5.8亿美元，获得了丰厚的回报。那个人是谁？
criolla10
The Daily mail uk reported that Trump is blaming his Secretary of state for the war» was his idea» …
《每日邮报》报道，特朗普将战争归咎于他的国务卿，称“这是他的主意”……
Stephen Peace
It is apparent America is digging the hole, Iran is filling in the hole on top of the Americans and Israel is pissing in the hole.
显然，美国正在挖坑，伊朗则在往坑里填土，而以色列则在坑里撒尿。
b keegan
Three countries I woukd never attack. Russia Iran and Turkiye. THEY NEVER LOSE IN THE END. EspeciLly if you are America who never won any war.
我绝对不会攻击的三个国家是：俄罗斯、伊朗和土耳其。他们最终从来不会输。特别是如果你是美国，根本没有赢过任何战争。
Josef Karl
they do not win because the g o y i m are fodder! wake up! let the zios fight their own battles and give back land they have stolen!
他们不胜利是因为普通人只是炮灰！醒醒吧！让犹太人自己打他们的仗，把他们偷来的土地还回去！
I Drone
Because Israel doesn’t want its desalination plants destroyed
因为以色列不希望他们的海水淡化厂被摧毁
R jay (Are Jay)
Headline.
The whole porpuse is to keep Russia’s oil sell to a level it is , low .
头条新闻。整个目的就是保持俄罗斯的石油销售在一个较低的水平。
R jay (Are Jay)
The full capacity Russia’s oil sales
means total Russia’s victory in Ukraine making Zelensky and his gang member to leave Ukraine.
俄罗斯石油销售的满负荷意味着俄罗斯在乌克兰的完全胜利，使泽连斯基和他的成员离开乌克兰。
Roger Smith
He didnt. They attacked Irans power infrastructure…
他没有。他们攻击的是伊朗的电力基础设施……
Mario
Why doesn’t Trump allow Iran to shoot a few misses at Israel and let those two work it out? Once they have exhausted themselves, mop both up with a big squeegee. Them move on to China and if necessary anyone else that needs to be straightened out.
为什么特朗普不让伊朗对以色列发射几枚导弹，让他们自己解决问题？等他们累了，就用大拖把把他们都收拾了。然后再去对付中国，如果有必要的话，处理其他需要整顿的国家。
Jõa
Maybe true, but Iran is nobody’s friend. A snake in the house is more certain trouble than that unpredictable change-my-religion-as-it-suits-me group.
也许是真的，但伊朗不是任何人的朋友。家里的蛇比那群不可预测的、随意改变宗教的人更麻烦。
Daniel Bernard
Predicting your own behavior is not forecasting.
预测自己的行为并不是预报。